Watcha got? I have these so far. WVU tonight is -2.5. Public is all over it and I am really fighting the urge to join them. Thoughts?


Oklahoma+4
S Miss+15..................W
Clemson+7.5
Mich St+9.5
LSU-13
Utah St-13.5
WVU-2.5.....................W
ohio+3.5.....................W
ohio/NI u72.5.............W
Iowa st+10.5
syracuse+10.5..............L
UConn+9
hou/usm u73.5
unlv+39
idaho+19
mid tenn st+4.5

yea its steaming pretty good towards WVU. S Fla has sucked balls the last few weeks too, but I hate WV, they rarely show up for big games, but this isnt that big of a game so idk yet.

This is Okie State's year to finally get over the BCS hump IMO. If both teams were healthy I'd snap take OU +3/4, but they're not even close. They're a mess offensively, and their best cover CB, Flemming has been dinged up all year. I'd recommend you watch (or re-watch) the OU/ISU game from last week before putting a play in.

 

Originally Posted by quietwinner

yea its steaming pretty good towards WVU. S Fla has sucked balls the last few weeks too, but I hate WV, they rarely show up for big games, but this isnt that big of a game so idk yet.

WVU has to win this game to stay in the BCS bowl hunt, that seems pretty big to me. I think you have to throw out WVU previous struggles @ USF for this game. In the past, WVU has usually played @ USF early in the year where homefield advantage is a bigger deal. If the crowd is anything like what I saw LW at the USF/UL game, HF will be a non-factor. What does concern me is WVU has struggled to protect Smith all year and USF is top 10 in sacks. WVU did try to remedy that problem by swapping out 2 OL last week vs Pitt, and it seemed to work out.

 

Originally Posted by ugain2004

Here's my guesses....

WV -3 - Line has moved a field goal toward WV since opening. SF started year strong but have really slowed down the past month or so. I'm on the Mountaineers.

Northern Illinois -3.5 - Not a lot of talk here, NO has a powerful offense that was a little slow last week. Look for them to paint the scoreboard on Friday night.

Oklahoma +3.5 - Okie State has struggled with a lot of teams this year and should probably be a 3-4 loss team. Look for this one to be close with the Sooners taking it home straight up, but I'll take the field goal and the hook.

Utah State -13.5 - Utah State is a pretty good squad and New Mexico State isn't, lets keep this simple.

BYU -8 - Hawaii was brought under investigation for point shaving, hopefully they didn't get the message. BYU has played good football since the halfway mark. Take the Cougs and lay the 8.

*Alert* HOMER PICK FYI
UGA +13.5 - This is a homer pick, but I do feel like UGA matches up well with LSU. LSU hasn't seen a defense like UGA other than Alabama and they scored 9 points in that one. UGA has a better offense than Alabama and will score some points. Georgia's D is ranked #5 in the country and they have big guys on the line of scrimmage which should help stop LSU's running game. If UGA can make the honey badger a non-factor (which will be hard to do), I think Georgia could shock the world Saturday.

Yay. It is -14.5 everywhere, but I found it -13.5 on neverfelted.eu

and

derp, Georgia doesnt really have the 5th best defense in the country. They played a schedule of the weakest offenses imaginable. They are nothing like Bama. I doubt their offense is even as good as Bamas.

 

Originally Posted by ugain2004

Well you seem to be well informed, I'd like for you to ask Clint Moseley how good they were. He played against Alabama, LSU, and UGA. His answer may surprise you. But I assume you know more than the Quarterback for Auburn because you watched a game or two this year? Like I said, LSU is a better team than UGA, I'm not debating that. But can UGA win Saturday? Yes.

Levelers gonna Level.

This guy is the exact reason they keep putting out retarded LSU lines. This team is one of the best EVER. Clint Mosely...doubt any of his opinions are biased.

Well, I won't continue with the banter, I'll revisit this thread next week and either eat crow or remind you about your comments. Deal?

Point of the post is, take the picks I listed and cash your ticket Saturday night.

LSU line is insanely juicy. Georgia i dont even think has a win over a team in the top 30 at least, they are really not that good. Boise St Lines pushed around GA at the start of the year, and they cant even touch LSUs toughness. This line is simply being held down by it being played in the GA dome, but shouldnt have an effect. People thought SOuth Carolina had a chance against Auburn last year, and it wasnt even close. Expect the same type of result this time around as well. Night and day difference between the two divisions.

Georgia will lose by 20+
Clemson looks like shit, nice revenge spot for VT
Not touching the game tonight. Line scares me
Think Mich St struggles in this one. This game is tough though. Anything and everything had to happen for Wisc to lose the first time around.
Revenge spot for Houston. Line opened at 17...
Oklahoma is beaten up. Prob not gonna bet this game but would lean OSU

Pretty much opposite of you this weekend. Think many favs cover this weekend

 

Originally Posted by Sweetness777

LSU line is insanely juicy. Georgia i dont even think has a win over a team in the top 30 at least, they are really not that good. Boise St Lines pushed around GA at the start of the year, and they cant even touch LSUs toughness. This line is simply being held down by it being played in the GA dome, but shouldnt have an effect. People thought SOuth Carolina had a chance against Auburn last year, and it wasnt even close. Expect the same type of result this time around as well. Night and day difference between the two divisions.

i will take UGA str-8 up in their bowl...........there you go ugain2004, thatll quiet them down a bit.

 

Originally Posted by mattg1983

Based on what? The 19-10 win over Kentucky at the end of the year?

UF had about everyone and had the lead but they never doubted. and vandy has a scrappy team, yes im serious. and they killed AU. anyway....uga runs the ball really well and they DO have a damn good dee. other than LSU and BAMA name 3 more that are better than UGA? ill help ya, there aint 3.

by the nature of their offense they play lower scoring games typically. its just that this week uga is outmatched everywhere. i hate em but they are a good team.

 

Originally Posted by mattg1983

Brave of you to be willing to bet a bunch of favorites straight up

favorites? how? against who? hell for all i know, theyll play in the sugar.

 

Originally Posted by mattg1983

scratches head

well, if you mean vandy, the took ark. USC and UF to the wire. they arent a bad team......i dont know im just talkin crap. bottom line, uga will make you look right this week.

Any chance Boise St doesn't win by 48? I know New Mexico sucks but 48? Really?

 

Originally Posted by ndgrinder59

On W. Virginia tonight also, How can you pass on a small spread to keep the teams BCS hopes alive vs a 2nd string QB....I disagree with Clemson and Mich St but everything looks fine. GL

I actually feel fantastic about the Clemson bet. 71% of the action is on Tech yet the line is at 6.5 now. Im tempted to bet the ML.

 

Originally Posted by undertheradar

Any chance Boise St doesn't win by 48? I know New Mexico sucks but 48? Really?

I know teasers are a bad bet, but I felt like this week there were a couple plays that were great getting an extra 10 points. This may have been a super donk bet , but here it is. I have it entered I just have to click confirm.
-120
NM+58.5
LSU-3.5
Tech/Clem u63

How bad is this bet on a scale of 1-10

 

Originally Posted by undertheradar

I dont know about the under there. I almost feel like you would be better off doing the over at 43 points. Not sure I would touch that one. But I am notoriously bad at picking over/unders. But I do like the first 2 picks. I think a better play would be k-state -1 against Iowa st. ISU is prime for a letdown on the road.

and after looking at it some more, if you feel that strongly about clemson why not throw the 10 to clemson for +17?

cuz im an idiot sometimes. yep thats exactly what im going to do