Check out our brand new Local Poker Communities! Get updates and interact with poker players in your area.
Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local
  1. Updated Standings ... AL Rosters ...NL Rosters ...AL Draft Recap ...NL Draft Recap
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    16 OT'ers willing to call themselves "experts" in the realm of fantasy baseball have come together to take part in the inaugural season of what hopefully will become a MLB staple in the land of OT. We have 6 pairs of owners and 4 individuals that snake-drafted 10 teams in both an AL-Only (25 players) and a NL-Only (27 players) league. The format is 7x7 Rotisserie with daily lineup changes and the combined points totals from the two teams will determine the Champion and overall order of finish.

    The roster of fake GM's includes several of the more prominent and well-respected OT sports minds as well as some pretty knowledgeable and active fantasy baseball guys with pretty decent past success both in and out of OT leagues. The deep rosters, narrow pitching windows, and ability to set lineups daily should make for a quite competitive league. The general sentiment during the drafts was that it was very tough to find values and I think it they were the best drafts I've been a part of so far.

    Most, if not all of the owners, are big baseball fans in general and enjoy the link that fantasy provides to the real game. The baseball knowledge combined with the gambling, game theory and competition provided leads to a fun and interesting mix and as the season progresses, perhaps some good discussion and banter will come from this thread. Everyone is welcome to follow along, provide comments or critiques and possibly participate in future seasons.

    Individual Owners

    BubbaKGB, bluefront, MilBestDrnkr, 93-97

    Partnerships
    Futon & Blackout, DetUcf & RJA, BGX & PittProduct,
    PGH & BigEarn, BirdWings & Gateman, Pker4Dummies & LarsonLarsen

    The drafted rosters are listed below. Once again, 7x7 Roto format, lineups are daily (with a bi-weekly FAAB system for roster additions) and the limits in place are 1000 IP Min / 190 GS Max in the AL, 1150 IP Min / 215 GS Max in the NL and a 155 GP by position Max in both leagues. Players remain on teams even if they get traded out of their real league, and trades within the league are allowed to include players from both the AL/NL rosters.



    American League Drafted Rosters





    National League Drafted Rosters



    Edited By: 93-97___60-3 Sep 22nd, 2011 at 06:12 PM
  2. So Matt, hypothetically I could trade Hanley Ramirez and an AL scrub for Miguel Cabrera and an NL scrub? (Not interested in that deal, just asking.) To do so I guess I would have to offer two very lopsided trades, and both owners would have to agree to accept the deal? I'm assuming as the commissioner you would ensure that someone doesn't accept my "Hanley for scrub" offer while rejecting my "Cabrera for scrub" offer.
  3. Yeah, you are hypothetically correct. Probably be best just to make a post on one of the homepages or shoot me an email/PM anyways. I can always just manually make changes to rosters too.
    Thread Starter
  4. American League Draft Recap (part I)

    Rounds 1/2
    1/20 - C. Crawford / J. Verlander
    2/19 - M. Cabrera / A. Rios
    3/18 - E. Longoria / CC Sabathia
    4/17 - D. Pedroia / J. Lester
    5/16 - A. Gonzalez / J. Bautista
    6/15 - A. Rodriguez / N. Cruz
    7/14 - R. Cano / S. Choo
    8/13 - J. Hamilton / A. Dunn
    9/12 - K. Youkilis / M. Teixeira
    10/11 - F. Hernandez / J. Mauer

    My Picks: Pedroia was #2 in both my raw and postional-adjusted rankings behind Cabrera and the other guy I might have grabbed was Longoria, so I went ahead and pulled the trigger on what could certainly be called a gamble. I think I'm banking on him performing near the topside of his projections (especially his 2B/HR potential), but if he does, he is the closest AL guy to being a 7-cat performer. I feel SP has very few elite options in the AL so I had decided beforehand that I was going to grab a SP with my 2nd pick and was just praying that Lester or Haren would still be there. I really thought Lester would be gone and Haren was sort of my top-guy anyways, but unlike my convictions with Pedroia, I decided last second to take Lester.

    Like/Dislike: Think Choo is good value for LarLar/Pker and conversely don't like the Hamilton pick by Futon/Blackout at #8. Too much risk at a deeper position for a 1st round pick IMO. Think any of the Youk/F-Her/Mauer picks that immediately followed would have been better.

    Rounds 3/4
    21/40 - I. Kinsler / C. Granderson
    22/39 - V. Martinez / J. Soria
    23/38 - D. Jeter / M. Scherzer
    24/37 - D. Haren / M. Young
    25/36 - A. Beltre / A. Ramirez
    26/35 - E. Andrus / BJ Upton
    27/34 - J. Weaver / K. Morales
    28/33 - J. Ellsbury / J. Morneau
    29/32 - I. Suzuki / D. Price
    30/31 - B. Butler/F. Liriano

    My Picks: Stunned that Haren was still there, I had to take the plunge. Probably would have went with Beltre otherwise. Having what I consider to be 2 of the top 3 SP in an AL-Only format means I can ignore pitching for a little while with a massive headstart in quality IP with good ratios. Was hoping Morneau would fall to me in Rd 4, but ended up going with Young (who I thought was the last 3B before a noticeable drop-off) over a better overall OF for instance. Could have went Carlos Santana too, but I think the next tier of catchers would provide better value than the next tier of 3B.

    Like/Dislike: Jeter is a good pick by Bubba. As long as last year was the exception rather than a new norm, he is by himself at the top of the AL SS class. Butler over Morneau could turn out poorly for BW/Gateman, although it is the sort of reverse-risk pick that allows for some chances later on. Also had Upton quite low in my own rankings.

    Rounds 5/6
    41/60 - B. Zobrist / M. Rivera
    42/59 - J. Pierre / A. Hill
    43/58 - B. Morrow / B. Abreu
    44/57 - N. Markakis / D. Span
    45/56 - B. Anderson / T. Hunter
    46/55 - P. Konerko / A. Lind
    47/54 - B. Gardner / M. Reynolds
    48/53 - G. Beckham / C. Buchholz
    49/52 - C. Santana / B. Roberts
    50/51 - D. Young / J. Danks

    My Picks: Wanted a little bit of power and on-base prowess with my next pick, needed an OF, and still like to get some stability at this point in the draft. Check, check and check in Markakis. I really wanted (and needed Lind) with my next pick as 1B is starting to get thin, but he was snagged 2 picks prior so I go to my backup option of Span, who I had ranked pretty high and was definitely targeting going in. I think I still could have snagged him for a couple more rounds, but didn't want to take the chance with this group of sharks.

    Like/Dislike: PGH/BigEarn got good value with Santana, especially if they think he will step right into the elite group of catchers. Gardner/Reynolds is a nice combination from LarLar/Pker. I know Bubba is high on Morrow, but there might have been a better direction to go at that point. Gotta reach for some guys you want sometimes though.

    Rounds 7/8
    61/80 - M. Moreland / J. Nathan
    62/79 - N. Swisher / J. Shields
    63/78 - A. Jones / J. Papelbon
    64/77 - T. Snider / M. Thornton
    65/76 - J. Hellickson / M. Wieters
    66/75 - R. Davis / CJ Wilson
    67/74 - R. Raburn / E. Aybar
    68/73 - C. Quentin / C. Lewis
    69/72 - N. Feliz / V. Wells
    70/71 - H. Kendrick / C. Figgins

    My Picks: Absolutely needed to pick up some power, and Snider was the top guy left in that regard on my board while also filling my LF spot. Feeling good about my offense so far, I turned my attention back to pitching and took Thornton, who I think will offer great ratios and decent save totals. In a mixed league, I'm usually not too concerned about closers, but in the single-league format, I'm more inclined to get someone I think will be a steady anchor.

    Like/Dislike: Rajai Davis is a good pickup for DetUcf/RJA with these settings. He should get tons of PA in a good offense and is eligible at all 3 OF positions. Also like bluefront's selection of Shields 14 picks after Hellickson. Conversely, think BGK/Pitt reached on Hellickson. Think it was a little early on Aybar as well for Larson/Pker as his skills are starting to become pretty fungible and could probably be grabbed later in the draft.

    Rounds 9/10/11/12
    81/100/101/120 - P. Hughes / Y. Escobar / D. Bard / R. Porcello
    82/99/102/119 - J. Beckett / E. Encarnacion / C. Sale / S. Baker
    83/98/103/118 - D. Lee / J. Valverde / M. Pineda / M. Aviles
    84/97/104/117 - M. Ramirez / E. Jackson / R. Soriano / C. Crisp
    85/96/105/116 - B. Matusz / T. Nishioka / M. Cuddyer / J. McGee
    86/95/106/115 - G. Gonzalez / S. Rodriguez / B. League / J. Peavy
    87/94/107/114 - K. Suzuki / T. Cahill / L. Scott / F. Gutierrez
    88/93/108/113 - A. Escobar / V. Guerrero / A. Bailey / G. Floyd
    89/92/109/112 - R. Romero / D. Ortiz / C. Perez / W. Davis
    90/91/110/111 - G. Sizemore / A. Cabrera / A. Jackson / J. Lackey

    My Picks: Manny gives me another little boost in power and should be solid across the slashes, even if his counting stats are down if he rests often. Would have like Gio and thought he had a better chance of dropping to my next pick than Manny, but I'll settle for Jackson and hope he can at least provide similar enough production to be offset by the offensive upgrade. Either Bard or Soriano was fine with me as I think they will provide as much or more value as any of the mid to lower tier closers left. Coco was another guy that I have ranked pretty high, and he will provide great value here if he can stay healthy and get at least 600 PA. My additional risk in taking him is that I'm pushing the envelope at 1B, but think I can still get the last guy in my top 10 with my next pick.

    Like/Dislike: Austin Jackson could be really good value for BW/Gate. Bunch of hits, runs, decent AVG and SB potential. He is probably a safer version of Crisp, but with less upside. Bunch of hits, runs, decent AVG and SB potential. Like the Gio pick by DetUcf/RJA. Actually all 4 guys they grabbed here I've targeted in other leagues. Beckett has some sneaky potential too if he doesn't let his ERA get out of control, and like Aviles value here too. I'm not on the Pineda bandwagon just yet. Might keep the ratios decent, but gonna hurt in QS/W/IP I think. Another upside pick by Bubba, but maybe someone like Floyd/Baker/Porcello would have been a good pairing with Morrow.

    continued below..........
    Edited By: 93-97___60-3 Mar 25th, 2011 at 09:45 PM
    Thread Starter
  5. American League Draft Recap (part II)

    Rounds 13-25

    13. (124) - J.Kubel: The last 1B I would have been happy with got snagged, I didn't realize I was up until I heard the 10-second warning beep, and was almost into panic mode, but luckily I had Kubel queued up and made the pick (was researching some power options while missing my turn). With more awareness, I might take a C here as I had a big drop-off to the next tier with Napoli and Posada still available.

    14. (137) - M. Napoli: Luckily, one of my C was still there and with yet another 1B going, he makes for an emergency backup option there as well.

    15. (144) - D. Holland: All starting pitching that I "like" is gone, and was admittedly a little flustered at this point, but I reminded myself that I waited on SP for a reason after my 1st two guys, and so I'll be alright with some back-end guys that have potential. If 1 of my bottom 3 can breakout a little and the other 2 don't completely suck, I still think I have a top 3-4 rotation.

    16. (157) - J. Masterson: see Holland, D.

    17. (164) - M. LaPorta: At least I have a starting 1B instead of having to roll with Napoli and then a real shitty catcher.

    18. (177) - J. Rauch: Should open the season at closer and then hopefully pick up some vulture saves throughout the year along with regular hold numbers. Was getting killed at this point on MR being taken before I could pick, had 6 guys in my queue go before Rauch over the past 3 rounds or so.

    19. (184) - J. Montero: Upside pick that isn't looking real great to pan out at this point. I'm hoping he gets some DH action along the way, but maybe could have picked up someone else here. This is the time to take some risks though.

    20. (197) - L. Hochevar: see Holland, D. and Masterson, J.

    21. (204) - J. Lowrie: Kind of like him as a last-round flyer in setup-friendly mixed leagues, so absolutely love him at this point in an AL-only. Should see plenty of PA to make him useful and some quality time from bench players could make a big difference in a tight league.

    22. (217) - A. Russell: Seriously, the 2nd half of my pitching did not go according to plan and all the teams were well prepared in this aspect. Gonna have weaknesses somewhere in a deep league like this, but I didn't think it would be here for me.

    23. (224) - J. Crain: see Russel, A.

    24. (237) - M. Trumbo: Another pick I'm very happy with at this point. Should be a good fill-in for a few weeks, at least giving me some match-up options at 1B, and if Kendrys ends up being out for an extended period, this could be a steal.

    25. (244) - R. Kalish: Had a few options here, maybe either someone that should get some PA or go the other route and take a prospect to stash for later on, but I decided on a 3rd route in a guy that probably won't get much PT, but is an injury away from stepping into a great situation. I also might change my mind by the 1st FAAB on Sunday too.

    Hard to "dislike" anyone at this point since pickings are so slim, but is a "like" from each team...

    MilBestDrnkr - J. Rivera, 23rd (225)
    bluefront - D. Fister, 22nd (219)
    Bubba - H. Matsui, 22nd (218)
    BGX/PittProduct - B. Morel, 24th (236)
    Larson/Pker4Dummies - B. Boesch, 25th (247)
    DetUcf/RJA - K. Uehara, 18th (175)
    Futon/Blackout - M. Capps 14th (133)
    PGH/BigEarn - K. Kouzmanoff, 19th (189)
    BirdWings/Gateman - B. Jenks, 16th (151)

    Quick Overall Analysis: Think I have some great balance on offense. I'm slanted a little towards contact and speed, but I don't think my power sucks by any means. I also think I have a pretty good mix of steady, reliable guys and riskier upside. Pitching-wise, I'm counting on my loaded top 2 SP and RP to really provide a lot of IP with awesome ratios to offset the relatively weak back-end guys. Things started to go a little sideways about 60-70% through, but came away really feeling like I was at least in control of my draft the entire time and stuck to a very acceptable blueprint for success.
    Thread Starter
  6.  
    Originally Posted by 93-97___60-3 View Post

    American League Draft Recap (part I)

    Rounds 5/6
    41/60 - B. Zobrist / M. Rivera
    42/59 - J. Pierre / A. Hill
    43/58 - B. Morrow / B. Abreu
    44/57 - N. Markakis / D. Span
    45/56 - B. Anderson / T. Hunter
    46/55 - P. Konerko / A. Lind
    47/54 - B. Gardner / M. Reynolds
    48/53 - G. Beckham / C. Buchholz
    49/52 - C. Santana / B. Roberts
    50/51 - D. Young / J. Danks

    My Picks: Wanted a little bit of power and on-base prowess with my next pick, needed an OF, and still like to get some stability at this point in the draft. Check, check and check in Markakis. I really wanted (and needed Lind) with my next pick as 1B is starting to get thin, but he was snagged 2 picks prior so I go to my backup option of Span, who I had ranked pretty high and was definitely targeting going in. I think I still could have snagged him for a couple more rounds, but didn't want to take the chance with this group of sharks.

    Like/Dislike: PGH/BigEarn got good value with Santana, especially if they think he will step right into the elite group of catchers. Gardner/Reynolds is a nice combination from LarLar/Pker. I know Bubba is high on Morrow, but there might have been a better direction to go at that point. Gotta reach for some guys you want sometimes though.

    Yeah, overall I'm not happy with how these four rounds in particular went, for a number of reasons. I don't mind my Morrow pick, but it's an obvious risk. It's hard, he was the top starter on the board for me and it's so difficult to judge whether a guy will make it back around to you. He would have been better value a round or two later, but I'm high enough on him to be okay with it. I'm not a huge fan of my Abreu pick, looking back I definitely wish I had taken Markakis instead. My OF is pretty weak and taking him there would have led my team down such a different path.

     
    Originally Posted by 93-97___60-3 View Post

    Rounds 7/8
    61/80 - M. Moreland / J. Nathan
    62/79 - N. Swisher / J. Shields
    63/78 - A. Jones / J. Papelbon
    64/77 - T. Snider / M. Thornton
    65/76 - J. Hellickson / M. Wieters
    66/75 - R. Davis / CJ Wilson
    67/74 - R. Raburn / E. Aybar
    68/73 - C. Quentin / C. Lewis
    69/72 - N. Feliz / V. Wells
    70/71 - H. Kendrick / C. Figgins

    My Picks: Absolutely needed to pick up some power, and Snider was the top guy left in that regard on my board while also filling my LF spot. Feeling good about my offense so far, I turned my attention back to pitching and took Thornton, who I think will offer great ratios and decent save totals. In a mixed league, I'm usually not too concerned about closers, but in the single-league format, I'm more inclined to get someone I think will be a steady anchor.

    Keeping with the theme of my weak OF, I had Snider all lined up and I really have no idea why I changed my mind. I think I was compensating for taking Morrow a little early and then I went anti-homer and left him on the board for you to snap up. I also psyched myself out about CF and yeah, the more I type about this the more disgusted I am, ugh. Then, on the way back, Thornton was my pick, although I knew you were taking him. I don't even know why I had my heart set on him, lol. I hate Papelbon too, but I took him anyways.

     
    Originally Posted by 93-97___60-3 View Post


    Quick Overall Analysis: Think I have some great balance on offense. I'm slanted a little towards contact and speed, but I don't think my power sucks by any means. I also think I have a pretty good mix of steady, reliable guys and riskier upside. Pitching-wise, I'm counting on my loaded top 2 SP and RP to really provide a lot of IP with awesome ratios to offset the relatively weak back-end guys. Things started to go a little sideways about 60-70% through, but came away really feeling like I was at least in control of my draft the entire time and stuck to a very acceptable blueprint for success.

    Yeah, you have a solid team, although like everyone, your team has some holes. I'd say you have fewer holes than I do though, so that's a start. I'm not sure what to think of my team at this point. I know my NL Team >> my AL Team and that's about it. There lots of work to do yet though and I'm excited for the season, glgl everyone!
    Edited By: BubbaKGB Mar 25th, 2011 at 08:49 PM
     1
  7. Haren>Lester would have been a pretty awful pick imo. Think you may be overvaluing Haren and Pedroia a little bit there... Looks like a fun league though, gl guys.
     
  8.  
    Originally Posted by nyy486 View Post

    Haren>Lester would have been a pretty awful pick imo. Think you may be overvaluing Haren and Pedroia a little bit there... Looks like a fun league though, gl guys.

    Was just getting ready to ask Bubba his thoughts on CC (I'm guessing you have some as well), and the #1 SP's in general....

    Part of my hesitancy was just the fact that Lester was still there when I didn't expect him to be. I was all geared up to take Haren, so it just threw me off a little to begin with. Haren is a K/BB beast. Just one category, but so is Wins (Lester's obv advantage), and I feel that K/BB is a more stable and predictable stat. They are pretty close the rest of the way. I wanted to own Lester in at least one league this year, and while that is a terrible reason to make a decision from a strategy standpoint, I want to have fun too, and that factored into it a little bit. Lastly, I just had some nagging thoughts about Haren being in the AL now, Lester having the bigger upside, etc...Factor all this thinking into about a 30-40 second time frame and I flip-flopped my choice.

    I just looked back and saw that 2 of the 3 teams did take a SP on the 1st top of the draft wraparound, so Haren falling back was mainly just a matter of preference, but I'm still pretty shocked that at the very least, Felix AND Lester didn't go to the 5-10 teams.

    On to Sabathia. Do you really like his IP and W possibilities (and overall steadiness, I guess) Bubba? Think he will rebound a little with his peripherals this year (cause they have been on a steady decline)? Mixed leaguey, he is the one top guy that I wouldn't even consider taking as my #1. That's one of the reasons I really wanted one of my top 3 in the AL. Just think that the next 4-5 guys all have some more risk attached. Maybe not Verlander, but just something that scares me a little with him too.
    Thread Starter
  9. Love the write up matt. I'm working and on the phone now. Here are my quick thoughts:

    At first me and Gateman didn't like how we chose NL #1 pick at first. But the more I looked into the format I didn't mind the AL #10 pick. We talked it over and decided we needed an Ace with one of those picks. We were gonna go Lester/verlander and Pedroia/mauer. We didn't expect Felix the fall so we snagged him then mauer who looks to be a beast in this format.

    A part of me wanted to go Felix and Lester though.

    Picks 30 and 31 we wanted another ace and were gonna reach a bit on Butler who I'm high on and he should be rock solid with his averages. Wanted weaver as the sp but happy with Liriano.
  10. I wouldn't expect CC so get much better this year. Even with being in better athletic shape, I'm worried about what being 30 pounds lighter (or w.e. it was) will effect in terms of repeating his delivery. Could help a little bit that he is in what is essentially a contract year, but I'm unusually worried about him.

    And Lester just has so much more upside than Haren. Especially when you consider the league switch for Haren, even though he pitched great for LAA last year. Only downside is he pitches in the AL East.
     
  11. I agree that Haren has already reached his ceiling and Lester hasn't necessarily done so yet.

    My fantasy perspective though (and the bolded is really my main focus)....

    IP: Haren
    W: Lester
    K/BB: Haren
    K/9: Lester

    QS: tough to predict, but Haren
    ERA: tough to predict, but Lester

    So they are very close to begin with and even if Lester can maintain a significantly better K/9, here is the rub....due to the nature of the pitcher distribution I think I can I find a higher K/9 later in the draft easier than I can find a high K/BB guy, so I'd rather build off Haren than Lester. Call it category scarcity rather than positional scarcity.
    Thread Starter
  12. niceee writeup, looking fwd to the NL only one.
  13. Fair enough, I would have taken Lester just because of the potential that Lester has to improve and have an even bigger season than he has, compared to the potential that Haren has to go on the decline. I see your reasoning though.
     
  14. I fucking knew we took Aybar too early.

    Not looking forward to the NL one so I can read about how you took at least 5 different guys the round before we were about to.

    On some real shit, sick write up tho.
  15. Here is my wrap-up for the first 12 rounds:

    Rounds 1/2

    1/20 - C. Crawford / J. Verlander
    2/19 - M. Cabrera / A. Rios
    3/18 - E. Longoria / CC Sabathia
    4/17 - D. Pedroia / J. Lester
    5/16 - A. Gonzalez / J. Bautista
    6/15 - A. Rodriguez / N. Cruz
    7/14 - R. Cano / S. Choo
    8/13 - J. Hamilton / A. Dunn
    9/12 - K. Youkilis / M. Teixeira
    10/11 - F. Hernandez / J. Mauer

    My picks: I really wanted A-Rod/Pedroia, but I was relieved Youk was still available at 9. Aside from last year, Youk actually has been fairly durable, and last season he put up his best slashes of his career. I think it's safe to presume he is still in the prime of his career, and now he has a phenomenal lineup around him. Youk's move to third base makes him an easy pick over Teix. I thought Teix was a fairly easy pick as well. Even though the Yanks caught a lot of grief this off-season for not grabbing an elite starting pitcher, the top of the Yanks order is still pretty stacked, and Teix will continue to benefit from playing in a little league stadium in the Rocky Mountains.

    Observations: Robinson Cano at #7 is great value. Even though HRs don't count in this league, he is an emerging superstar at a prime position. I was definitely surprised Pedroia went at #4, but I think Matt must value position scarcity even more than I do. I wouldn't touch Bautista in round 2. HRs don't count in this league and he has no history of elite production before last year. He's like Garrett Jones on steroids (figuratively speaking): he had a monstrous breakout season, but his weaknesses will likely be exploited this season.

    Rounds 3/4
    21/40 - I. Kinsler / C. Granderson
    22/39 - V. Martinez / J. Soria
    23/38 - D. Jeter / M. Scherzer
    24/37 - D. Haren / M. Young
    25/36 - A. Beltre / A. Ramirez
    26/35 - E. Andrus / BJ Upton
    27/34 - J. Weaver / K. Morales
    28/33 - J. Ellsbury / J. Morneau
    29/32 - I. Suzuki / D. Price
    30/31 - B. Butler/F. Liriano

    My Picks: Ichiro is a model of consistency. His BA fluctuations really just derive from luck, with different BABIPs (batting average for balls in play) but fairly consistent K rates. His fall to #29 was surprising to me. Did you guys check the settings in this league? Hits count, homers don't. I'll take the guy who has lead the league in hits the last five years straight. And with 42 steals last season, I think Ichiro has a lot of All-Star production left in him. He is a special player. I was content to take the best pitcher available in Round 4.

    Observations: Jeter and Beltre both represent very interesting risk/reward picks. Jeter's risk is age, Beltre's is post-contract complacency. Out of the two, I like the gamble on Jeter more because of the extreme position scarcity at SS in the AL.

    Rounds 5/6
    41/60 - B. Zobrist / M. Rivera
    42/59 - J. Pierre / A. Hill
    43/58 - B. Morrow / B. Abreu
    44/57 - N. Markakis / D. Span
    45/56 - B. Anderson / T. Hunter
    46/55 - P. Konerko / A. Lind
    47/54 - B. Gardner / M. Reynolds
    48/53 - G. Beckham / C. Buchholz
    49/52 - C. Santana / B. Roberts
    50/51 - D. Young / J. Danks

    My Picks: I am usually hesitant to go after elite catchers, but Santana is a special case. He was an elite prospect and didn't disappoint last season in limited ABs in Cleveland. He's a STUD. He should DH on the days he isn't catching. I think of him as Brian McCann with more power. Brian Roberts is certainly a risk here with his back issues, but I feel that Round 6 was the time to take the risk at a think position. Sans the injury issues, he is a Round 3-4 pick. So I'll take him here for the discount.

    Observations: Pierre is too one-dimensional to be picked this early. And it's not like he is some young kid with upside: you just hope he keeps stealing bases for you. Buchholz's peripherals were not impressive last season, but he does have a great lineup to help him get wins.

    Rounds 7/8
    61/80 - M. Moreland / J. Nathan
    62/79 - N. Swisher / J. Shields
    63/78 - A. Jones / J. Papelbon
    64/77 - T. Snider / M. Thornton
    65/76 - J. Hellickson / M. Wieters
    66/75 - R. Davis / CJ Wilson
    67/74 - R. Raburn / E. Aybar
    68/73 - C. Quentin / C. Lewis
    69/72 - N. Feliz / V. Wells
    70/71 - H. Kendrick / C. Figgins

    My Picks: I am surprised Matt didn't mention Feliz, who I think is the most intriguing pick in the draft. At the time of the draft, it was unclear whether Feliz would be a starter or a closer this season. Well apparently the Rangers decided that 70 innings at the end of close games are more important than 180 innings. Dumb. Still, the fact that Feliz wasn't the #1 closer taken was an absolute shock to me. I thought Wells was very good value here as well. He takes a lot of shit because he is overpaid, but I don't think I am overvaluing him in round 8.

    Observations: Hellickson is that one sleeper who everyone knows is a sleeper and he then becomes overrated.

    Rounds 9/10/11/12
    81/100/101/120 - P. Hughes / Y. Escobar / D. Bard / R. Porcello
    82/99/102/119 - J. Beckett / E. Encarnacion / C. Sale / S. Baker
    83/98/103/118 - D. Lee / J. Valverde / M. Pineda / M. Aviles
    84/97/104/117 - M. Ramirez / E. Jackson / R. Soriano / C. Crisp
    85/96/105/116 - B. Matusz / T. Nishioka / M. Cuddyer / J. McGee
    86/95/106/115 - G. Gonzalez / S. Rodriguez / B. League / J. Peavy
    87/94/107/114 - K. Suzuki / T. Cahill / L. Scott / F. Gutierrez
    88/93/108/113 - A. Escobar / V. Guerrero / A. Bailey / G. Floyd
    89/92/109/112 - R. Romero / D. Ortiz / C. Perez / W. Davis
    90/91/110/111 - G. Sizemore / A. Cabrera / A. Jackson / J. Lackey

    My picks: I don't like my Wade Davis pick. I should have found someone with more upside in that spot. However, I LOVE David Ortiz in Round 10. He is my favorite pick that I made in both drafts. Francona has shown that he is willing to stick with Ortiz through his struggles, and boy did Big Papi deliver after a horrible April. With two UTIL spots this makes it a lot easier to feel fine about drafting a DH. Big Papi finished 8th in the AL in OPS last season, and the lineup will get even better ahead of him, providing plenty of RBI opportunities. I understand that people are concerned about aging superstars, but a healthy Ortiz would be one of the steals of this draft.
  16. Very nice writeup PGH.

    Regarding Pedroia, I had him #2 in my raw rankings (he was #2 in positional ranking, w/ Longoria being #1), so not really a positional scarcity thing. I just finished up my batting projections leading up to these drafts and when we initially picked our draft order, I picked AL#4 thinking that Crawford was going to be my #1, then Miggy, Longoria and A-Gonz and really didn't care which one fell to me. If I had decided on Pedroia back then, I probably would have picked #7 or #8.

    I do think you got great value with Ichiro at the end of the 3rd Round. My #'s spit him out at 13th overall (12th in raw value). Bautista was 15th (22nd raw) FWIW.

    My only hesitancy in drafting Feliz is that at the time, it looked a little more probable that he was going to start........thus, if one drafts him as a "starter" and follows that assumption the remainder of the draft, then there is some downside with him moving back to the pen. I drafted him in several leagues using him as a .5 SP, .5 RP when constructing my staff, but those leagues feature a lot more post-draft options to drop/add someone to make sure things are in order after the decision was made. (haven't looked to see what your pitching looks like exactly)

    EDIT: just to clarify, those ranks are batter-only
    Edited By: 93-97___60-3 Mar 27th, 2011 at 12:25 AM
    Thread Starter
  17. Good stuff guys.

    I would love to hear the NL draft analysis as well. I'm still torn on taking the NL #1 pick as the first option. I've gone back and forth so many times.
  18.  
    Originally Posted by 93-97___60-3 View Post

    On to Sabathia. Do you really like his IP and W possibilities (and overall steadiness, I guess) Bubba? Think he will rebound a little with his peripherals this year (cause they have been on a steady decline)? Mixed leaguey, he is the one top guy that I wouldn't even consider taking as my #1. That's one of the reasons I really wanted one of my top 3 in the AL. Just think that the next 4-5 guys all have some more risk attached. Maybe not Verlander, but just something that scares me a little with him too.

    To be brutally and even embarrassingly honest, I didn't give K/BB much, if any, attention, which I think hurt me with my CC pick. At the time, I took him because I thought he was the 'safe' pick, so obviously, I wasn't thinking anything close to what you were. Looking at the numbers more closely now I wish I had taken Haren over CC.
     1
  19. Rounds 1/2
    1/20 - C. Crawford / J. Verlander
    2/19 - M. Cabrera / A. Rios
    3/18 - E. Longoria / CC Sabathia
    4/17 - D. Pedroia / J. Lester
    5/16 - A. Gonzalez / J. Bautista
    6/15 - A. Rodriguez / N. Cruz
    7/14 - R. Cano / S. Choo
    8/13 - J. Hamilton / A. Dunn
    9/12 - K. Youkilis / M. Teixeira
    10/11 - F. Hernandez / J. Mauer

    My Picks: When choosing positions to draft from, we made a pretty important mistake. We opened up some sites ADP for it's mock drafts and chose accordingly. Recall this was a few weeks, maybe even a month ago. We chose AL 6 NL 5 because the two people in those spots on this ADP were the two people we were really thinking were going to be great for this league: Crawford and Troy Tulo. Needless to say, differing ESPN rankings + another few weeks of adjustments + drafting with people who actually have brains made our draft slot choice pretty horrible. In retrospect I would have went 3 NL and 8 AL (Taking Arod/Youk depending on who was available) We also went into this willing to pass on pitching early as we both believed pitching is a lot easier to find on the wire than hitting. .

    As for these two picks, we were pretty over Cano as our rd 1 pick from day one. While 2b was rather thin up top, we believed there were enough value picks at the position later (S. Rodriguez, R. Rayburn, Aviles, Hill, Nishioka just to name a few) that we would be fine skipping 2b here. 3B on the other hand we felt was pretty thin later. There wasn't much that excited us after Encarnacion, so when we jumped into the draft room and saw Crawford at #1 overall we had to change the plan. We were debating between Youk and Arod, and when we factored in Youk's injury last year and Arods down year being a pretty good one we decided to roll with boatshoes.

    As for round 2, we both had Cruz ranked pretty high going in. When he fell back to us we picked him up pretty quickly and were really happy about it.

    Like/Dislike: Really like the Youk/Teix pairing. Can't say a dislike, as it's pretty damn hard to fuck up picks 1 or 2 lol


    Rounds 3/4
    21/40 - I. Kinsler / C. Granderson
    22/39 - V. Martinez / J. Soria
    23/38 - D. Jeter / M. Scherzer
    24/37 - D. Haren / M. Young
    25/36 - A. Beltre / A. Ramirez
    26/35 - E. Andrus / BJ Upton
    27/34 - J. Weaver / K. Morales
    28/33 - J. Ellsbury / J. Morneau
    29/32 - I. Suzuki / D. Price
    30/31 - B. Butler/F. Liriano

    My Picks: Andrus is my first SS on the AL board, and getting that in round 3 when the pickings get extremely slim quickly was something I was happy about. 150/90/50/35/.270/.342/.320 is a potential line, and I really dig it for how weak SS is overall in the AL. FTR, I have him as my #1 over Jeter due to Jeters age.

    We debated between Upton and Scherzer here. Upton's been rumored to have worked on his swing a ton, and his 127/89/62/33/.237/.322/.424 line from last year feels like a floor more than a ceiling. CF is deeper than we first thought, but we ended up going with Upton for his upside + skipping on Scherzer due to our belief that we'd be fine with SP waiting more.

    Like/Dislike: Digging the Beltre pick. That lineup + that park should result in a great offensive season from Beltre. Not thrilled about Butler over Morneau (or Morales or Price) but with Morales' DL stint to start + curiosity of the lingering effects of a concussion that left Morneau in the dugout for the second half of the year I can understand it.

    Rounds 5/6
    41/60 - B. Zobrist / M. Rivera
    42/59 - J. Pierre / A. Hill
    43/58 - B. Morrow / B. Abreu
    44/57 - N. Markakis / D. Span
    45/56 - B. Anderson / T. Hunter
    46/55 - P. Konerko / A. Lind
    47/54 - B. Gardner / M. Reynolds
    48/53 - G. Beckham / C. Buchholz
    49/52 - C. Santana / B. Roberts
    50/51 - D. Young / J. Danks

    My Picks: We got some power in some needed positions in Konerko and Lind. I like Gardner but we already had Upton + was targeting Davis. There were still a bunch of catching options I liked on the board, so that and the uncertainly regarding Santana's lack of a knee made us stray from him. Same concept went for Beckham. We really wanted more power, and with what we perceived to be a dropoff at 1b decided to go with Konerko over Reynolds.

    Sadly for us, Reynolds didn't come back to us and we had to “settle” for Lind. His ESPN projection of 72/29 hr/88/.281 made us be over the Reynolds whiff pretty quickly.

    Like/Dislike: I feel that there were plenty of solid 2b options to pass over Brian Roberts for, but I've also been down on Roberts for a long while. On the other hand, I love the Zobrist pick. He's kind of a personal favorite of mine and was really hoping we'd be able to snag him.

    Rounds 7/8
    61/80 - M. Moreland / J. Nathan
    62/79 - N. Swisher / J. Shields
    63/78 - A. Jones / J. Papelbon
    64/77 - T. Snider / M. Thornton
    65/76 - J. Hellickson / M. Wieters
    66/75 - R. Davis / CJ Wilson
    67/74 - R. Raburn / E. Aybar
    68/73 - C. Quentin / C. Lewis
    69/72 - N. Feliz / V. Wells
    70/71 - H. Kendrick / C. Figgins

    My Picks: We had been targeting Davis for a few rounds and were happy to scoop him up. We loved his positional eligibility and feel he'll be pretty good in this format now that he's moved to a better park + offense.

    By round 8, we believed it was time to start our pitching rotation. Sadly, the guy we had been targeting since the start – Colby Lewis – got sniped from us two picks early. Can't bitch when you wait til round 8 though. We scooped up the other Texas SP with a good K rate and moved on.

    Our SP strategy was simple: With us waiting so long and having to sift between some back end guys to anchor our squad, we focused heavily on K/9 as we're going to need some of them to hit a good stride and guys with good strikeout capability seem like the best candidates to do so.

    Like/Dislike: Huge Raburn fan and was sad to see him go. It let us know that we were going to need to snag some 2b in the near future. Conversely, not a huge Nathan fan anymore. He's been shaky to say the least, is coming off of severe surgery, and we have no reason to believe he's the same RP. In a league with SV and HD being equal, I would have much preferred a potentially great MP there.

    Rounds 9/10/11/12
    81/100/101/120 - P. Hughes / Y. Escobar / D. Bard / R. Porcello
    82/99/102/119 - J. Beckett / E. Encarnacion / C. Sale / S. Baker
    83/98/103/118 - D. Lee / J. Valverde / M. Pineda / M. Aviles
    84/97/104/117 - M. Ramirez / E. Jackson / R. Soriano / C. Crisp
    85/96/105/116 - B. Matusz / T. Nishioka / M. Cuddyer / J. McGee
    86/95/106/115 - G. Gonzalez / S. Rodriguez / B. League / J. Peavy
    87/94/107/114 - K. Suzuki / T. Cahill / L. Scott / F. Gutierrez
    88/93/108/113 - A. Escobar / V. Guerrero / A. Bailey / G. Floyd
    89/92/109/112 - R. Romero / D. Ortiz / C. Perez / W. Davis
    90/91/110/111 - G. Sizemore / A. Cabrera / A. Jackson / J. Lackey

    My Picks: Still need SP going into this round. Gio has a great K rate, pitches in a pitcher's park, and had an acceptable year last year. He's a guy I've targeted a bunch, as a site or two I frequent have convinced me his walk rate (which is admittedly high) could drop this year bringing him into a good tier for SP. Projection seen: 12-8/3.60/1.28/195

    We've waited as long as possible for 2b with only 2 guys from our initial list still available: S. Rodriguez and T. Nishioka. We chose Rodriguez due to his CF eligibility + having at least some basis for a projection which we don't have with Nishioka. Either one was fine I think. Looking back, I think passing on Cano for Arod didn't matter. We select Encarnacion here with Cano instead, and I'd be happy with him as well.

    RP with a good chance of picking up some Sv early and holds late (or saves throughout) in a good park to pitch in and an acceptable K/9. In retrospect, I think Soriano + Pineda would have been better.

    As for Peavy, I have no idea what to expect. We needed another SP, and took a shot. Sadly for us, the Peavy blurb in the draft room next to his name said he had mild discomfort but not to worry. When the league was done, the blurb by his name on our team page said expect him to miss half the season. Like, fuck you ESPN.


    Like/Dislike: Love the Lackey pick this late as well as Sale. Dislike the Bailey pick solely because I've been hearing a lot of worrysome things from their camp.
    Edited By: DetUcf Mar 27th, 2011 at 01:39 AM
     
  20. Rest of draft:

    13.Dotel, RP: My RP explanations are not going to differ much from here on out. Sort by K/9 and then if it's close between two by K:BB. Dotel hasn't been under 10.5 since 2006.

    14.Jorge Posada, C: We kept passing on catching options. With the options remaining dwindling to Napoli and Posada, we pulled the trigger with the one we knew were getting at bats. If Napoli gets 400 Pas though I think he'll blow Posada away.

    15.Dallas Braden, SP: Our 3rd SP comes from a pitchers park, had a 118 ERA+ last year, a 2.63 K:BB ratio, and a 5.3 K/9 rate. Those numbers won't blow anyone away, but for where we're at in the draft I'm happy with it.

    16.Josh Willingham, LF: We're looking for guys with upside here. Slugged 459, 496, and 470 the last 3 years. If he can get the Pas in Oakland I love the value.

    17.Grant Balfour, RP: 9.1 and 3.29 in the only categories I care about for my RP (holds/saves will come with the good ratios)

    18.Koji Uehara, RP: If Balfour's 9.1 and 3.29 were pretty damn solid last year, how do we describe 11.3 and 11.0?

    19.Lorenzo Cain, CF: Sadly word broke this weekend that he's back to the minors :(. Luckily we have plenty of CF options to stash him on the bench and wait for him to come back up. I mean, how long could Melky possibly not suck?

    20.Darren Oliver, RP: 9.5 and 4.33

    21.Michael Wuertz, RP: 9.1 K/9. Sadly just a 1.90 K:BB rate, but we have enough guys at RP to make up for it. Should get plenty of holds/saves throughout the year for Oakland to make it worthwhile.

    22.Brandon McCarthy, SP: What do you know? Another SP shot in a pitcher's park (Oakland for 162 wins this year would be acceptable to our pitching rotation). McCarthy has a 6.1 K/9 rate for his career, and his ERA could be inflated by a career pitching for the White Sox and the Rangers. The move to Oakland should be a nice upgrade for him.

    23.Milton Bradly, LF: Nothing but a potential upside pick. He went off for a bit in Texas and we're trying to find someone who can potentially do it again. 23rd round pick whiffing won't lose us a league. Getting there could win it.

    24.Vin Mazzaro, SP: Our Oakland SP trend continues – if this was 2010. We wanted another SP, Mizzaro had an ERA+ last year of 97 and a K/9 of 5.8. It's worth a shot imo.

    25.Felipe Lopez: Dude plays 2b, 3b, and SS. That's really all.


    Hard to "dislike" anyone at this point since pickings are so slim, but is a "like" from each team...

    MilBestDrnkr -JP Arencibia,
    bluefront – J. Cust,
    Bubba – D. Murphy,
    BGX/PittProduct - B. Morel, 24th
    Larson/Pker4Dummies - B. Boesch,
    93-97- Masterson, LaPorta, Rauch, Montero
    Futon/Blackout - Guthrie
    PGH/BigEarn - K. Kouzmanoff,
    BirdWings/Gateman - Fuentes


    Quick Overall Analysis: I'm pretty happy with the way the team came out. Our pitching is thrown together, but I think each of our choices have the capability to produce this year. We had to counteract a pretty high K:BB from our first few SP (Wilson and Gio) and I think the plethora of RP will do just that. I'm happy with each of our positional players – the positions we passed for better value later all worked out – and our late round picks of Willingham and Bradley could bode well for us.

    This was the first single league draft I've ever done, and enjoyed it immensely. Thx to 9793 for running it and gl everyone.

    PS: As happy as I am with AL, I feel like NL went horrible.
     
  21. just stopped by to LOL @ "experts" in the title
  22. Im pretty sure if you grabbed Raburn instead of Rajai, we were grabbing Rajai with that pick right behind you.
  23. haha anytime someone seems to be on the same page as me it makes me feel better :)

    Knowing we wound up with S. Rodriguez I think it worked out best this way for us, but man I love Raburn
     
  24. Ha, I love these. I had no idea that 1) you waited until the 8th Round to grab a SP, 2) you have 4/5 of Oakland's rotation. Your hitting must be pretty good.

    I was going to take Uehara when you grabbed him. I'm not sure if I would have had a spot to take him a round or two earlier or not (he definitely would have been a target), but I did pretty poor/lazy research on him. Thought he was somewhat injured, but it appears as if he is okay and will be ready to go to start the year.

    Really like Posada where he is being drafted this year and would have preferred him over Napoli in a vacuum. So you like LaPorta? In general, or just think he is good value as the last 1B off the board? Either way, that makes one of us. Meh, he was an original dynasty pick of mine out of college and he hasn't panned out, maybe now that I don't give a shit, he have a decent year.
    Thread Starter
  25. haha I figured if I'm gonna have to dig deep for pitching, might as well dig deep in a great pitchers park. Oakland SPs have been pretty good for me in the past and Im hoping the trend continues.

    I've liked LaPorta for a while despite his poor results thus far. The guy had such potential coming up, and I'm not going to write him off so quickly. There's a learning curve, and compared to the other guys at that spot he's got a pretty high ceiling.


    Also, can't wait tilyou go over the NL one. We tried to draft SS aggressively to hurt everyone else by reaching a bit imo for Rollins and Furcal and I'm not entirely sure how I feel about the result. We also took SP much earlier, which makes little sense considering NL should have more pitching and with the extra MI CI slots the hitting would be more important. Idk. Just curious on everyones thoughts on that one too
    Edited By: DetUcf Mar 27th, 2011 at 02:15 AM
     
  26.  
    Originally Posted by DetUcf View Post

    Rest of draft:

    MilBestDrnkr -JP Arencibia,
    bluefront – J. Cust,
    Bubba – D. Murphy,
    BGX/PittProduct - B. Morel, 24th
    Larson/Pker4Dummies - B. Boesch,
    93-97- Masterson, LaPorta, Rauch, Montero
    Futon/Blackout - Guthrie
    PGH/BigEarn - K. Kouzmanoff,
    BirdWings/Gateman - Fuentes

    .

    I hope he pans out. Was banking on getting Wieters and when he fell off the board I was pretty much screwed @ Catcher.
  27. MilBest, who would you have taken #1 if you had been there?

    Although Crawford was my gut a month ago, I would have taken Miggy if I had the #1 pick. I could've swore that at some point in the past, if you looked at the 'Draft/Auction' List (and hence the Draft Room) that you can set, it was arranged according to the league settings, but it isn't that way right now.
    Thread Starter
  28.  
    Originally Posted by Pker4Dummies View Post

    I fucking knew we took Aybar too early.

    Not looking forward to the NL one so I can read about how you took at least 5 different guys the round before we were about to.

    On some real shit, sick write up tho.

    The very pick before ours! I was actually starting to get pissed.
  29. I swear, I had one - ONE - guy in my queue at one point in the NL league and it was Rafael Betancourt and he wasn't anywhere near the top. His K/9 and K:BB is just ridiculous. As I'm chatting to RJA while 93 is going in the tank I just sigh and tell him he's obv taking Betancourt here and poof. There he goes. Most of them didn't really bother me as they were near the top. That one irked me tho lol
     
  30. So it seems that taking Morneau over Billy Butler is the consensus here and that Billy B was a meh pick at 30-31 pick.

    I'm extemely high on Butler this year in hopes he can finally find his power in what should be an improved KC line-up (I know that KC line-up is still lol bad) I just like guys I can trust with high averages, low injury risk, and power potential. And in a 7X7 where HR's don't count I love Butler even more.