January Results- "Sunday Blues"

By: pgt4jc
Published: Feb 10th, 2017
I realized something as I played on the last Sunday of January about how important Sunday’s are in the grand scheme of having a profitable month. On that particular day I was dealt AA and KK 14 times only to lose 11 of those hands. Poker is hard enough as it is…but when variance is kicking your butt on premium hands it can make for not only a frustrating but also very expensive day.

It was also in the midst of this last Sunday session of the month I realized that my worst variance for the month seemed to be happening on Sunday’s. Sure enough when I ran my final reports of the month, my losses for the month can all be attributed to the 5 Sunday’s. Had I just never fired up the computer those 5 days I’d have had a very profitable month…but since I did I showed a loss instead.

Now that’s not to complain but it does show the importance of playing and running well especially on Sunday’s when the buy-ins are larger and the prize pools are massive. When I look back at my monster months, they are always anchored by one or 2 huge Sunday scores that make up for any negative variance I might face at other times in the month. Not sure if there is anything practical that can done other than maybe limit the amount of bullets fired on Sunday’s. Would love to hear any thoughts you may have about this topic.

Another thing that was different about this month was that 40% of my volume was on WPN. Usually it only gets about 5% of my volume with Merge getting the other 95%. If you’ve been reading my blog you know that I haven’t been happy with Merge’s decision to no longer allow results to be tracked by Pocket Fives (my normal up-date is below), so I decided to give a bit more volume to WPN at least for a bit.

Also, the high stakes Merge tourney’s are basically 100 regs with the occasional rec player. While I do feel I have an edge over many of the regs, when you start amassing over 10k+ hands on individual players, the edge is probably not as great as it once was. With that said, my personal opinion is that the low stakes are much easier on WPN since the fish are much more prevalent. I have friends who will swear that WPN is the tougher field but I’m sticking with my opinion.

However with all that said, I don’t have a large roll on WPN so for now my average buy-in will be between $10-$20 as compared to the $70+ I play on Merge so it will keep my total amount of cashes somewhat smaller unless I bink something soon that allows me to move up.

Now onto January’s results…

170…Tournaments Played
76…. Cashes (45%)
12…. Final Tables
3....…Top 3 Finishes
2……Wins

$9174.86 in total cashes (-14.82% ROI)

Looking at these numbers it’s obvious I didn’t close well once at Final Tables. I’m usually about 60% to be top 3 once I make one. In this particular month it was only 25%. Obviously those top 3 spots are where the money is really at so this is another area where variance really hit me hard and was the difference between a winning and losing month.

Now onto my Merge up-date. For those not familiar with my blog, Merge stopped allowing Pocket Fives to track scores on September 5th 2016, so what I’m doing here is tracking where I would have been had they not stopped tracking. I do play some on other networks but Merge gets out 95% of my volume so I thought it would be fun and motivating to keep things going as if though it never stopped. I use Poker Dominator to track all tourney’s so these are the most accurate and up-to-date numbers as of the last day of the month.

Merge Lifetime Total: $ 404863.51

Career Lifetime Total: $460256.32

Career number of Cashes: 3689

Follow my monthly results in real-time by following me on Twitter: @YourPokerPastor

Thanks for reading...please post a comment with your thoughts or anything you'd like me to address in future blogs.

Gilbert

    Comments

    1. You have a 4.6m career total? Holy mackeral!
    2.  
      Originally Posted by 1dullgeek

      You have a 4.6m career total? Holy mackeral!

      Oops good catch...fingers got one extra 0 in there...I edited to the correct number.
       
    3. Put the zero back in!!! :) Good read, nice updates GT
    4. I have become way more profitable overall since i stopped chasing thatbig Sunday score. I still play Sundays of course, but have significantly reduced the number of larger buyin, big payout, big field mtts.

      Variance is defo higher on Sundays, sometimes feels like the statistics universe has been inverted. Bigger fields, many more recreational players, structures that play quite shallow ect ect
       
    5.  
      Originally Posted by turbulence

      I have become way more profitable overall since i stopped chasing thatbig Sunday score. I still play Sundays of course, but have significantly reduced the number of larger buyin, big payout, big field mtts.

      Variance is defo higher on Sundays, sometimes feels like the statistics universe has been inverted. Bigger fields, many more recreational players, structures that play quite shallow ect ect

      Good thoughts...thanks for sharing. I used to, due to a few other obligations, not play on Sunday's. I was winning player that way but the huge wins and 10k+ profit months only started to come when Sunday's became an option for me. As US players, especially the site I primarily play on, there are not as many options for the bigger buy-in/payout tourney's, so I don't think it's that I play too many of them, but I'm thinking it's firing too many bullets into them that does compound the days where variance is kicking my butt. In some ways, I guess that's similar to what you're saying above, except I spread myself too thin in a few tourney's rather than 1 bullet over a lot of tourney's that I think you're talking about. So again...good thoughts and gives me more to chew on.
       
    6. Good read
     
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