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No goldsheet here. No OT goldskeet, no term "lock" or
"Put your life savings on this" here, just my views on each
spread in the NFL of this week. Take it or leave it
Anyways, here we go....
Cin-TB- With this game I will take the over of 42+, this game
Is a match up of the 20th (TB) and the 25th (Cin) ranked
defenses in the league, Tampa Bay is giving up 166 yards
a game of passing and 329 yards of total offense. With
Palmer, Johnson and Johnson coming off of a bye very fresh
after a let down the last game I expect them to come out
very hard. Gradkowski had a very good game last week, and
is going against the 16th ranks pass defense in the league
(Cin is giving up 200 yards passing a game) This rookie
from Toledo should be hooking up with Galloway all day.
Cin- 31 TB- 17
Tenn-Washington- Take Tennessee +10. Washington has been looking
horrible all year. Young is doing the same thing in the running
game as he did in Texas, in reading the DE and either handing
the ball to Henry or taking it depending on which way his DE
commits, Tennessee was one dropped ball away from upsetting
Indianapolis last week, I see this as a very low scoring game
with the winner being decided by whoever has the ball last.
Tenn- 13 Washington- 10 (The under of 39 looks good too)
Houston-Dallas- This is a very odd game, Houston has looked
better than their record would make you think, and Dallas is
off and on. This game all depends on which Bledsoe shows up.
The 3 INT Bledsoe or the 3 TD Bledsoe. Dallas' Defense is too
good, and has too many options on defense. The line is Dallas
-13 But in reality I only see them winning by 10.. But if
Dallas actually shows up, there is no way for Houston to cover.
So, Im probably leaving this game OUT of my parlay, but I'll
take Dallas -13.
Dallas- 27 Houston- 13
Buf-Det- Easy game IMO, Det +1, Detroit has way to many options
for the leagues worst defense. Houston has their share of weapons
too, against the 28th ranked defense. This will be a high
scoring affair, to potentially good offenses, and two horrible
defenses. I was a little surprised to see the o/u is only 39 1/2
on this game. Detroit wins this high scoring affair outright
and they easily get the over here
Detroit- 35 Buffalo- 21
Sea-STL - Seattle is only favored by 3 in this game. I usually don't doubt
the odds makers but this line I just do not get, Seattle, has
four legitamate WRs and in my opinions enough of a running game
with or without Alexander to keep STL's Defense true to both
games. St. Louis beat the Bronco's in week 1. But Denver looked
Horrible. They followed that win up with a loss to a shaky SF
team. A 2 point win at Arizona, with a Fumble machine under
center A one touchdown win against Detroit at home, and a 3
point win against Green Bay. St. Louis only beat Detroit by 3
but Detroit looked good that game, and Seattle was playing
horrible IMO. And they just got embarassed by Chicago two weeks
ago. There is no way Seattle doesn't cover this game coming
off of a bye week. ESPECIALLY is Alexander gets back in time.
Coach Holmgren calls him "iffy" for this week.
(Score depends on Alexander)
NYG-ATL - ATL -3. NYG's defense finally woke up last week.
However, that was a mixture of Brunell and Portis. Dunn is
finally up and coming and Vick can hurt you both ways, as
we all know. I also like the under in this game of 42, but I
don't like it enough to throw it in my parlay, I see that bet
being the 1-2 bets I usually miss to throw it off. This all
depends on the play of Manning and Barber, and those two alone
make me doubt ATL-3 but Atlanta is only allowing 269.8 yards
of total offense a week, against a (Steve Smith-less) Carolina
team, Tampa Bay, with Simms behind the helm, N.O. with McAlister
Brees, Horn, and Bush. And then Arizona, with two #1 WR's
on their roster.
Atlanta- 24 NYG- 17
Philly-NO- Philly -3. Easy, do I even have to explain myself?
PM me if you really want an explination as to why Philly covers.
Philly- 40 N.O.- 31
Car-Bal- Carolina +3. Baltimore was finally tested last week
and looked horrible. Mind you, that was MNF, in Denver, in
bad weather, where Denver just DOES NOT lose. But Baltimore
has beaten Tampa Bay (With Simms), Oakland (With Brooks),
Needed a last minute drive against Cleveland. And followed
that with a last minute drive against S.D. their one quality
win of the season. Smith is back, and Carolina is finally
firing on all cylinders. Carolina is only giving up 17
yards more offense than Denver is (305 and 322.8) and I do not
think Baltimore's offense can keep up with what Carolina's will
do.
Carolina- 17 Baltimore- 9
Miami-NYJ- Miami +3. I don't know why I keep taking Miami this
year, they keep disappointing me, but they have way too much
talent on that team, they have to show some sort of life
sometime. Their defense if giving up less than Jacksonville
and is ranked #5 with only 263 yards of total offense given up
all year. Harrington put up 232 yards last week against
New England, New England is giving up 222.4 pass yards per game
NYJ are only giving up 216.4 but they give up 148.6 yards
rushing. Open the door and bring out Parker.
Miami- 21 NYJ- 10
SD-SF- This recap is going to hurt, I am a big time University
of utah Fan. But Smith got absolutly SHUT DOWN by the KC defense
a few weeks ago, San Diego has the best defense in the league
right now. Giving up only 66.5 yard per game on the ground
and I don't think they will have MUCH of a problem shutting
down one of the league surprising lead rushers in Frank Gore.
And they only give up 138 yards passing and give up an average
of 9 points a game. San Diego will have no problem covering -10
this game. All that and I haven't even mentioned San Fran's 26th
ranked DEF who gives up 350.2 yards of total offense a game.
SD- 31 SF- 6
KC-Pitt- Im going to take Pitt -7 on this one, for the simple
reason that Big Ben cannot keep playing like he has been forever
Huard has been playing really well filling in for Green but
Pitts 14th ranked defense will stop him, his leading receiver
last week was Larry Johnson (Who will not be 100% with a
a strained neck and right now is listed as probably) throwing
mostly screen passes and letting Johnson do the work. Ward,
Ben, and Parker cannot be shut down all season long, I see them
FINALLY waking up this week. Big ben might even toss a TD pass.
Pitt- 24 KC- 13
Den-Oak- Denver -15 .... another one of those "Do I even have
to explain myself picks" Sunday night, another prime time game.
Against an defense that gives up 85 more yards per game than
Baltimore, and a stagnant offense. Denver still not giving up
Touch down's I don't think Oakland scores more than FGs here
either.
Denver- 31 Oakland- 6
Monday Night Football-
Chi-Ari- Chi -10 1/2 .... Chicago's 3rd ranked defense, playing
Monday Night, against a rookie. Going against a defense that
gives up 360.8 yards per game and an average of 28.2 points
per game. Simple equation in this game
Grossman+Berian+Defense+Rookie QB on the other side = BIG win
Chi- 34 Ari- 17 -
Dallas- 27 Houston- 13
Detroit- 35 Houston- 21
houstons got it tough this week. not only are they playing twice but aparently losing twice. ouch. tough week -
HAHA FrankTank made a funny, everyone come look!
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HaHa, D Newman doesnt know which team is even playing and which ones aren't! HaHa.
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HaHa, Dumb Walrus thinks that USC is the number 2 team no matter what as long as they win. Doesn't matter against who, or by how much, just as long as they pull out 3 point wins over Washington caliber teams, they are numero dos!
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