I do intend on comping back to my thoughts on going pro article but at the moment I'm just not in the poker mindset. That particular blog post was intended for my own benefit more than anything and since no one seems to be chomping at the bit to hear my second installment so I'm in no rush to write it while i'm not in the right frame of mind. I have a lot of non-poker irl things to do as well which sucks!

My mindset has never really been jolted so badly. I've been losing and my confidence and volume is way down as a result. I've been trying to convince myself that the grind to going pro that I had planned out in my head doesn't seem worth it now that the girl I was hoping to build a comfortable future for left me a couple of months ago. I'm sure the truth is that losing in the way I have been just sucks bad. I do miss her a lot though.

It's a really odd place I find myself in. I actually just had my most profitable month ever, my second four figure month. But it was all down to one big score in a satellite (for which I have just requested to take 90% cash value) and the general trend otherwise was downwards. If you had told me at the start of November that I would leave having made >$1000 profit I would have been absolutely stoked but actually because I know how badly I've been playing and that the one score I made (in a tourney, I don't play those too much) it's really demoralising.

I'm trying to find my way through it and when my non-poker life calms down maybe I'll hit the grind refreshed and blow it away. Here's hoping.

There are always a bunch of threads on P5s PD about going pro. It's certainly a dream of mine, even though I have a steady job, owe monthly payments on the mortgage and have a small social life to maintain.

I didn't want to invade other people's threads since this blog post will certainly benefit me more than anyone that happens to stumble across it. I do hope it will strike a few chords with some though.

Here's my situation (Monetary values in GBP as it's obviously my native currency but I'll also convert to USD since it is indisputably the currency of poker):

I am a 23 year old male living in the United Kingdom with an Economics degree from the University of Nottingham. I work for a large publisher as a systems support analyst (team leader).

1. All told I currently earn ~£30K [~$49.5K] per annum pre-tax and other deductions.
2. Monthly this comes down to ~£2500/month [$4125]
3. From this I then pay Income tax and National Insurance (~£550 [$910])
4. As well as student loan repayments (~£100 [~$165])
5. Finally I pay into a company pension (~£120) to which the company adds (~£380) totalling ~£500 (~$825).
6. This gives me a post deduction total of ~£1730/month [$2855] ~£20760/yr [~$34250]
7. After deductions this equates to an hourly wage of ~£13/hr [~$21.5] that I get cash in my pocket at the end of the month.

There are some important notes to this though:

A) Obviously there are some inconsistencies due to rounding but the figures are close enough
B) I am not going to concern myself with my expenditures since if I were to seriously consider going pro I would need to at least earn my current monthly wage (long run obviously) for me to consider it as this current level easily covers all my commitments.
C) If I were to go Pro 3. and 4. would no longer apply since I would not need to pay tax nor student loan repayments based on an income based on gambling.
D) RE: 5. I would want to make plans for a 'pension' of sorts of my own so would probably want to start saving/ investing to this end.
E) I currently work 35 hours a week and will be working on this number of hours for this exercise even though I know I would play more as a pro. I'll round this to 150 hours per month.

With all that in mind I get a total of
<blockquote><blockquote>post deduction income + pension requirements
£1730 + £500 = ~£2230 [~$3680]
</blockquote></blockquote>that I would want (need) to earn each month if I were to go pro and maintain my current level of existence.

So what do I need to do to achieve this?

Bearing in mind that I am (for the most part) a NLHE cash game player and if I were to go pro I would ideally play solely cash, currently I play Sngs and MTTs occassionally but have to concede that I am -EV in these formats! I am going to consider how much it would take to make these returns on average at varying limits and rates of return. I'll also discount Rakeback and bonuses as I think I would rather count those as added cash on top.

Returns are based on actual BBs not PTBB so these are extremely conservative

Bankroll $5000
0.5/1 = 3680 BB @ 1BB/100 requires 368,000 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 6134 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 1533 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 41tabling

0.5/1 = 3680 BB @ 3BB/100 requires 122,667 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 2045 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 512 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 14tabling

Bankroll $10,000
1/2 = 1840 BB @ 1BB/100 requires 184,000 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 3067 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 767 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 21tabling

1/2 = 1840 BB @ 3BB/100 requires 61,334 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 1023 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 256 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 7tabling

Bankroll $20,000
2/4 = 1840 BB @ 1BB/100 requires 92,000 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 1534 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 384 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 11tabling

2/4 = 1840 BB @ 3BB/100 requires 30,667 hands per month
using 60 hands per hour @ 1table = 512 hours
using 60 hands per hour @ 4tables = 128 hours
To achieve 150 hours per month would require 4tabling

I'm fairly surprised at what the figures turn up here. It seems that having a $10,000 bankroll and grinding 8 tables of 1/2 at 3BB/100 hands would be sufficient to replace my current income without increasing my workload (something which I would not be entirely averse to doing).

Bear in mind that this is all based on my own situation and your considerations for your own scenario should be considered and the figures revised accordingly. All in all though this seems quite exciting stuff. However, there are other considerations which I hope to introduce and investigate in part 2. If I receive any interest I'll pull together a spreadsheet that will allow you to plug and play with your own numbers so we can all turn pro in 2010. I'll even try and adapt it for SnG and MTT players.

Until then good luck at the tables,
m4tth3w1

As one of my goals for November I decided I wanted to start writing a blog. Since this is my first post it's gonna be pretty dull as I just want to lay down some rules for myself.

I play poker maybe 4 or 5 nights a week and check PocketFives way too often. I don't think it's unrealistic for me to have something to update this blog with twice weekly so I'll aim to do that for the time being. I'm thinking the usual stuff feelings on sessions for the week, hand analysis, brag posts, rants whatever takes me at the time.

I've had a fairly hot run the last couple of days spinning an $11 ticket I won in a freeroll into a $109 ticket on Tuesday night and running that in turn into a $2250 package to a GUKPT tournament of my choice. Unfortunatley the season is already coming to an end (Day 1b of the final tournament of the season actually takes place tomorrow) so I'm not really sure where that leaves me and am waiting for an email from the Blue Square Poker suppport team.

I wanted to share a hand from the $11 tourney but the blue sq hand history sucks balls so I'm gonna have to do it the hard way and retype it - sorry!

$11 Satellite tourney 3-handed with 1st=$109token and 2nd=$61cash

Hero (D) dealt KsKd

BackSpinner1 (SB) posts 100

Villain (BB) posts 200

Hero raises to 550

BackSpinner1 folds

Villain shoves to 8495

Hero calls

Flop

9c Th 6d - 6d made me angry

Turn

Kh - I remember a P5s thread about 'the best feeling in poker' in which someone suggested the resuckout - they were very very correct!

River

Qd

There is absolutely nothing to discuss with this hand. I'm only posting it because of how it made me feel to resuckout on the villain after he hit that 6 on the flop. I would have been crippled otherwise and certainly not a $2250 package better off today.

I now have a bit of a dilemma with what to do with that package. I set up a thread in PD on the topic and I'd appreciate any thoughts.

http://www.pocketfives.com/poker-for...though-4879587

Hopefully I can keep this up and when I'm back playing on pokerstars the hand histories will be easier to analyse.

Thanks for reading and GL at the tables,

m4tth3w1