Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local
-
Good idea or bad? What effect will it have?
personally i think obama is doing it strictly because its politically inconvenient for him to have high gas prices leading up to an election. I cant imagine 30m barrels is going to have any effect on prices long term, and i wonder what its going to do short term...USA imports almost 10m barrels a day to supplement the 9m barrels we produce, so we are giving ourselves a 3 day supply of oil...several articles i have read dont see gas going below $3/gal no matter what we do.
i think that the strategic reserve is not big enough...we use roughly 20m barrels a day, so with the 700ish million barrels we have that is a little over a 1 month supply. I think given the instability in the middle east and the lack of domestic production warrant a serious increase in the strategic reserve. because i seriously doubt that any major supply interruption is going to be resolved in a month. -
It's pretty obvious that speculation keeps driving the price higher since basic economic principles don't support the current high oil price levels.
On the one hand, you have the free marketers stating that this is just another example of the government manipulating the markets by releasing more oil into the market. This is an interesting opinion considering that markets controlled by Opec aren't exactly free markets.
On the other hand, the economy is stalling and many economists predict that without stability in oil prices, the economy will continue to be soft. Of course it's in the best interest of the government and ultimately the rest of us (unless you're an oil speculator) that prices stabilize to support the weak economy.
At the end of the day, i suppose it is a form of government intervention into markets, but as i stated, Opec isn't exactly a free market enterprise. I'll side with the government and take my chances. -
dont tap em..suck the middle east dry..
when they are dry than funding for terrorists will cease to exist. Thats how the war on terror is won folks. -
the only thing to learn here is the u.s. reserves are a joke.
Originally Posted by NUTZREALHUGE
i think that the strategic reserve is not big enough...we use roughly 20m barrels a day, so with the 700ish million barrels we have that is a little over a 1 month supply.
side note: I love when people spout off about the limitless oil we'll have if we ever decide to drill in alaska. go ahead and look up how much oil is actually there. -
Supply isnt the problem. We have plenty of oil..
-
that's easy to say in 2011.
Edited By: Hank H1LL Jun 23rd, 2011 at 09:45 PM
and the 30 million barrel injection is a non-story. it's going to correct prices downward temporarily bla bla bla but then what? it also comes at the price of depleting the reserve. and looking months or years ahead we'll be in the exact same situation. -
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics...ubble-20110526
Edited By: ripomatic Jun 23rd, 2011 at 09:47 PM
its all a sharade!
Me thinks the WH is trying to burn the speculators. -
Edited By: Dyzalot Jun 23rd, 2011 at 09:59 PMRight, "speculators" such as airlines and other industries that "speculate" on future oil prices in order to ensure themselves a stable price over a set period of time would be against oil price stability. That makes sense...Of course it's in the best interest of the government and ultimately the rest of us (unless you're an oil speculator) that prices stabilize to support the weak economy.
Speculators make oil prices more stable than they would be otherwise. If you want an example, look at onion prices prior to and after the law making it illegal to trade onions on the commodity markets. Afterwards onion prices are much more erratic and less stable than they were prior to the dumb law.
It becomes an even more interesting opinion when you take into account that if the government doesn't release the oil then they are manipulating the markets by keeping oil off the market. This argument in terms of "messing" with the free market was over as soon as we started having a federal oil reserve.On the one hand, you have the free marketers stating that this is just another example of the government manipulating the markets by releasing more oil into the market. This is an interesting opinion considering that markets controlled by Opec aren't exactly free markets.
-
I'm not sure when or why government intervened to prevent the trade of onions. Sounds like an interesting case study.
With respect to oil, keep in mind that Opec in itself represents a form of government intervention since it is a cartel made up of foreign oil producers (foreign governments). It just happens to also have a huge impact on our economic stability since we are so dependent on foreign oil.
I believe the federal oil reserve was initiated for security interests rather than economic controls, although one could argue that doing things in the name of national security becomes a catch all for doing whatever you want, whenever you want to. The list of things done in the name of national security would be too long to write. -
I'm not sure when or why government intervened to prevent the trade of onions. Sounds like an interesting case study.
http://www.freedompolitics.com/artic...eculators.htmlIf Sanders and other economic illiterates get their way, we'll have new laws banning "speculation." That will raise prices further. Don't believe me? Think back to a previous time when a Senate committee said that "speculative activity causes severe and unwarranted fluctuations in the price. ..." That was in 1958, when people got upset about the price of onions. Fools in Congress addressed that problem by banning speculation on onion prices.
The result? A Financial Times analysis found that the ban made prices less stable. This year, the retail price of onions rose more than the price of gasoline -- 36 versus 24 percent. Most years, the price of onions fluctuates more than other goods. No mystery there. Speculators help keep prices stable. When they foresee a future oil shortage -- that is, when prices are lower than anticipated in the future -- speculators buy lots of it, store it and then sell it when the shortage hits. They know they can charge more when there's relatively little oil on the market. But their selling during the shortage brings prices down from what they would have been had speculators not acted. -
interesting ... i just looked it up b/c i never heard of it before.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onion_Futures_Act
In the fall of 1955, Seigel and Kosuga bought enough onions and onion futures so that they controlled 98 percent of the available onions in Chicago.[3] Millions of pounds of onions were shipped to Chicago to cover their purchases. By late 1955, they had stored 30,000,000 pounds (14,000,000 kg) of onions in Chicago.[4] They soon changed course and convinced onion growers to begin purchasing their inventory by threatening to flood the market with onions if they did not.[4] Seigel and Kosuga told the growers that they would hold the rest of their inventory in order to support the price of onions.[5]
As the growers began buying onions, Seigel and Kosuga purchased short positions on a large amount of onion contracts.[4] They also arranged to have their stores of onions reconditioned because they had started to spoil. They shipped them outside of Chicago to have them cleaned and then repackaged and re-shipped back to Chicago. The new shipments of onions caused many futures traders to think that there was an excess of onions and further drove down onion prices in Chicago. By the end of the onion season in March 1956, Seigel and Kosuga had flooded the markets with their onions and driven the price of 50 pounds (23 kg) of onions down to 10 cents a bag.[4] In August 1955, the same quantity of onions had been priced at $2.75 a bag.[5] So many onions were shipped to Chicago in order to depress prices that there were onion shortages in other parts of the United States.[6]
Seigel and Kosuga made millions of dollars on the transaction due to their short position on onion futures.[3] At one point, however, 50 pounds (23 kg) of onions were selling in Chicago for less than the bags that held them. This drove many onion farmers into bankruptcy.[3] A public outcry ensued among onion farmers who were left with large amounts of worthless inventory.[7] Many of the farmers had to pay to dispose of the large amounts of onions that they had purchased and grown.[8] -
OPEC is the issue here. How we've let em get this powerful shows how corrupt our politicians can be. Scratch my back, I'll scratch yours. GE is catching up with an impressive list of political puppets of their own. The country that invented the light bulb is making it illegal to buy one. Stop the madness.
China locked in 20 bucks a barrel from Russia for how long was it? the next decade? China could be our wholesaler. -
Edited By: RichardHurtz Jun 24th, 2011 at 03:39 AMWhat evidence do you have to support this?Originally Posted by saxman
It's pretty obvious that speculation keeps driving the price higher since basic economic principles don't support the current high oil price levels.
Yes for $90 a barrel you can have all the oil you like. And thank god for that. -
A barrel of oil is about $90.
A barrel of bottled water would cost $400.
A barrel of premium label coffee would be about $500. -
lol half-black presidents
in before ud says bush tapped it too because I can't remember and too lazy to google -
I'll just post the first thing that came up in a google search but there are tons of articles on this ....
Edited By: saxman Jun 24th, 2011 at 03:53 AM
New YORK (CNNMoney) -- Federal regulators charged five oil speculators Tuesday with manipulating the price of crude and making a $50 million profit from the scheme. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission alleges the speculators bought enormous amounts of actual crude oil for sale in Cushing, Okla, during the early months of 2008. This created a perceived shortage of oil in Cushing -- a major point for oil delivery -- and drove the price of oil futures contracts higher. The speculators then bet the price of oil would fall by selling so-called "short" contracts to other investors. When the speculators sold their actual oil holdings in Cushing en mass, the price of oil did fall, netting the group a hefty profit. The alleged scheme took place between January and April 2008, a time when oil prices were gradually climbing toward their all-time record of $147 a barrel set in the summer of 2008.
The price of crude during the months of the alleged misdeeds changed very little, generally staying within a $10 range but the traders made their money off the daily fluctuations. Crude traded at $99 a barrel Jan. 2, 2008, and ended March 2008 at $101 a barrel.
http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/24/mark...tion/index.htm
‘Perhaps 60% of today’s oil price is pure speculation’
by F. William Engdahl
The price of crude oil today is not made according to any traditional relation of supply to demand. It’s controlled by an elaborate financial market system as well as by the four major Anglo-American oil companies. As much as 60% of today’s crude oil price is pure speculation driven by large trader banks and hedge funds. It has nothing to do with the convenient myths of Peak Oil. It has to do with control of oil and its price.
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.p...878&context=va -
http://reason.com/blog/2011/05/05/na...eculators-cond
http://reason.com/archives/2011/05/0...and-the-market
So in other words, even when speculators manipulate the market it doesn't really affect overall prices? If so then how does your "run of the mill" speculating raise prices? It makes sense that a lot of today's oil prices are set by speculation when the whole world is warning of coming shortages in oil and energy.The price of crude during the months of the alleged misdeeds changed very little, generally staying within a $10 range but the traders made their money off the daily fluctuations.












