Originally Posted by BMad524

Latest change has moved Virginia to Obama. Of the battlegrounds, Romney still has FL and NC, Obama has OH, WI, IA, NV, CO, NH, VA

I'm not sure where you're looking, but I stick with historically the most reliable and unbiased polling out there - Rasmussen Reports.

As of yesterday (new polls coming at 9:30), Rasmussen projects 49% Romney vs 47% Obama on the popular vote

Obama has 237 electoral votes that are either "safe" or "likely".

Romney has 205 that are either "safe" or "likely".

There are 95 electoral votes in the "toss up" category, which includes Romney TIED OR LEADING in NH, FL, OH, VA, WI, IA, and CO.

You can view the electoral college scoreboard here.

 

Originally Posted by mbc82584

I'm not sure where you're looking, but I stick with historically the most reliable and unbiased polling out there - Rasmussen Reports.

As of yesterday (new polls coming at 9:30), Rasmussen projects 49% Romney vs 47% Obama on the popular vote

Obama has 237 electoral votes that are either "safe" or "likely".

Romney has 205 that are either "safe" or "likely".

There are 95 electoral votes in the "toss up" category, which includes Romney TIED OR LEADING in NH, FL, OH, VA, WI, IA, and CO.

You can view the electoral college scoreboard here.

With the amount of data being generated on this election why would base your projection off a single polling house. It's like choosing a single point to draw a line through

I wanted to bet big money 3:1 on Romney a month ago but couldn't. Remember ... the smart money is on Romney!

 

Originally Posted by niptuck

I wanted to bet big money 3:1 on Romney a month ago but couldn't. Remember ... the smart money is on Romney!

+270 is pretty close no?

 

Originally Posted by bluefront

just laid a bunch of money on an obama win and obama winning colorado, new hampshire, virginia, ohio, iowa, wisconsin

see if you can get NV, that is a lock for Obama because the unions. GL

 

Originally Posted by Realbigfish4

Romney put his foot in mouth and is now off the radar for the most part (for some reason he's trying to go after blue states), while Obama expands his lead and "helps" hurricane vitcims.

Up to a projected 300 electoral votes and 79% to win on 538, and 68.6% on intrade.

at least you aren't quoting polls for your desired results.

 

Originally Posted by raisethis2

Odds this morning on Players Only:

Obama -300

Romney +270

Stick a fork in Romney....................he's done!!!!

thanks for posting this, I'm betting Romney.

 

Originally Posted by Leet8s

Ramussen has a large Republican bias in their turnout models. When they are different than every other pollster, I would go with the other pollsters.

Gallup is bias too?

 

Originally Posted by niptuck

I wanted to bet big money 3:1 on Romney a month ago but couldn't. Remember ... the smart money is on Romney!

I see what you did there, given Obama's campaign strategy.

 

Originally Posted by rayspizza

+270 is pretty close no?

get your paypal ready :)

 

Originally Posted by Dyzalot

Ahh... the days when times were rougher and people were even less of a "crybaby" relative to their circumstances than today. Back then even though they weren't stealing money from other people to subsidize recoveries from national disasters they found a way to persevere and prosper. They certainly are the "good ol' days" in terms of economic growth.

http://billofrightsinstitute.org/res...xas-seed-bill/

Holy fucking libertarian cyborg lack of perspective. Shifting the economy from an agrarian based economy where we plant our prosperity to an industrial economy where we manufacture our prosperity and still make use of the old agricultural infrastructure (textile industry comes to mind) couldn't explain the rapid economic growth at all. The lack of a federal income tax must explain the rapid growth! OMG easy game - just abolish the income tax and we can go back to the same exact growth rate as we did during the industrial revolution!! Why didn't I think of that?

that niptuck money is gonna be sweet! I think I'll spend half on weed and booze and donate the other half to the DNC.

I'm weary of this election. I'm wary of polls.

niptuck still trying to sneak into the kitchen and waco having none of it

I'm done worrying about it tho...

SMART MONEY'S ON OBAMA

 

Originally Posted by Leet8s

Ramussen has a large Republican bias in their turnout models. When they are different than every other pollster, I would go with the other pollsters.

The NBC and CBS polls have an even larger Democratic bias. Oversampling Dems by 8 points in states that didn't even have that large of a Dem margin in 2008 is horrible polling. How can anyone think that Dem turnout will be even higher in 2012, while GOP turnout will be lower in 2008?

I've got plenty of action already. apparently niptuck's so rich he forgot about the pocket change he put on romney.

 

Originally Posted by Leet8s

I'll bet you 1K on w/e the odds on InTrade are niptuck

I'll bet $100 to your $300, Me picking Romney to be the 45th President. Let me know.

wow that is crazy

 

Originally Posted by gamma21

I still think Obama is the slight favorite, but just by looking at the sampling in the polling data I know these polls are being unfavorably skewed towards President Obama. I think Romney wins Fl, Oh, NC, and CO. I think Obama wins NV, IA, MI, and VA. That all makes Wisconsin the deciding state, which Obama would have a slight edge in, however, I've heard that Scott Walker actually has a huge ground game that could make a big difference on election day. It also can't hurt that WI is Paul Ryan's home state.

You think mittens wins OH? You want any action on that?