I always like to take a look and see if there is something I should snap up before it goes up.  Anyone else think Colts -3.5 at Tenn is a tad low?  Or is this some crazy trap I am missing?  Is it cause there is no way the Titans start 0-5?  Let me know what you guys think.

 Im a Pats homer and the Pats traditionally do not do well in Mile High.  Im expecting a close game, but a Pats win obv.  Might go ML on that one.  

Tenn just looks like they gave up already.  Collins is old, and Young doesnt really seem to care anymore.  Haynesworth was their heart and soul on D and hes gone.  The team seems like an empty shell of themselves from last season.

mhoddi u are the man but there is a reason u dont bet sports anymore.

should be 100%

Hm, Tennessee's defense is horribad, and they are playing one of the best offenses in the league, plus a defense that is looking fairly solid at least. -3.5 is insanely low.

 

Originally Posted by rocksolid124

Hm, Tennessee's defense is horribad, and they are playing one of the best offenses in the league, plus a defense that is looking fairly solid at least. -3.5 is insanely low.

The titans always play the colts tough. Every year. Never a blowout. White and Johnson vs a run defense half of ot could get 75 yards on will keep the game close.

Dwight freeny is limping as usual, so collins can be his usual *as long as I don't see any pressure* above average self.

 

Originally Posted by marinersheep

As for the Titans/Colts line, here's the thing. Tennessee's biggest strength is running the football. Indy's biggest weakness is defending the run. Smash 'N' Dash at home on a Sunday night against the Colts isn't really something you want to put too much money on. Just a few weeks ago, Indy went into Miami and only had the ball for 15 minutes against the Dolphins two-headed monster of Brown and Williams. It's a tempting line to bet, and I'll probably end up taking the Colts. However, this is not a good match-up for Indy.

Let me preface this by saying I'm a huge Titans homer who watches every game, most home games in person (brag: Have tix for Sunday night). I agree with a lot of what you said mariner about Titans strength is the run and Colts weakness is run D.

Here's the problem tho. Titans were already one of the worst pass defenses this season before injuries (mostly due to loss of Albert, some due to loss of Jim Schwartz). Now we know that Titans will be without nickelback Vinny Fuller (fractured arm) and its looking like a huge possibility that Titans will be without Cortland Finnegan (hamstring) and/or Nick Harper (ribs). Behind Harper and Finnegan on the depth chart are two rookies in McCourty and Mouton (who is 5'9"). David Garrard (who has averaged about 220 yds/game over last three years) just threw for 323 yds and 3 tds against the Titans. Sims-Walker had 7 rec. 91 yds and 2 tds. Peyton, Wayne, Clark, Garcon and Collie will eat the Titans alive.

Also, the offense is struggling big-time. Six of first seven drives last week lasted three plays or less. KFC overthrew his receivers around 11 times. Titans can def run the ball but its kinda hard when you get down 14 pts to start the game.

As much as it pains me to say this, I'm going big on Indy. I really hope I'm wrong, but I see the Colts winning this one by at least 2 tds. My advice would be jump on this while its -4 (-105) because if the CBs are ruled out this line will really move and I think it has a lot of value even if they play because neither will be close to 100%.

/my2cents

EDIT: I really hope come Monday morning that this post is quoted with comments such as lolLocks and GamblingFail.jpegs, etc. because this season has been so painful to watch so far and a good performance on Sunday would give some hope.

Its not ideal, but I know value when I see it. I would gladly sacrifice my bet for a Titans win over the Colts.

EDIT: Also not sure what your point is bettn.

The bottom line is that its never fun for me when the Titans lose.

Are you suggesting that someone should never bet against their team even if its the most obvious of value bets (that makes no sense) or

Are you suggesting I shouldn't go to the game because my honest unbiased opinion is that this Sunday the Colts should be favored by several points more than 4 (I'm not gonna let the fact that the Titans have sucked so far stop me from having a good time at a huge game).

I'm pretty sure I can say I would never bet enough for the loss of the bet to effect how much I enjoy going to a game, especially one where the Titans win. At the same time, if we are gonna suck, I might as well profit off of it. Have you ever been to an NFL game, much less a Sunday night game?

I don't get the point of your post other than to flame. I would really love to hear your thoughts if you disagree with my position that Colts should be favored by more.

 

Originally Posted by truesyalose

mhoddi u are the man but there is a reason u dont bet sports anymore.

haha well obv I was using 25% just to make a point, and I don't bet sports cause I suck most weekends... but that line would be my 2nd best bet so far this year (other one was SF +7 @ minn 2 weeks ago)

steelers are going to run up the score on detroit. 17 point win easily.. plus Carolina gets a confidence booster in the redskins.. coming off a bye, they are at home. SKins arent playing well.

 

Originally Posted by BigOrangeFan

Its not ideal, but I know value when I see it. I would gladly sacrifice my bet for a Titans win over the Colts.

EDIT: Also not sure what your point is bettn.

The bottom line is that its never fun for me when the Titans lose.

Are you suggesting that someone should never bet against their team even if its the most obvious of value bets (that makes no sense) or

Are you suggesting I shouldn't go to the game because my honest unbiased opinion is that this Sunday the Colts should be favored by several points more than 4 (I'm not gonna let the fact that the Titans have sucked so far stop me from having a good time at a huge game).

I'm pretty sure I can say I would never bet enough for the loss of the bet to effect how much I enjoy going to a game, especially one where the Titans win. At the same time, if we are gonna suck, I might as well profit off of it. Have you ever been to an NFL game, much less a Sunday night game?

I don't get the point of your post other than to flame. I would really love to hear your thoughts if you disagree with my position that Colts should be favored by more.

gotta get value where you see it. I was in a casino last monday for boys panthers. line for game was -9. game for 1st half was -7. figured a TD was wayyy too much to pass up even as a diehard cowboys fan. so i took panthers 1st half big. then took cowboys 2nd half smallish so i could cheer my team onto victory!

money is money its not like you have any control over the outcome of the game.