2012 Oscars: Sunday, Feb 26th on ABC



I am putting in bold who I think will win.
I am putting in italics who I think should win.

I will update my picks the week before, because I'm sure they will change.

Nominees:

http://oscar.go.com/nominees

Best actress in a supporting role

Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids - An obvious attempt to appeal to a wider audience
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs - Haven't seen it
Octavia Spencer, The Help - Even splitting the vote with Chastain I think she gets it. I guess with this list I give it to her as well, though I think Chastain should have been nominated for Tree of Life.

Best actor in a supporting role

Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn - Haven't seen it
Jonah Hill, Moneyball - no chance, happy to be nominated I'm sure
Nick Nolte, Warrior - Haven't seen it, but I don't think he gets it
Christopher Plummer, Beginners - Haven't seen it, but I think it is his based on previous wins
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - Haven't seen it

Best actress in a leading role Haven't seen 3 of these so can't really pick my favorite

Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week with Marilyn

Best actor in a leading role

Demián Bichir, A Better Life
George Clooney, The Descendants
Jean Dujardin, The Artist He carried this film and it looks like it will get lots of love from the Academy
Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy - Surprising - I love it, but didn't expect it, and don't think he can win
Brad Pitt, Moneyball

Best director

Michel Hazavanicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo - I like him to win and I would be happy if he did.
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life - Happy to see it, but I'm not sure it can win against this year's nominees

Best original Screenplay

The Artist
Bridesmaids
Margin Call
Midnight in Paris I didn't see A Separation but it is going to win Foreign film, so I think Woody gets this one, and I just happened to love the film.
A Separation

Best adapted screenplay

The Descendants
Hugo
Ides of March
Moneyball - Just a gut feeling
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy

Best foreign language film Can't really comment, just on what I have heard

Bullhead
Footnote
In Darkness
Monsieur Lazhar
A Separation

Best animated film - I have absolutely no idea

A Cat in Paris
Chico And Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Rango
Puss in Boots

Best picture Not a great year in my opinion but some really good ones and some laughable ones.

War Horse - Lol at a Best picture nomination. If this wins it will be worse than Shakespeare in Love or Crash.
The Artist - Maybe the favorite?
Moneyball - Not gonna do it
The Descendants - Strong contender
The Tree of Life - I don't think it can win here
Midnight in Paris - Loved it, but not gonna take it
The Help - Outside dark horse, but not for me
Hugo - One of 3 I think has a chance
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close - LOL... All I have heard is how shitty this.. haven't seen it though

Art direction

The Artist
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
War Horse

Cinematography

The Artist
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Costume design I don't know enough here so I'm guessing

Anonymous
The Artist
Hugo
Jane Eyre
W.E.

Documentary feature - Didn't see enough so I'm guessing

Hell and Back Again
If A Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Undefeated

Documentary short subject Can't even guess

The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
God is the Bigger Elvis
Incident in New Baghdad
Saving Face
The Tsumani and the Cherry Blossom

Film editing
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball

Sound editing

Drive
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Sound mixing

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Hugo
Moneyball
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Visual effects

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Real Steel
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon

Make up Can't even guess

Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
The Iron Lady

Music (original score) I'm not sure on this one

The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
The Artist
Hugo
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Music (original song)

The Muppets
Rio

Short film (animated) Can't even guess

Dimanche / Sunday
The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr Morris Lessmore
La Luna
A Morning Stroll
Wild Life

Short film (live action) Can't even guess

Pentecost
Raju
The Shore
Time Freak
Tuba Atlantic

No nomination for Michael Fassbender who gave the year's best performance in Shame.

This must feel like deja vu for Fassbender whose brilliant performance in Hunger wasoverlooked by the Academy a couple of years ago.

Just terrible.

I am glad Demian Bichir got a nod in the same category for his role in A Better Life, though. Such a subtle yet powerful performance reminiscent of Hanks in Road to Perdition.

Yeeees Hugo, hope it cleans up! I still have a lot to see, but it's firmly entrenched at the top of my 2011 list.

nine films nominated for best film? I guess it's good for business.

and I do not know any of the best actress in a supporting role nominees, nunca.

lol @ the artist. A film that only attracted a million viewers in France.

That shows you what a influencial person can do to promote a movie. This is the only reason for such coverage.

Well done Harvey Weinstein

what's yours? Are you telling me that Dujardin is to USA what jerry Lewis was to France 50 years ago? a complete failure at home and a succes overseas.

All I was saying is that It only took Weinstein to lobby for the movie to have it succeed at the awards.

My wife rented "The Help" the other night. I thought it would suck since I'm more of an action movie guy. But I really ended up enjoying the movie alot. Octavia Spencer was really good in the movie, hope she wins even though I have not seen the other nominees.

Have no desire to see War Horse.

if Hugo doesnt win for sound mixing, this whole thing is rigged

yea wtf... where are the drive nominations.

They can fo with only one nominaion for Drive

Where does Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close rank among the worst-reviewed Best Picture nominees of all time? I mean...it has 48% on Rotten Tomatoes, 46/100 on Metacritic. I wonder where the disconnect between the Academy and film reviewers came from?

why is shakespeare in love getting so much hate, that is one of my favorite movies.

 

Originally Posted by Pghfan987

OMG if Tree of Life wins Best Picture I am going to boycott ... something. That's the only movie I've ever actually walked out of the theater for. The first 20 minutes is a bunch of close ups of Brad Pitt's chin, and then there is a 3-4 minute span where there is nothing on the screen but paint swirling while classical music plays, which is supposed to represent the creation of the Earth or something. It was the most awful, pretentious bullshit I ever saw. I was told I am supposed to be amazed by the cinematography, but I wanted to kill that director.

Exactly why awards for art in general are never going accomplish too much. I mean, my favorite film of the year may be Take Shelter, which got no noms and not many have seen, and I thought Fassbender for Shame should have gotten one... I also loved Tree of Life but hated War Horse... I am int he camp of Shakespeare in Love being utter crap as well. Nobody will ever agree, but as long as things exist people will try to rank them.

In regards to Nolte and Plummer's nominations for best supporting actor, I saw both films and I think Plummer did a better job and his character was more memorable (Beginners was also a better film imo). Nolte was good, don't get me wrong, I just don't think it's fair at all to say that if Plummer gets the award it'll be based largely on the fact that he's a fossil.

edit: I also agree that Jonah Hill's nomination is laughable.

50/50 too, absolutely no nominations for that... seriously?