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  1. Packers -6.5 @ Lions.

    Let's go. Game of the day. Game of the season? We've been looking ahead to this one for quite some time.
    The packers haven't played against a good defense in two months. But, Rodgers is looking more incredible week after week.
    Last year, the Lions were able to concuss 12 and that's their best shot in this one; they need to put him on the ground. unfortunately, it will likely result in penalties more often than it won't.
    I'm still out on Stafford, but Megatron could have a thanksgiving feast of his own against the green bay defense. I really have no clue how the Packers cover him.
    I really like how Kevin Smith is supposed to be the savior for the Detroit running game. Umm, no. He had a solid game against the Panthers dot dot dots. Matty Ice is gona have to do some things on 3rd down and that's when Clay Matthews will be coming for him. I could see him ending up with a DNF too.
    Nothing would surprise me on a thursday game that starts before noon on three days rest, but I think the Packers are just too potent in a dome setting. they haven't lost a game with a healthy Rodgers in just short of a year and they know this is the biggest stepping stone toward an undefeated season which has them very motivated.

    Cowboys -7 vs. Dolphins

    Two hot teams with momentum will make for an interesting game. However, I'm not sure if either of these teams is legitimate. Both are riding high off of 3 game winning streaks, albeit both have done so against crappy opponents. Miami seems a little more convincing because their margins of victory have been more convincing. But, Dallas has played several close games against good opponents, losing by 3 to the Jets, 4 to the Pats. Plus, they gave the mighty 49ers their only loss and it was in San Fran.
    I like the Cowboys in this one. when in doubt, go with the home team on thanksgiving. If Jones comes back, that is a hell of a dynamic backfield. Plus, Matt Moore on the road in a high pressure TV game might become laughable.

    Ravens -3/3.5 vs. 49ers

    Harbaugh family thanksgiving? Unfair scheduling drama?
    Whatever, this is an amazing football game. two of the league's best defenses.
    it's also one of the league's most consistent teams versus one of its least consistent.
    I dont know if either team will pull away in this one, unless Ed Reed returns a bunch of pick sixes. So, I like taking the points, esp. 3.5 on some sites.
    While the Pack is looking to go undefeated, SF is looking for the even more improbable undefeated ATS.
    I don't love SF Harbaugh's media moves about the west coast-east coast scheduling. You're giving your team an excuse to lose a few days before the game. But, the guy hasnt given us any reason to doubt him yet in his short career.
    Also, I've hated on Alex Smith every year since he was drafted. But, he might have found his place in this offense. quarterback is an old man's game especially for smart players. He's matured over time and you can't even say he's a liability right now.

    May all your parlays be live and your turkey legs be monsters!!!

    Edited By: Hughes4 Nov 24th, 2011 at 06:36 AM
  2. Nice job..

    def looking forward to all three games for a change.


    Pack
    Boys.....but im obv rootin for dolfs
    Ravens.... dont care who wins this...should be the best game.
    Edited By: Sandman_Good Nov 24th, 2011 at 06:39 AM
  3. Packers playing like their 3rd game in 11-12 days or something and Detroit will be rocking. I think the Pack suffers their first loss of the season.

    Phins playin better and Dallas plays to level of their competition

    49ers are actually a better team than the Ravens imo and they also are hungrier.

    I like all 3 dogs for thanksgiving

    Make it 4 with UT + the 9 lezzzzgo
     
  4. I like the Pack to win but not cover

    I'll say the Romos win by 10

    and Balt wins by a td
  5. Det ML + Fins +7 + Niners +3.5 for a hundo.

    It hits, my nieces and nephews get xmax presents. It doesn't, disappointment builds character.
  6. L I O N S SHOCK THE WORLD
  7.  
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    Det ML + Fins +7 + Niners +3.5 for a hundo.

    It hits, my nieces and nephews get xmax presents. It doesn't, disappointment builds character.

    Im gonna steal this line from you, lol. 3 teamer with all 3 dogs on the ML pays 31-1 which isn't a bad price. I actually like SF and Det to win and Phins to only cover but it's not a bad play
     
  8. I seem to be the only person who thinks GB is gonna cover the spread. I have them -6.5, Also like the niners. Have not decided on the Mia/Dal game yet. Really leaning towards Mia +7.
  9. First year on this site that this thread wont be littered with: Why The Fuck is Detroit always on Thanksgiving, we should have different teams every year cause Detroit sucks.

    Looking forward to all 3 games tomorrow.
     
  10.  
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    Det ML + Fins +7 + Niners +3.5 for a hundo.

    It hits, my nieces and nephews get xmax presents. It doesn't, disappointment builds character.

    With you as an uncle I'm guessing they have a lot of character.
    :)
  11. GB/DET under 56
  12. I like all the dogs but san Fran has a lot of traveling to do on a short week
  13. Ok I'm a sucker. I'll roll with you guys.
    3 teamer
    Lions ml
    Dolphins +8
    49ers ml

    49ers +3 1h

    Legggggo
  14. LIONS
  15. Pack gonna lose their first game this year
     
  16. COWBOY UP!
  17. gonna be tough for the Niners this week.
  18.  
    Originally Posted by orgnalsooners View Post

    Packers playing like their 3rd game in 11-12 days or something and Detroit will be rocking. I think the Pack suffers their first loss of the season.

    +1. Love Detroit on the moneyline.
  19.  
    Originally Posted by wantagolf View Post

    First year on this site that this thread wont be littered with: Why The Fuck is Detroit always on Thanksgiving, we should have different teams every year cause Detroit sucks.

    Looking forward to all 3 games tomorrow.

    Before this site the Lions still sucked but Barry f'ing Sanders! Them were the days
  20. This will be by far the toughest pass defense the Packers have faced all season. Arodge and that offense are kickass, but they have benefited from playing the worst of the worst at defending aerial assaults.

    As for the Lions O, Capers and company have been scorched by every team that is somewhat adept at passing the ball.

    Add in Masseyratings only likes GB as a 3pt fave, Sagarin and AdvNFLstats models like Detroit SU, and the RLM that the line took this week, Detroit +X is the play.

    Look for Detroit to increase their run tendency with 11 personnel (1RB/1TE/3WR) when GB puts the 5th and 6th DB in the game, which is something GB has done ~98% of the time this year.

     
    Originally Posted by zeppelinzoso16 View Post

    Before this site the Lions still sucked but Barry f'ing Sanders! Them were the days

    When I was a kid, they went to the playoffs 6 times and contended every other year with the most dynamic player in the game. They were arguably the most fun team to watch back then, outside of the RnS Oilers ofc.

     
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    Det ML + Fins +7 + Niners +3.5 for a hundo.

    Sucks that you're going to have a sick sweat all day, and then for only 7.5minutes in the Raven game.

    My condolences.

    Oh yea, I'm thankful for all of you fine gentleman.

    Happy Footballball.
    Edited By: Randers Nov 24th, 2011 at 02:42 PM
     
  21. This is the one day of the year I miss my old boss. He was American, so every Thanksgiving he'd give us a free day off to go to the bar with him, drink and watch football. Those were the days.

    Now...I get the luxury of watching the game from work, via stat-tracker, while I sip on my orange juice. Sick life.

    As for bets...I'm teasing the SF line...just got figure out my other play.

    Edit:

    3 game 10-pt teaser for 2 units:
    GB/DET Over 45.5
    SF +13
    Dal +3

    Good luck everyone, and happy turkey day!
    Edited By: Paki_Poker Nov 24th, 2011 at 01:48 PM
     
  22. Detroit ftw!!
  23. so hungover. just opened a bottle of goose. bout to start the journey down to the d.

    ROOOOOARRRRR!!!!!!!1
  24. Detroit +6.5
    Det/GB u56.5
    Balt -3.5

    Parlayed
  25. typically avoid the overs like the plague. but can someone give me a reason why the lions/pack game is not a good play on the o?
  26. I look forward to the absurd excuses everyone will have for why the 49ers still suck after they beat the Ravens

    GB, Mia, SF are your ATS winners today
  27. Think Dallas covers but I don't have the balls to bet it

    and SF won't score a TD today
  28. So, this is what weekday morning TV looks like...man, Wendy Williams has some huge tits
  29. wow my book has Detroit down to +4.5 now

    and 60% of action is on GB...
  30.  
    Originally Posted by MyJobisYou View Post

    wow my book has Detroit down to +4.5 now

    and 60% of action is on GB...

    crazy line move considering is not based on injuries

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