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thoughts
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are you going to make one of these posts for all of your picks?
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No VJax/Cromartie, and McNeil out (I think correct me if I'm wrong)= the Chiefs do have a shot, we're gonna score some points...unfortunately we still haven't solved our run defense (Matthews is gonna go off). 31-17 Chargers imo
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Chiefs ML+ the over
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playwithfire... sorry only a 1 or 2 a week.
Edited By: allisswell Sep 13th, 2010 at 05:08 AM -
just a moron would like the chargers at -5.5 when you can get it at -4.5 with no juice right now
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we still have norv so no i don't like them at -5.5 or any spread for that matter. norv is the worst hc in the league by far.
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ehh forget it...our only legit pass rusher Tamba Hali is questionable/doubtful...take the Chargers and the Over and don't think twice
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Trap Trap Trap Trap Trap.
See Colts, Cowboys, 49ers.
Im not saying take KC at all, imo this game is a DONT TOUCH. I think it is never a profitable thing in the long run to take a team that is FAVORED playing a division rival on the road ESPECIALLY in week 1. Niceguy likes the ML and while I think the chargers will PROBABLY win I wouldnt be shocked at all if KC won the game. Its just not a good wager in the long run with a rookie running back that has never taken an NFL carry. If this were week 13 you might be able to make a better decision.
Basically what im saying is you are better off flipping a coin for $$$ rather than betting on this game.
The only bet that stands out to me tomorrow is Baltimore @ Ny Jets Under 36.5 I dont see this game going over 30. -
like the under on jets ravens also...
Edited By: allisswell Sep 13th, 2010 at 06:34 AM -
Originally Posted by GuidoAsassin
Trap Trap Trap Trap Trap.
See Colts, Cowboys, 49ers.
Im not saying take KC at all, imo this game is a DONT TOUCH. I think it is never a profitable thing in the long run to take a team that is FAVORED playing a division rival on the road ESPECIALLY in week 1. Niceguy likes the ML and while I think the chargers will PROBABLY win I wouldnt be shocked at all if KC won the game. Its just not a good wager in the long run with a rookie running back that has never taken an NFL carry. If this were week 13 you might be able to make a better decision.
Basically what im saying is you are better off flipping a coin for $$$ rather than betting on this game.
The only bet that stands out to me tomorrow is Baltimore @ Ny Jets Under 36.5 I dont see this game going over 30.
I have to disagree, right now is the best time to exploit the books. They too are figuring out the new season and they are going to make mistakes, if you have the balls to make your own decisions about team personnel, trends, teams that are going to breakout, or just plain taking advantage of incorrect lines and make your plays accordingly there is lots of money to be made early in the season.
You can get SD - 4.5 on Linesmaker but there is always juice, - 4.5 on Pinnacle +100 as well. -
Public plays have never won have they? Sometimes Vegas is forced into a situation where they simply cant put the line low enough. For instance have you ever seen an NFL game capped below 30 for the o/u? HELL NO! This game still wont hit 30. I think Vegas is able to afford to take a few hits now and then. Do you think that every single game that has 60% of the public or more loses every time? If so then i just found a get rich quick scheme!
Edited By: GuidoAsassin Sep 13th, 2010 at 09:10 AM -
Good points. Also, I fell for the 49ers and Dallas trap. I agree this is a gamble for entertainment only type of bet.
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GOOOOOOOOO CHIEFS! I'll be rockin my red and yellow at the bar tomorrow night after spending all day lounging by the pool. Should be a good day.
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I'll be at Arrowhead, Drunk as fuck. Oh yeah, no way we lose the home opener.
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Edited By: Howdoiplayxx Sep 13th, 2010 at 04:18 PMwat the fuck r u talking about? i dont consider 60% of the "public" on a side to be a public play....but a few examples....Originally Posted by GuidoAsassin
Public plays have never won have they? Sometimes Vegas is forced into a situation where they simply cant put the line low enough. For instance have you ever seen an NFL game capped below 30 for the o/u? HELL NO! This game still wont hit 30. I think Vegas is able to afford to take a few hits now and then. Do you think that every single game that has 60% of the public or more loses every time? If so then i just found a get rich quick scheme!
cleveland vs tampa, line opened at +1, over 90% of public was on cleveland, line closed at +3 so you are telling me EVERYONE was betting cleveland and EVERYONE continued to get a better line? so i bet tampa.....what happened?
indy vs houston.....over 85% of public was on indy, i bet houston....what happened?
49ers vs seahwks.....OVER 92% of public was on SF, i bet hawks despite me having a huge bet on 9ers to win division.......what happened?
wvu vs marhshall.....over 85% of public was on WVU, i bet marshall.....what happened?
not saying its a get rich scheme you fuckbag, but its certainly not vegas giving money away, and i have seen plenty games capped below 30....so dont come in here and start yappin from your trap unless you know what the fuck you are talking about....which clearly you dont
i give lessons on wednesday mornings, not mondays, so thatll be enough....lemme know if ur interested ;-) -
Miami -3 @ the Bills.... 85% of the public was Miami.... what happened?
Originally Posted by Howdoiplayxx
wat the fuck r u talking about? i dont consider 60% of the "public" on a side to be a public play....but a few examples....
cleveland vs tampa, line opened at +1, over 90% of public was on cleveland, line closed at +3 so you are telling me EVERYONE was betting cleveland and EVERYONE continued to get a better line? so i bet tampa.....what happened?
indy vs houston.....over 85% of public was on indy, i bet houston....what happened?
49ers vs seahwks.....OVER 92% of public was on SF, i bet hawks despite me having a huge bet on 9ers to win division.......what happened?
wvu vs marhshall.....over 85% of public was on WVU, i bet marshall.....what happened?
not saying its a get rich scheme you fuckbag, but its certainly not vegas giving money away, and i have seen plenty games capped below 30....so dont come in here and start yappin from your trap unless you know what the fuck you are talking about....which clearly you dont
i give lessons on wednesday mornings, not mondays, so thatll be enough....lemme know if ur interested ;-)
GB -3 @ Philly... 83% of the public was on GB.... what happened?
Cards -3 @ STL... 63% of the public was on the Cards... what happened?
Im sure I could find more in college but you get the point. Sick sample size tho....











