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Odds of this happening

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  1. DFish DFish is offline

    Fort Lauderdale, FL
    United States

    Posts: 770
    Joined: Dec 06

    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:14am)

    So last night we were watching the cowboys/eagles game and a friend had a bet before the game of the final score finishing 31-7 cowboys. With 10 minutes left the score was 27-7. I suggested that the odds of him winning the bet had to be something like a million to one and everyone said I was insane and they had to be something like 10000-1. We argued awhile and obv nobody changes their mind. I forget who had the ball and where on the field but for arguments sake lets say the eagles had the ball on the 20, and then also whats your odds if the cowboys had the ball on their on own 20.

    jklghsgjdfgdf; this is mattg on dfish's account
     
  2. wackyJaxon wackyJaxon is offline Admin X

    Vilnius
    Lithuania

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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:21am) in reply to DFish

    Closer to 1M to 1 than 10,000 to 1.. The amount of times there were 2 safeties by 1 team in a game can probably be counted on 1 or 2 hands.. To do that with less than 10 minutes in the game left is just sick..

    The Rams once had 3 safeties in a game against the Giants in 1984, so I suppose anything is possible, but still feel the odds are much worse than 10,000 to one and 1M to 1 is probably pretty close..
      1 
  3. Camz Camz is offline

    Lafayette, LA
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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:23am) in reply to DFish





  4. clwhat clwhat is offline

    GA
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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:27am) in reply to DFish

    i'd say u were right, closer to a mill
  5. dippydough dippydough is offline

    Fitchburg, MA
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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:27am) in reply to wackyJaxon

     
    Originally Posted by wackyJaxon View Post

    Closer to 1M to 1 than 10,000 to 1.. The amount of times there were 2 safeties by 1 team in a game can probably be counted on 1 or 2 hands.. To do that with less than 10 minutes in the game left is just sick..

    The Rams once had 3 safeties in a game against the Giants in 1984, so I suppose anything is possible, but still feel the odds are much worse than 10,000 to one and 1M to 1 is probably pretty close..

    agree. i think 18 times in NFL history 1 team has recorded 2 or more safeties. 10000-1 is way too low. adding in that there cant be any other scoring by the 2 teams makes it that much more impossible.
     
  6. JRoth15 JRoth15 is offline

    Springfield, IL
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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:32am) in reply to dippydough

     
    Originally Posted by dippydough View Post

    agree. i think 18 times in NFL history 1 team has recorded 2 or more safeties. 10000-1 is way too low. adding in that there cant be any other scoring by the 2 teams makes it that much more impossible.

    exactly...not only is it near impossible for 1 team to record 2 safeties in a matter of 10 minutes, but having to worry about Philly not scoring again makes this even more impossible.

    WAY closer to a 1,000,000:1 than 10,000:1 IMO.
  7. mattg1983 mattg1983 is offline buying action

    Round Rock, TX
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    Jan 10th, 2010 (1/10/2010 10:40am) in reply to DFish

    i was able to get them to concede 100000 to 1 but I still think its easily a million given the exact circumstances.
     12
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