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  1. check out NSRS. its a gold exploration company. its exploded so far this year, and i think it will continue to climb
  2.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    check out NSRS. its a gold exploration company. its exploded so far this year, and i think it will continue to climb

    ftr, i don't know anything about this stock and it looks like it's price shot through the roof year to date. When i was trying to find out some info on it, i ran across this article on penny stocks. Might want to exercise a bit of caution if you are putting a lot of money into it.

    http://www.pennystockresearch.com/ns...nuary-18-2012/
  3. this won't help your project much but, for those searching for a morel of help, google...

    "lazy man's portfolio"
  4.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    check out NSRS. its a gold exploration company. its exploded so far this year, and i think it will continue to climb


    Oh man I hope nobody followed your advice...Lost over 50% in one day! Down 20% this morning.
  5.  
    Originally Posted by StlngMyChps View Post

    Oh man I hope nobody followed your advice...Lost over 50% in one day! Down 20% this morning.

    yep - as mentioned in my post, if you looked it up and followed the chatter on the bullboards, that stock was set up for a classic pump and dump. Hopefully none of our community got stung.
  6. I haven't read the replies but I am in an investment class right now also. I would short Sears, Netflix, or Priceline. those all have high debt and are having troubles.

    Probably don't short Apple
  7.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    check out NSRS. its a gold exploration company. its exploded so far this year, and i think it will continue to climb

    Gg Nov 9 money.

    Too soon??
  8. i rode this stock for a while and got out two days ago. didnt put much in but made a good return. i should have never posted it here tho, it was obviously a penny stock pump and dump. dont know what i was thinking
  9.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    i rode this stock for a while and got out two days ago. didnt put much in but made a good return. i should have never posted it here tho, it was obviously a penny stock pump and dump. dont know what i was thinking


    So you got out the day you told OT to check it out (implying we should buy)

    Cool story bro
  10. after watching it start tanking...
  11. it's actually fitting for a thread where someone is asking about stocks - when someone throws a name out there, the first thing you do is start looking into what they do, how they do it, who the principles are, and dig up as much dirt as you can before you throw your money down. You wouldn't go out and buy a car without do a little bit of research on it. It's not rocket science really, especially in the internet era.
  12. i ended up going with exxon mobile and a treasury bond with a 5/31/2012 maturity date 4.75 coupon

    thoughts?
     
    Thread Starter
  13. I work for XOM. You win! :)

    Too bad I'm checking P5s while at work on my phone. Your (our) stock will tank
  14.  
    Originally Posted by quietwinner View Post

    i ended up going with exxon mobile and a treasury bond with a 5/31/2012 maturity date 4.75 coupon

    thoughts?

    Good choices for real investment but for the purposes of the "game" I think its too conservative.
  15.  
    Originally Posted by quietwinner View Post

    i ended up going with exxon mobile and a treasury bond with a 5/31/2012 maturity date 4.75 coupon

    thoughts?

    the fuck howd you get a t-bond with such a high coupon. what was its length?
  16. There is an enormous difference between the 99% of people in the market who don't know what they're doing and the 1% that actively follows and understands how things work. The former should focus 100% on asset allocation and fees and completely ignore individual stocks and trying to time things. Find low fee funds that the asset allocation aligns with your risk tolerance and hold it forever. The latter still can't really time things (as well as they think they can at least) but an allocation that would be risky beyond belief for the average person is less risky with much higher upside for them due to their knowledge. The latter is the group Buffet is referring to - he would never recommend to the average investor anything other than long term buy and hold of diversified holdings.
  17.  
    Originally Posted by coolhandkev View Post

    The former should focus 100% on asset allocation and fees and completely ignore individual stocks and trying to time things. Find low fee funds that the asset allocation aligns with your risk tolerance and hold it forever.

    Butnaaaaaah. This doesn't work anymore. This is old school pre 2000 thinking. You gotta get big balls, find a good company or two and ride that shit hard

    What's a 10 year annualized return on a fund that you like?
    Edited By: dolphin13 Feb 9th, 2012 at 09:43 PM
  18.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    Butnaaaaaah. This doesn't work anymore. This is old school pre 2000 thinking.

    on a long enough horizon, it does work
  19.  
    Originally Posted by Unforseen View Post

    on a long enough horizon, it does work


    Maybe if you look 1980 to 2010, but what matters for us is 2010-2040. Previous performance does not guarantee future returns.

    There is no guarantee the Dow will be above 13k 10 or 20 years from now. Don't foolyourself

    And even if it does go higher what does the Dow needn't be at to compare to the gains of the last 30 years
    Edited By: dolphin13 Feb 9th, 2012 at 09:48 PM
  20.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    Maybe if you look 1980 to 2010, but what matters for us is 2010-2040. Previous performance does not guarantee future returns.

    There is no guarantee the Dow will be above 13k 10 or 20 years from now. Don't foolyourself

    And even if it does go higher what does the Dow needn't be at to compare to the gains of the last 30 years

    No shit it doesn't. But I believe the global economy as a whole will grow in the next 40 years. It probably wont grow at the levels of the 90s or the mid 2000s, but it would nevertheless grow.
  21. Who cares about a little piddly growth. I want big fucking growth. Double your money every few years growth. Not eek out 3% a year for the next 30 years

    From 1980 to 2000 the Dow went from roughly 1k to 11k. From 2000 to 2012 we've gone from 11k to 12.8k. The Nasdaq is obv down over the last 10 years. You simply just can't buy a fund, hold 30 years and expect the profits gained pre 2000
    Edited By: dolphin13 Feb 9th, 2012 at 09:57 PM
  22. the power of compounding tho ... let's just take the average historical return on the stock market for the last 50 or so years which i believe is around 8%. That doesn't sound like much but 8% compounded over 35yrs (let's assume you begin investing / saving in a 401k when you are 30), adds up to a shit load of money. Especially as you continue to contribute over time.

    Home runs are nice but they are also the exception and not the rule. For every home run you hit in the market, there will also be an equal number of dogs. No matter how good you are (or think you are), over the long haul of your investing life, you just can't pick 100% winners and escape losers.

    eg. you start with 25K ... you contribute 2k per year ... compounded at 8% over 35 years. The total available at retirement is $741,837.90
    Edited By: saxman Feb 9th, 2012 at 10:35 PM
  23. Sax, I don't think you get what I'm saying. Those days are done. You ain't getting 8% per year over the next 35 years
    Edited By: dolphin13 Feb 9th, 2012 at 10:39 PM
  24. Well, i mean you could be right - neither of us has any way of knowing that. But let's say you invest in some blue chip dividend paying stocks that get you a minimum of 4% dividend (not unrealistic since there are plenty of 4% dividend stocks out there), that means you only need an average of 4% growth per year, which really isn't asking a lot.
  25. Let's just compute this shit out for a while

    I'm not using a calc (numbers will be off) so well go 5% starting at 13kDow at end of 2012

    2013 13.65
    2014 14.38
    2015 15.10
    2016 15.85
    2017 16.64
    2018 17.47
    2019 18.34
    2020 19.25
    2021 20.06

    and this is 5 percent. 8 percent us probably Dow 25k or some shit like that
    We ain't getting to Dow 20k in the next nine years. Those big growth days are gone man. You gotta pick a lot more winners than losers. Funds will not get it done. Plain and simple.
  26. Sigh, remember when you could get 5% on a 1yr CD or a savings account. I agree with dolphin a lil here, you need to be a little more aggressive these days.
  27. yes, i do agree with you there D - i'm not suggesting i would put it in a fund and lock it away. Or even put it all in one company and lock it away. I do believe in being an active investor, picking stocks and sectors, getting in and out as need be. I have lost a lot of faith in the ability of mutual funds and their managers even tho i'm sure most of them are a lot smarter than i am. I guess in my mind, there is a line between day trading and trying to time the market, and just locking it up. You do have to be selective and adapt to change over time.
  28. Why you going all Dyzalot on me sax? Arguing for arguings sake.

    I was simply refuting coolhandkevs: find low fee funds , invest and hold forever statement.

    That's not a winning strategy anymore, you agree with me but still start rambling about 8 percent over the last 40 years. Oh and many of the highest yielders that yield 4% aren't anywhere near 4% growth per year. A good chunk are losing dogs that can't grow at all.
  29. lol sorry man - wasn't trying to be argumentative. More trying to clarify my beliefs.

    I just don't think that hold forever is an accurate description of long term investing. Even Buffett himself and his sidekick Charlie will tell you that they hold a stock until the fundamentals change. Could be a management change, or market driven, technological advances, what have you. Sometimes the market dips due to things you have no control over but if the fundamentals of your company are still sound, you can hold and collect the dividend rather than trying to time the market.

    I also recognize that there are purely technical investors out there who don't care about fundamentals at all and only trade based on technical indicators. I suppose some of them are quite successful. Are they more successful than traditional / fundamental type investors over a 50yr time span? I don't know.
  30. No problem. Somewhere along the road we've lost sight if the fact that a millionaire poker player told us to buy a stock a 1.20 and it's now at .51. We should be skewering Mr. In the Air Tonight

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