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http://www.dnainfo.com/20120209/manh...spike-cops-say
According to NYPD, decreases in crime are due to diligent police work, but increases are due to it being warm out.
'serious crimes' reported in NYC so far in 2012 are at 9,902, up from 9,366 a year ago; the sole reason? not enough snow -
if my other option is, "ignore any evidence and just go by what i claim," i'll go with the imperfect evidence
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Who wants to murder when it's cold out?
Originally Posted by kellykip
http://www.dnainfo.com/20120209/manh...spike-cops-say
According to NYPD, decreases in crime are due to diligent police work, but increases are due to it being warm out.
'serious crimes' reported in NYC so far in 2012 are at 9,902, up from 9,366 a year ago; the sole reason? not enough snow
By saying that a state that enjoys lower murder rates because of the lack of death penalties, is to say that murder rates increase because of death penalties. So people murder more is what you believe? -
Originally Posted by StlngMyChps
Because most murder is commit in the heat of passion. Fear of consequences is typically not the first thing on your mind when committing murder.
But if even one murder is stopped because of fear of the death penalty then it is a deterrent regardless of how effective.
Myself, I don't care whether it's a deterrent or not. It is called capital punishment.Originally Posted by warden
no, but you can analyze the differences in murder rates between places that have the death penalty and those that don't
Originally Posted by warden
if my other option is, "ignore any evidence and just go by what i claim," i'll go with the imperfect evidence
its amazing how the different sides of the argument make their points. it seems like u see a lot more people on the pro - DP side with worse arguments, usually based in emotion.Originally Posted by StlngMyChps
Who wants to murder when it's cold out?
By saying that a state that enjoys lower murder rates because of the lack of death penalties, is to say that murder rates increase because of death penalties. So people murder more is what you believe?
i have seen a few reasoned arguments for pro-DP, i don't necessarily agree with them, but they do make some decent points, most of the time tho it is just some really silly reasoning. -
didn't say this. try again.
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Yes you did and you don't even realize it. You stated that you can tell if the death penalty is a deterrent by comparing states without it to states with it. If you think this comparison would prove that the death penalty isn't a deterrent then you believe murder's chose not to murder because their state doesn't have capital punishment.
Edited By: StlngMyChps Feb 9th, 2012 at 09:39 PM
Which is just asinine.
The only comparison you can make about a states murder rate is to compare it to itself before and after the abolition of the penalty. That was my point. You cannot compare two states because they are different places, different people different attittudes and rules. FFS. -
no, i didn't. i said that the research tends to say there is no deterrent effect. that isn't the same thing as saying 'the murder rate is necessarily lower in places that don't have the death penalty.' what it means is that the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate.
and if you compare the same state over time, your same criticism can apply: because they are different times, the people/attitudes/rules are different.
the best you can do is try to take into account those differences between states. that's what statistical analyses try to do. i'm not claiming it's perfect, but i'm saying that's where there is evidence.
you have no evidence. i think some imperfect evidence is better than no evidence, especially when you don't seem to even understand how statistics work. -
Sigh..... You say "compare murder rates from state A to B... then say "the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate." You defeat your own argument guy.
Originally Posted by warden
what it means is that the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate.
Comparing states murder rates has ZERO bearing on the deterrence effect. NONE ZIP ZILCH NADA. I bet you are a religious man too with your willingness to accept imperfect evidence..... -
Edited By: Russell Crowe Feb 10th, 2012 at 02:29 AMOriginally Posted by zeppelinzoso16
had you showed up 5 minutes later you would have caught NCJ with his dick in a dead guy
Hahaaha gold!
Amslim asked if anyone would give their own life to prevent all future murders. I would snap give my life if it meant a guaranteed assurance of saftey for the rest of the world. It is also my stance that the world is grossly over populated and I would snap die if it meant the Earth would flourish and thrive. Doubt many people would agree but what makes any one of us so important that we should disregard the needs of so many over our one life? Sorry, I'm hella baked and my rant might not have come out clearly.
Also how the F does Kellykip win every thread?
Reason: iPhone makes it hard to quote -
If I had a choice between dying now or the Earth gets destroyed in 200 years, I choose Earth's destruction.
Originally Posted by Russell Crowe
Hahaaha gold!
Amslim asked if anyone would give their own life to prevent all future murders. I would snap give my life if it meant a guaranteed assurance of saftey for the rest of the world. It is also my stance that the world is grossly over populated and I would snap die if it meant the Earth would flourish and thrive. Doubt many people would agree but what makes any one of us so important that we should disregard the needs of so many over our one life? Sorry, I'm hella baked and my rant might not have come out clearly.
Also how the F does Kellykip win every thread? -
Why? Is that because of an ego driven motive? I doubt I'll ever have kids so my choice is not for my future offspring but merely a realization that I'm no more important than the rest of the world (trees, animals, humans etc). Respect your oppinions Dyz so jus askin
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Because I'm more important to me than anyone else. This doesn't mean I wouldn't give my life for someone else today (I would have given my life in a second to cure my mom's cancer when I learned of it for example) but I have no connection to anyone 200 years from now. And to be honest, in some ways I abhor humanity in general. I could do a lot more for the world today but the rest of the world is so intent on imposing their morals and rules upon me that it has made me quite jaded and disgusted in that regard. I have no interest in "saving" a race who's only goal seems to be power and domination over their fellow man.
Originally Posted by Russell Crowe
Why? Is that because of an ego driven motive? I doubt I'll ever have kids so my choice is not for my future offspring but merely a realization that I'm no more important than the rest of the world (trees, animals, humans etc). Respect your oppinions Dyz so jus askin
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That's pretty heavy.
Originally Posted by Dyzalot
Because I'm more important to me than anyone else. This doesn't mean I wouldn't give my life for someone else today (I would have given my life in a second to cure my mom's cancer when I learned of it for example) but I have no connection to anyone 200 years from now. And to be honest, in some ways I abhor humanity in general. I could do a lot more for the world today but the rest of the world is so intent on imposing their morals and rules upon me that it has made me quite jaded and disgusted in that regard. I have no interest in "saving" a race who's only goal seems to be power and domination over their fellow man.
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We all have our demons to fight I guess. But as an example, just see how much vitriol some of us recieve just on these boards for adocating for freedom. In some ways P5's has just worked to further cement my opinion of humans in general.
Edited By: Dyzalot Feb 10th, 2012 at 03:16 AM -
People are selfish, narcissistic, and when assembled in a group hold others to standards that they themselves will shun in private. Overall I do not trust most people to have my best interests at heart. I have my 'tribe' of people, just like most people, and I'm good with that group of people in the flesh.
Edited By: jesterwords Feb 10th, 2012 at 03:24 AM
OT fills lots of other voids for me though, when it comes to discussion partners. -
kill it with fire
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explain what you mean here
Originally Posted by StlngMyChps
Sigh..... You say "compare murder rates from state A to B... then say "the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate." You defeat your own argument guy.
first, i said "analyze" and not "compare" for a reason. there are a ton of factors you have to control for before doing any sort of regression like this.
second, after that comparison, the result is that the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate. i fail to see how that "defeats my own argument." i'm not saying that the existence of the death penalty encourages people to murder; all i'm saying is that there is no deterrent effect.
you're relying on *no* evidence. what are you talking about? -
come on now... the human intellect is the best chance we have to reach out to the stars.
if you're lucky enough to have the ability, the vision, the humility... then you should be ashamed not to attempt pushing forward the boundaries of human knowledge. you can quickly become jaded as the people around you fall short, but in the end we have power over just one. it's a matter of perspective imo, don't get beat down by humanity...
the thread about evil finally came full circle -
Here's another way to look at my question that I answered that perhaps seemed outrageous to some. Would you willingly give up your life today if it meant that everyone that died from the plague between 1340 and 1350 are brought back to life disease free to live out their lives today? No? Why not? Why do humans on one part of the timeline hold more value to you than on another part of the timeline?
Edited By: Dyzalot Feb 10th, 2012 at 04:16 AM
Why won't I give up my life for those in the future? Because those who did so 200+ years ago for my future did it in vain. I respect their choices and applaud their efforts but most humans today don't give a shit. Just like no one 200 years from now would give a shit about me for my sacrifice. We had more freedom before they gave up their lives for our freedom than we have today. -
This is pretty well written post. I agree that killing her does not do justice for the family of the victim and shouldn't be done to appease the public. But if you decide to kill another person there is no place for you on this earth. Everyone should have the right to go through the appeal process to further reduce the chance of an innocent person being put to death. I also agree we need to look into preventing these things by figuring out why she made this choice.
Originally Posted by AmSlim22
i think it basically comes down to the revenge mentality is not even close to a justification for the death penalty and that is its main purpose. there is no other compelling argument for why we should kill a murderer. it doesnt deter and it isn't cheaper if we want to give all people due process.
my main reason against the death penalty is that if u get it wrong, it is the worst thing u could do to somebody. there is no making up for it. and it has been gotten wrong. there are more than a few people who were on death row and if it was up to some itt, they would have been executed based on the evidence and later we would have found out they were innocent.
obv if we were 100% right on the ability to sort out the guilty from the innocent, i would be slightly less against the death penalty, but we aren't. there is way too much politics and a need to satisfy the public in some of these cases that police and prosecution do some really shady shit to get convictions.
this leads to my other problem with most people in this thread who are saying kill her. it is those types of people that the police and prosecution are trying to please when they tamper with evidence, coerce questionable witnesses and do all sorts of other things to get a conviction. the need for revenge and justice and someone to satisfy the mob becomes as important as finding the truth. (another discussion could be about what to do to shady police and prosecutors who do illegal stuff to get innocent people sent away for a long time)
there is always someone in a thread like this who says, well what if it happened to your daughter or whatever. that is the worst case to be made. u don't want a person who just lost a loved one in a tragic, brutal, awful way to be the one who is deciding policy on what to do in all cases. nobody ever asks the question, what if u were wrongly accused and strung up by a mob to quench their thirst for revenge.
we could also get more into the specifics of this case and the fact that it involves a 15yr old girl and talk about what should be done in that situation as well, but that prob wont happen. it is very likely that she should and needs to spend the rest of her life behind bars, but i have a prob with killing someone that young when she was prob failed in so many ways by a lot of people leading up to this event.
at this point to just say we need to kill her and be done with her is like wiping a problem under the rug. it does nothing to prevent a similar situation from happening, but some people will just think, "hey we caught her, tried her and killed her. a victory for us." and then go on whistling thru their day. this does nothing to address how a 15yr old girl became a killer and what if anything could be done to prevent it in future.
see u just lose all credibility. so u are going to kill innocent people, even tho using the death penalty shows to not be a deterrent to crime, but u think ur new super death penalty system will for sure be a deterrent so its ok to kill a few innocent people.
u also plan to review all the cases urself............................................ ....................
Also it is my personal belief that when a police officer or judge or something commits a crime, they should be punished double what the common man would receive. They need to be held at a higher standard. too often officers are just slapped on the wrist and departments try to sweep it under the rug to prevent humiliation. If the penalties were carried out like this, I think you would get better quality people enforcing our laws. -
I am pro Death penalty, but I have absolutely no idea what you are saying. If 1 state has the death penalty and one doesn't and both have similar murder rates how does that not show it isn't a deterrent?
Edited By: toddm902 Feb 10th, 2012 at 04:44 AM
I don't think it is a deterrent. People that would murder are just evil for the most part and I just want to get rid of them. I don't care if people disagree with my opinion, that is my opinion.
Originally Posted by StlngMyChps
Sigh..... You say "compare murder rates from state A to B... then say "the death penalty does not have a statistically significant effect on the murder rate." You defeat your own argument guy.
Comparing states murder rates has ZERO bearing on the deterrence effect. NONE ZIP ZILCH NADA. I bet you are a religious man too with your willingness to accept imperfect evidence..... -
keeping them in jail for life without parole will cause a threat to the rest of the prison population... some of which are in there from unfair laws.
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+1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 00000000000000000000000000
Originally Posted by Hank H1LL
come on now... the human intellect is the best chance we have to reach out to the stars.
if you're lucky enough to have the ability, the vision, the humility... then you should be ashamed not to attempt pushing forward the boundaries of human knowledge. you can quickly become jaded as the people around you fall short, but in the end we have power over just one. it's a matter of perspective imo, don't get beat down by humanity...
the thread about evil finally came full circle
wp HH
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