Villain in this hand is a 40/16 fish but has 48% AF.
This hand is more an example of the general question I am taking opinions on. Plans for more than one street.
Full Tilt Poker $18,500 Guarantee (1r+1a) No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150/t300 Blinds + t25 - 8 players -
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
SB: t5905 M = 9.08
Hero (BB): t7590 M = 11.68
UTG: t4967 M = 7.64
UTG+1: t19222 M = 29.57
MP1: t3296 M = 5.07
MP2: t7276 M = 11.19
CO: t12220 M = 18.80
BTN: t11190 M = 17.22
Pre Flop: (t650) Hero is BB with T :club: 8 :diamond:
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t300, 5 folds, Hero checks
Flop: (t950) 4 :diamond: 6 :spade: 6 :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
Turn: (t950) 5 :club: (2 players)
Hero bets t600
So I think a stab on the turn is profitable in a vacuum. My question is if I plan to bet the turn, do I have to necessarily also plan to bet most rivers? I think a 40/16 fish is likely to peel at least one street with all kinds of crap so it'll take two streets to get him off most of his range.
What's the best plan here?
2) Bet + c/f blank rivers
3) This :P:
UTG+1 calls t600
River: (t2150) Q :heart: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets t1500, Hero raises to t6665 and is all-in