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Early Week 3 Lines

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  1. shipitthisway shipitthisway is offline

    Wheeling, WV
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:23pm)

    Here's my system for NFL games :

    Tuesday - bet games that I feel strong about early where I think the line is going to jump.

    Sunday - bet the rest of games after studying and seeing injury reports

    Early games I just parlayed :

    Philly (-6.5) at San Fran with
    Atlanta (-3.5) at New Orleans

    get Atlanta now at -3.5, my guess is it will be around -6 when we kickoff Monday night
     
  2. AllenRay4 AllenRay4 is offline

    Minneapolis, MN
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:40pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    completely agree with you on ATL.....saints are 2-0 but beat two crappy teams at home (still noteworthy but it was CLE and GB)....the ATL should roll them although the saints will probably fly out of the gates with all the katrina talk and this being the first game at the superdome. but atl plays in a dome, vick does well vs them and the saints cant hang with a quality team

    ATL 21-10
  3. MadTiger MadTiger is offline

    Akron, OH
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:43pm) in reply to AllenRay4

    Ditto ATL

    I am going on record early to say 49ers might get motivated by their recent win to give Philly some fight.
  4. TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline haters gonna hate

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:47pm) in reply to MadTiger

    my thoughts exactly... I like Atl but San Fran scares me for some reason...
     1
  5. BigBadDevil BigBadDevil is offline

    San Diego, CA
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:50pm) in reply to TheWacoKidd

    since when do a bunch of big muscular guys from San Francisco wearing tight pants scare you?
  6. Brian Lerner Brian Lerner is offline

    Fishers, IN
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:55pm) in reply to BigBadDevil

    They scare me since they crushed my 5 team parlay this last weekend by beating St. Louis outright as a 3 point dog.
  7. shipitthisway shipitthisway is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 4:58pm) in reply to BigBadDevil

    philly vs. san fran 2005 = fantasy league I'm in actually changes scoring system because of McNabb torching the 49ers D for 5 TDs. I think both teams have gotten better, but Philly is a team that tends to take care of business vs. lesser teams. They have a brutal division and know that they can't give an inch to teams like San Fran.
     
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  8. DaNatural22 DaNatural22 is offline

    Pismo Beach, CA
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:01pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    New Orleans plays Atlanta tough every year and that game is going to be the first game in New Orleans since the hurricane. Buyer Beware.
  9. CFH101 CFH101 is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:04pm) in reply to DaNatural22

    Those are two of my fav lines shipit ......

    But Balt -6 looks the best out of any week 3 lines ...

    F'n clev sucks ....

    Anyways , some decent lines this week ...
    Chi - 3 and Gmen +4 are nice as well.
  10. Mikey_Cash Mikey_Cash is offline

    Williamsburg, VA
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:13pm) in reply to CFH101

    I like: 40 to win 541 for

    chi -4

    balt - -7

    philly -6.5

    atl - 3.5
  11. coll28 coll28 is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:19pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    Kearse is out for the season. NO is playing at home so there will be a lot of extra energy going around.

    SHIP IS HOT!!!!!!

    The jacksonville pull was great IMO.

    Thanks
    Chip
  12. WiCane WiCane is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:25pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    I don't want to sound like I know everything but the general public will be pounding those two teams hard, which isn't usually a good sign for betting. The public plays have been winning so far this year but in most years those are the games you want to fade.
     
  13. shipitthisway shipitthisway is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:35pm) in reply to WiCane

    Bottom line of sportsbetting, keep your mind open, don't fall into stereotypical traps.

    The Steelers were a public play ...
     
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  14. IBGrindin IBGrindin is offline

    Columbus, OH
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:39pm) in reply to WiCane

    I'm pretty new to sports betting but how come not all the lines are out, or is that just Bodog? I dont have the lines for Cin/Pit, Jac/Ind, Wash/Hou, Car/TB. I'd gues Pitt and Jacksonville bc of the Monday Night game but I'm clueless for the other ones. Also, what usually pays better, the spread, or picking a team to win outright?
     
  15. Xmas32 Xmas32 is offline

    Omaha, NE
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:49pm) in reply to IBGrindin

    Don't waste your time betting sports on Bodog unless you like betting shitty lines and paying too much juice. Transfer your funds to Pinnaclesports.com.
  16. amac1212 amac1212 is offline

    Peoria, IL
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:56pm) in reply to Xmas32

    Why is pinnacle so much better...can i have some examples b/c i dont wanna go through the hastle of transerring funds for nothing...
  17. CUPCAKE JOE CUPCAKE JOE is offline

    Los Angeles, CA
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 5:59pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    NEVADA over Northwestern on friday should be a good one.
    Nevada has covered 11 of last 13 at home, as well as covered 6 0f last 7 hosting non-WAC opponents.
  18. DonkeyThis DonkeyThis is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 6:01pm) in reply to CUPCAKE JOE

    I agree. I like Air Force against Wyoming also.
  19. MadTiger MadTiger is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 6:01pm) in reply to amac1212

    The "price" for a bet is worse on favorites at BoDog.

    The vigorish (vig), the juice, the rake is at -104 for Pinnacle, and it is usuall -110 or more at BoDog.

    For the same line, say ATL -3, would you rather pay 104 or 110?
  20. MadTiger MadTiger is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 6:02pm) in reply to MadTiger

    I like their explanation the best out of ones I have read:

    http://www.bettorsworld.com/dragon-reduced.htm
  21. POT BULLY POT BULLY is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 6:46pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    New Orleans wins outright. Atlanta's D not that good, played 2 bad offenses. I think Atlanta has a little bit of a letdown after beating the Bucs who had owned them for the last 4 seasons. Brees, Bush, and Duece > Vick and Dunn. New Orleans D can play a little as well.
  22. Xmas32 Xmas32 is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 8:27pm) in reply to POT BULLY

    New Orleans D is probably the worst in the league, cmon they gave up 27 to a very mediocre GB team.
  23. shipitthisway shipitthisway is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 8:36pm) in reply to Xmas32

    Atlanta is going to absolutely crush New Orleans' line. Won't even be close.

    Green Bay is my favorite team, and they should have beat the Saints Sunday. Not only that, but Favre had all day to throw, and the Packers have a very subpar line.

    Vick looks to be better than ever. People always criticize his QB play, but let's face it, this is going to be the new breed of QB. Vick is going to get 70-80 rush yards a game and is absolutely dangerous on bootlegs in the open field. Dunn will get over 100 as Atlanta will run all night
     
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  24. codeman11 codeman11 is offline

    Fayetteville, AR
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 8:39pm) in reply to shipitthisway

    bears -3 at MIN...lock?
  25. jugdish31 jugdish31 is offline

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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 10:12pm) in reply to codeman11

    the past few years the bears havent played well at the metro dome but i remeber last year the bears played their second stringers @ the dome to rest up for the playoffs. i think the bears are much better this year and i like them at -3, but probably not much more.
  26. Saintsfan1 Saintsfan1 is offline

    Nashville, TN
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    Sep 19th, 2006 (9/19/2006 10:17pm) in reply to jugdish31

    I am a little bias, however when ATL & NO play the home team usually loses. I would stay away from this game only becasue of the emotional factor involved, but normally ATL is an easy pick here.

    Chicago & Washington are locks this week. Wash 0-2 and can beat up on Houston.
  27. Xmas32 Xmas32 is offline

    Omaha, NE
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    Sep 20th, 2006 (9/20/2006 12:03am) in reply to Saintsfan1

    I like Washington but am curious to see the status of Springs before making any wagers.
  28. seeeeb seeeeb is offline

    Chula Vista, CA
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    Sep 20th, 2006 (9/20/2006 12:13am) in reply to shipitthisway

    personally, i stop reading a betting post as soon as the word "lock" is used. anyone who has been betting sports for more than a week or two understands that a "lock" just doesnt exist.

    thank you
  29. Saintsfan1 Saintsfan1 is offline

    Nashville, TN
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    Sep 20th, 2006 (9/20/2006 12:51am) in reply to seeeeb

    EDIT: SUPER LOCK!!!
  30. rocafella84 rocafella84 is offline

    NY
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    Sep 20th, 2006 (9/20/2006 1:48am) in reply to Saintsfan1

    maybe I'm the only one, but I def think the vikings have a great shot to beat the bears outright. Brad Johnson makes very few mistakes, the vikings defense is very solid, and we can no longer count on their moronic coaching(see MIKE TICE) to lose them games. I see a trap there for everyone claiming that game is a near lock for CHI.
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