as a phins fan pats -1 seems like a trap.

Im going to wait until friday and load up on the Giants -1, -2

while I want to agree and say the Bears at +4 is crazy, it's basically Vegas begging you to take them... and they're much smarter than anyone here so it almost seems like the smart play would be to wait until the public shifts the line then take the Giants (not sure what I'll do if it's still +4 when the OT pool lines come out though)

EDIT - nm, Tread already posted the pool lines and it's +4

 

Originally Posted by mhoddi

while I want to agree and say the Bears at +4 is crazy, it's basically Vegas begging you to take them... and they're much smarter than anyone here so it almost seems like the smart play would be to wait until the public shifts the line then take the Giants

My proposed method for betting is find the line where Vegas seems too good to be true and bet the opposite side once it moves. Working on tracking data right now to support my theory, starting with OT lock threads that we know fail 90% of the time.

 

Originally Posted by mhoddi

while I want to agree and say the Bears at +4 is crazy, it's basically Vegas begging you to take them... and they're much smarter than anyone here so it almost seems like the smart play would be to wait until the public shifts the line then take the Giants (not sure what I'll do if it's still +4 when the OT pool lines come out though)

EDIT - nm, Tread already posted the pool lines and it's +4

dude can't make a ping pong ball in a cup and he tries getting smart about football lines............laughable.

First off OP is on the scammer list for 20 bux LOLLLL. Correct me if I am wrong. If I am not wrong get the fucking money from ur roommate and pay the bet from last year. I have no idea who you even owe.

I would take the Bears right now plus 4 all day. I also like Miami vs. Pats.

I think the last post confirmed it, I'm going to want action on the giants -4 this week.

 

Originally Posted by ChocoThunder

dude can't make a ping pong ball in a cup and he tries getting smart about football lines............laughable.

lol I made my fair share, you just didn't miss... sigh

 

Originally Posted by rocket5

Op is logged in.... What is the truth?

stated my case many times...look them up

Chicago Bears +4
Ravens +1.5
Seahawks -1
Pats -1

 

Originally Posted by rocket5

no idea. all I know is that he is still on the list. He claims his roommate somehow got on his account and made a 20 dollar bet and he refused to cover it. Solid imo. GTFO OP.

 

Originally Posted by ttplaya

stated my case many times...look them up

You're still responsible for paying the bet and then you should collect the money from your "roommate" on your own time.

 

Originally Posted by jeppg1111

Browns may play the Bengals tough but Bengals at -3 is a bet. Browns have pry lost all motivation already

I don't see how you can say this. This is a team that went 1-11 and rattled off four wins in a row under Mangini to finish off last year. They've lost three games, two on the road, to teams with a combined record of 7-2, by a combined margin of 12 points. I agree with the bet, but it has everything to do with my belief in the Bengals and absolutely nothing to do with the Browns losing motivation.

 

Originally Posted by rocket5

First off OP is on the scammer list for 20 bux LOLLLL. Correct me if I am wrong. If I am not wrong get the fucking money from ur roommate and pay the bet from last year. I have no idea who you even owe.

.

fwiw it was $80 and it was me. I never got paid, and hes made a few bets since.

i'm sure ttplaya would have had no problem accepting the money had he won the bet.

 

Originally Posted by Tbl_Captain

ATL -6.5: is pretty much a gift. Completely out of sorts west coast team, going east and playing in the early slot against a team that plays very well at home and has every motivation not to give away the div game the Saints just handed to them. This is a big play for me this week.

PIT -1: should be at least -3 and I agree that Flacco should struggle and maybe PIT covers, but the better play here is the under 35 I think. Both teams will struggle to move the ball and Ray Rice is banged up.

CIN -3 (-120): Back to back weeks as road favorites laying a big price again(-120/125 last week),but against a div opponent this time. Id watch out for this game, I like the browns to play them tough..... I even have them on the ML at +145.....

HOU -3 (-125): Hate all this juice with a road fav off a home loss but the Texans are vastly superior and should show it here. Arian Foster should have a big day on the ground and even without Johnson at 100% Schaub has shown he can get it done with his other receivers. I like HOU to bounce back.

NYG -4: Does no one else think the Giants are complete frauds and are headed for an abysmal season that ultimately sees Coughlin gone? Keep the points... CHI ML +175.

IND -7.5 (-9.5 open): This line already is coming down to earth off an early run on all the points the Jags were getting, I should've been smart enough to take an early position on this one but missed the boat. If it goes to -6.5(highly doubtful) I may take it.

TEN -6.5: DEN is not very good on the road and are pretty one dimensional with their only offense coming through the air. TEN has one of the highest rated pass Ds this year. DEN should have trouble moving the ball and CJ is pissed that he went for his second lowest total ever at home 2 weeks ago against PIT. I think TEN covers this easily.

Chalk much?