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Pick of the Week: Green Bay (-10) @ Tampa Bay

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  1. WAK WAK is offline

    Posts: 1,185
    Joined: Jun 05

    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 9:07am)

    Nothing is ever a lock, but I really like the Packers to win easily in TB. This line jumped out at me more than any other gm this week. The line opened at 9, but is now coming in at 10 on most sites.

    Reasons to like GB...
    1. Josh Freeman is making his first career start against the 8th ranked D in the league that utilizes the 3-4. Not an easy gm to come into for a rookie. Freeman reminds me a lot of J. Russell, which is obv not a good thing. It also doesnt help that he has little talent around him. If they get behind early, and he is forced to throw often, I would expect multiple turnovers.

    2. GB is coming off another emotional loss vs Minn, so some will say this could be a letdown gm for them, but the same could be said after their first loss to Minn. GB followed that up with 26-0 win vs Det after their bye week. At 4-3, this is a must win gm for them. They also beat up on STL (36-17) and Cle (31-3), so they have not been playing down to the competition.

    3. A huge weakness for GB has been their O-line due to injuries (31 sacks against), but fortunately for them TB doesn't like to sack the Qb (4th worst in the league w/ 11). Rogers has been hampered lately with a foot injury, but the only thing that could slow him down today will be the wind. To counter that, GB will expose TB w/ short quick routes to Jennings, Driver, and Jones. And pound the ball w/ Grant to setup the PA.

    4. GB has struggled to run the ball this year, but that was somewhat expected since they have played some of the better rush D's in the league (Minn -2x, Cinci, Chi). Against the weaker teams, Grant has had some very good gms, and the same should be expected vs TB's 30th ranked rush D.
    Pick:
    GB 31 TB 10
  2. DaVols DaVols is offline

    Wilmington, DE
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 9:11am) in reply to WAK

    a road team giving 10? im scared
  3. Futon Futon is offline

    Ndola
    Zambia

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 9:13am) in reply to DaVols

     
    Originally Posted by DaVols View Post

    a road team giving 10? im scared

    They can't make the lines high enough this year. The Raiders have really been the only team who have come remotely close to saving the oddsmakers on a few games.
  4. firecat84 firecat84 is offline

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 9:40am) in reply to WAK

    off the bye tampa cover
  5. Lipton Lipton is offline never gets replies

    Skaneateles Falls, NY
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 9:43am) in reply to WAK

  6. canad010 canad010 is offline

    Minneapolis, MN
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 7:15pm) in reply to WAK

    bump
  7. ttplaya ttplaya is offline

    Houston, TX
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 7:16pm) in reply to Lipton

    loooooooooooooooooooooooooool
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  8. SILKY JOHNSON SILKY JOHNSON is offline

    San Diego, CA
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 7:19pm) in reply to WAK

    Your pick was Wak.
  9. BlindBuddah BlindBuddah is offline

    San José
    Costa Rica

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 7:29pm) in reply to SILKY JOHNSON

    and another one bites the dust.

    somebody needs to start a fund where people from OT donate and we fade all these "locks", i'm pretty sure OT would have about an 80% win rate.
  10. LeftyMark LeftyMark is offline Boss of Birds

    MA
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 7:33pm) in reply to BlindBuddah

    I can wait for next weeks pick.
  11. JoeSexAppeal JoeSexAppeal is offline

    MN
    United States

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 8:14pm) in reply to LeftyMark

    wak.
  12. preezie preezie is offline

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    Nov 8th, 2009 (11/8/2009 8:29pm) in reply to JoeSexAppeal

    heh.
  13. Popperhead Popperhead is offline

    Toronto
    Canada

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    Nov 9th, 2009 (11/9/2009 9:08am) in reply to preezie

    TB won me a proline of $175 yesterday

    Sick lock who u got next week
  14. Rocky Rocky is offline

    WI
    United States

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    Nov 9th, 2009 (11/9/2009 9:15am) in reply to WAK

    I really liked this game ALOT too. Tampa came to play. Green Bay didn't.
     
  15. resilient resilient is offline

    Vanuatu

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    Nov 9th, 2009 (11/9/2009 9:40am) in reply to WAK

     
    Originally Posted by BigStack Husker View Post

     
    Originally Posted by Hank H1LL View Post

    oklahoma is -6 to nebraska. Guess who's getting a new car

    Unfortunately I have to agree with that being an easy cover for Oklahoma. I dont think they will score a lot but my huskers are struggling to score against anybody right now.

     
    Originally Posted by ibled4thereds View Post

    Oklahoma -5.5 vs Nebraska is a lock, IMO

     
  16. Jaybone2315 Jaybone2315 is offline Professional Couch Ruiner

    San Diego, CA
    United States

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    Nov 9th, 2009 (11/9/2009 9:43am) in reply to WAK

    Fuck you GB.

    Fuck you.
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