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  1. So I was watching a show on some news network today (CNN or CNBC or something) and they were asking this chick questions about the auto industry bailout. Basically she said that GM won't make it out of this year alive unless they either stop operations or get a piece of the bailout, but she didn't bother to elaborate on the first option.

    So my question is this: Why can't GM just cease operations until the economy begins to recover? Wouldn't breaking even every day be a lot better than losing tens of millions of dollars every day, where they are pumping even more cars into a market where people aren't buying?

    ps. I don't know anything about economics and I don't claim to know anything about economics, so don't bash me too hard :)
  2. no they can BK and make it which is prolly the best thing
  3. GM employs a lot of people and generates a lot of taxes. These are two reasons it'd be bad for the economy for them to just stop making cars.
  4. There are many reasons but one I heard today was that the unions have an agreement with the big 3 that says they must pay employees like 95% of normal wages regardless or if they work or not.(I know the American dream, something for nothing)

    Other reasons could be loss of market share, not having any new models could kill them in the future, also leaving a huge manufacturing facility to do nothing cant be good.
     
  5. Think of GM as the engine car on a 500 car train. ALL of the cars represent the dealers, suppliers, employees, local economies, etc...

    Now if the engine car just decided to slam on the brakes and come to a complete stop you would have this.

  6. Now imagine that you are digging a hole into the earth. You keep digging and digging until finally you look up and you see that you've dug so deep that you cannot get out of the hole. What do you do? Well, if you are GM or the federal government you just keep right on digging.
  7.  
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

    Now imagine that you are digging a hole into the earth. You keep digging and digging until finally you look up and you see that you've dug so deep that you cannot get out of the hole. What do you do? Well, if you are GM or the federal government you just keep right on digging.

    sfthis
  8.  
    Originally Posted by CheeseHead View Post

    There are many reasons but one I heard today was that the unions have an agreement with the big 3 that says they must pay employees like 95% of normal wages regardless or if they work or not.(I know the American dream, something for nothing)

    Other reasons could be loss of market share, not having any new models could kill them in the future, also leaving a huge manufacturing facility to do nothing cant be good.

    This is very true. I read an article last year that they had employee lounges for these union workers who had to show up to work(because they were getting paid) and they would sit there for 8 hours and do whatever. GM and Ford don't really have a shot IMO. It's sad but true.
  9.  
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

    Now imagine that you are digging a hole into the earth. You keep digging and digging until finally you look up and you see that you've dug so deep that you cannot get out of the hole. What do you do? Well, if you are GM or the federal government you just keep right on digging.

    in fairness, if they dig far enough they might make it to china and maybe we start exporting
     2
  10.  
    Originally Posted by dpottz View Post

     
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

    Now imagine that you are digging a hole into the earth. You keep digging and digging until finally you look up and you see that you've dug so deep that you cannot get out of the hole. What do you do? Well, if you are GM or the federal government you just keep right on digging.

    in fairness, if they dig far enough they might make it to china and maybe we start exporting

    So, you're sayin there's a chance?
  11. dont be surprised to see toyota purchase GM. GM is losing tons of money due to bad investments and bad management. they ran their corporation into the ground and if bailed out, unless their are major strategy and management changes, will do it again. GM is a garbage company and is quickly losing their worldwide market share to toyota. by 2010 toyota will be the worldwide leader in automobile sales.
  12. guess what car company is the No. 1 car company in China. surprise, surprise GM
  13. currently GM is the worldwide leader in automobile sales, everyone knows that. however, they are quickly losing significant portions of their market share (mostly to toyota) world wide (including america). here is an example of how poorly run GM is, they spent so much money developing Saturn that, with the money they used for the developement of saturn, they could have bought nissan, honda, hyundai and several other small car companies. there is a reason they are going outta business while better ran automobile manufacturers like toyota are showing profits.
  14. If they stopped making cars, they wouldn't break even.

    There are certain costs that they would have regardless of how many or how few cards they make.

    Just about every business has to pay for rent, utilities, etc

    A company like GM is probably on the hook for a lot of things.

    Besides, as other posters mentioned, what will they do with the employees? They can't just fire everyone and they can't give the employees a paid vacation until the economy gets better.
  15.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    guess what car company is the No. 1 car company in China. surprise, surprise GM

    I'm gonna need a cite for this.
  16.  
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

     
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    guess what car company is the No. 1 car company in China. surprise, surprise GM

    I'm gonna need a cite for this.

    meh, for anybody else I would, but you've been a huge pain in my ass and you did it on purpose so well... I'll be nice and just say go fly a kite.
  17.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

     
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

     
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    guess what car company is the No. 1 car company in China. surprise, surprise GM

    I'm gonna need a cite for this.

    meh, for anybody else I would, but you've been a huge pain in my ass and you did it on purpose so well... I'll be nice and just say go fly a kite.

    Sorry. Nothing personal I just thought it was FAW. That's all.
  18. GM recently overtook VW's lead in China.

    http://www2.chinadaily.com.cn/englis...ent_458546.htm

    Also, the automotive manufacturing in North America has historically been a key component of the US war machine. Losing the remaining capabilities could pose a significant risk to our ability to retool and start building tanks, airplanes, jeeps, and boats. Granted, much of this has already been outsourced, and military has changed a lot in the last 30 years, but might be a consideration for the federal government.

    Also, might be gracious to remember that GM's Keep America Rolling marketing in 2001/02 was acknowledged to have led to the rebound of the federal economy after 9-11.

    Saying that GM's failure is because they didn't pay attention to the market is not exactly accurate. GM's SUVs were very marketable. The market didn't slowly migrate, it was pushed by oil prices. Americans were buying gas guzzlers by the thousands only a few years ago.
  19.  
    Originally Posted by pistol45 View Post

    GM recently overtook VW's lead in China.

    http://www2.chinadaily.com.cn/englis...ent_458546.htm

    Also, the automotive manufacturing in North America has historically been a key component of the US war machine. Losing the remaining capabilities could pose a significant risk to our ability to retool and start building tanks, airplanes, jeeps, and boats. Granted, much of this has already been outsourced, and military has changed a lot in the last 30 years, but might be a consideration for the federal government.

    Also, might be gracious to remember that GM's Keep America Rolling marketing in 2001/02 was acknowledged to have led to the rebound of the federal economy after 9-11.

    Saying that GM's failure is because they didn't pay attention to the market is not exactly accurate. GM's SUVs were very marketable. The market didn't slowly migrate, it was pushed by oil prices. Americans were buying gas guzzlers by the thousands only a few years ago.

    I could be wrong, but I think this means that GM has the biggest share of sales among foreign automakers. FAW is a Chinese company and is the leading automobile manufacturer in China. Also, GM is only a 34% partner in a joint venture with a Chinese company relating to its Chinese operations.
  20.  
    Originally Posted by Willywoo View Post

    I could be wrong, but I think this means that GM has the biggest share of sales among foreign automakers. FAW is a Chinese company and is the leading automobile manufacturer in China. Also, GM is only a 34% partner in a joint venture with a Chinese company relating to its Chinese operations.

    That sounds right.
  21. There was a documentary on MSNBC on it the other night. Shocked the hell out of me.

    What was said about paying employees who don't work is semitrue. My ex works for GM, and he is currently working 6 weeks on/6 weeks off. When he's off he gets 80% of his BASE pay. Not COLA or shift premiums. He had to work 15 years to be eligible for that.

    The reason all three (Ford, GM, and Chrysler) are in trouble is because of the union. They've demanded more and more each year until it is absurd. The last year I was married filing jointly, my ex made 120k as an hourly worker. Then he had free legal representation for our divorce (another bene). It's ok though, i've got a good piece of his retirement, so I can only pray GM makes it through ;)
  22.  
    Originally Posted by amymarie1967 View Post

    There was a documentary on MSNBC on it the other night. Shocked the hell out of me.

    What was said about paying employees who don't work is semitrue. My ex works for GM, and he is currently working 6 weeks on/6 weeks off. When he's off he gets 80% of his BASE pay. Not COLA or shift premiums. He had to work 15 years to be eligible for that.

    The reason all three (Ford, GM, and Chrysler) are in trouble is because of the union. They've demanded more and more each year until it is absurd. The last year I was married filing jointly, my ex made 120k as an hourly worker. Then he had free legal representation for our divorce (another bene). It's ok though, i've got a good piece of his retirement, so I can only pray GM makes it through ;)

    Is the divorce final? If the piece of your retirement is dependant on the stock you are screwed compared to a year ago.
  23.  
    Originally Posted by amymarie1967 View Post

    The reason all three (Ford, GM, and Chrysler) are in trouble is because of the union. They've demanded more and more each year until it is absurd.

    agreed. i'm too sleepy to get into it, but they deserve to fail based on how they're running things - how is throwing money at them going to fix the problem?
  24. The divorce has been final for awhile now. No, it's not dependant on stock, that's all through Fidelity. Of course, if GM fails it will be worth about 50% government guaranteed. Based on GM's numbers for the last three years I haven't counted on that anyway.

    But the shares of stock I got in the divorce suck. They were "free" though, so i'm gonna hang onto them for the next 20 and hope to hell they are worth something eventually. Not the measly $3.08 each they were this morning.

    Ironically, they are dividend paying stocks. The last dividends were more than the stocks actual worth. But they cut that out now too. Along with my son's college money.

    They've actually done some pretty good cost cutting measures. My dad is retired, and his health insurance got cut down to pretty much nothing. No office call coverage and the only prescription coverage is through mail order.

    Now if they'd cut Wagner's balls off.. err, I mean his bonuses, they might get somewhere.

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