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Posts: 20,643
Joined: Jun 09May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 6:42pm) in reply to ntanygd760
Not a sexy pick to ride chalk, but I think Bodemeister is just a flat out freak - the fact that he held 2nd after that pace in the Derby is insane. On the other hand, he shows the profile of a horse that is primed for a bounce, but if today isn't the bounce day, the rest will all be looking at his ass in the stretch.
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Posts: 8,081
Joined: Oct 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:17pm) in reply to kellykip
ugh, race is basically unbettable.
2 chalks that look to tower over the rest of the field. I was tempted to go 50 WP on Zetterholm or Teeth of the Dog but I don't think I will...
http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbF...=12&de=D&c=USA
theres the PPs for anyone interested. -
Posts: 13,455
Joined: Apr 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:23pm) in reply to BigEarn7
I got a 5 horse .50 tri box for $30....all guesses as usual
1,2,7,8,10 -
Niceguy
I will find you.
Posts: 25,568
Joined: Jul 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:26pm) in reply to LVpokerdealer
Daddy Nose Best for a sweet sweat.
Optimizer if you want to be like "weeee i got it right fuck you bitches" in the most arrogant voice possible. -
Posts: 20,643
Joined: Jun 09May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:30pm) in reply to Niceguy
Edited By: kellykip May 19th, 2012 at 07:30 PMWas my Derby horse - I'll be a sad panda if I was 1 race off.Originally Posted by Niceguy
Daddy Nose Best for a sweet sweat.
Just think Bodemeister is in another league -
Niceguy
I will find you.
Posts: 25,568
Joined: Jul 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:34pm) in reply to kellykip
I agree he is a monster which is why the handle for this race will be small, so instead of betting seriously just go long shots and enjoy the race.Originally Posted by kellykip
Just think Bodemeister is in another league
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Posts: 20,643
Joined: Jun 09May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:46pm) in reply to Beldar C
Closed really well in the Derby, but not sure how much of that was due to the scorching pace. If you look at his PPs, he has been terrifically managed since coming to the US, which i guess is no surprise considering Motion is a fantastic trainer.Originally Posted by Beldar C
5- Went The Day Well (morning line 6-1). Send it in. I haven't liked a horse this much in a major race since I gave out Stephanie's Kitten who won on Breeder's Cup Day last year.
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Posts: 20,643
Joined: Jun 09May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:49pm) in reply to Niceguy
Optimizer ran into trouble in the Derby just when he would have been expected to be unleashing his closing kick - his final showing is very misleading, but suspect he would need a furious duel up front to set him up - and Pimlico isn't the kindest to horses trying to make a late sweeping close.Originally Posted by Niceguy
Optimizer if you want to be like "weeee i got it right fuck you bitches" in the most arrogant voice possible.
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Posts: 268
Joined: Dec 05May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 7:59pm) in reply to kellykip
Originally Posted by kellykip
Closed really well in the Derby, but not sure how much of that was due to the scorching pace. If you look at his PPs, he has been terrifically managed since coming to the US, which i guess is no surprise considering Motion is a fantastic trainer.
Agree with him closing into that scorching pace, but if you take a closer look at his normal running style he is most definitely a stalker and not a one-run closer type--but obv on Derby Day where 75%+ of the field encounters some sort of troubled trip he was forced into that move. I envision him laying 4th or so today. I agree with what you said earlier about Bodemeister no doubt being the fastest of this group of 3 yr olds, but I think he is going to bounce to the moon off that monster effort in the Derby two weeks ago. Plus I think that one or two of the cheaper "speed types" are going to try and go with him. To be honest, I threw him out totally off all of my tickets.
Also, if you watch the replay of the Derby take a look at how the top 4 finishers galloped out after the wire. Went The Day Well was moving so much better that he was almost taking two strides for the other 3 horses one stride, it was ridiculous. And like you mentioned about Motion (who won KY Derby last yr with Animal Kingdom) he is not only a top all around trainer, but he isn't the type to just ship his horses for the sake of running. He has the balls to tell his owners when a spot isn't right for a particular horse, which a lot of these trainers wont do on these big race days. It's also very encouraging to see the nice amount of early support he is getting at the windows, he was 9-2 last I checked about 20 minutes ago. -
Posts: 8,081
Joined: Oct 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 8:00pm) in reply to Beldar C
hot tip.... 5 horse 3rd race at Arlington park.. going off shortly... good source.
Edited By: BigEarn7 May 19th, 2012 at 08:01 PM
got 100$ win on it and a $3 daily double 5/ALL -
Posts: 8,081
Joined: Oct 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 9:17pm) in reply to BigEarn7
I really like Went The Day Well after looking more into this all..
Probably doing 100 WP on him. So everyone go ahead and pick another horse =) -
How did the hot tip go?
Originally Posted by BigEarn7
hot tip.... 5 horse 3rd race at Arlington park.. going off shortly... good source.
got 100$ win on it and a $3 daily double 5/ALL -
Posts: 8,081
Joined: Oct 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 9:19pm) in reply to chipcrippler
Edited By: BigEarn7 May 19th, 2012 at 09:20 PMgot 2nd. I whiffed. My buddies who also bet it including Blackout had win/place on it and they ended up making a bit. I got greedy only betting to win.Originally Posted by chipcrippler
How did the hot tip go?
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Niceguy
I will find you.
Posts: 25,568
Joined: Jul 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 9:27pm) in reply to SpankyHamm
5/7/8 trifecta box
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Posts: 444
Joined: Jul 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 9:59pm) in reply to SpankyHamm
As funny as it sounds, I think I'll Have Another is being over looked. 3-1 is good value. I also like Cozetti at 30-1 to hit the board.
The race really sets up for Bodemeister, but I just feel a bounce here -
Had the 2 and the 5 in 9 and 10. need the 4 in race 11 (singled :holds breath:) and then I have 5-9 + 11 in 12th. Lets make some fuckin money for a change.
I'm pondering a combo of 5,7,9,6 for a super. I actually like cozettti (11) @ 30:1, be a sick pick 4 if it comes in. -
Posts: 5,779
Joined: Aug 08May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 10:08pm) in reply to rayspizza
I have $24 and want to play a $1 superfecta boxed. Any ideas?
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I think 579 and you can flip on the 6 or the 8
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5,6,7,11
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Posts: 9,850
Joined: Nov 07May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 10:19pm) in reply to bombers88
Way to go NBC, zero coverage of the 300k turf race, that is being raced in the backround. Just keep telling us stories, that is what will help horseracing.
I'm firing away at Went the Day Well, gl everyone. -
Posts: 5,779
Joined: Aug 08May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 10:31pm) in reply to Mr323
Going with 5, 6, 7, 9
brb -
Posts: 8,081
Joined: Oct 06May 19th, 2012 (5/19/2012 10:41pm) in reply to SpankyHamm
$100 win on 4 and 5.
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