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  1. Yea there are a lot of those abstract questions. The "how many mailboxes are there in NYC" or "how many ping pongs can fit into a 747" are all about verbalizing your thought process.
     
  2. no idea if this is correct or not, but i would try and break it down into a smaller / more measurable amount - how much popcorn would fit into a bag - how many bags into a large box - how many boxes would it take to fill the room - something along those lines

    better yet - estimate the square footage of the room - how much popcorn would fit in a square foot
    Edited By: saxman Aug 17th, 2012 at 03:35 PM
  3. I refuse to fill this room with popcorn. Filling this room with popcorn would not be efficient, and doing so makes the popcorn lose it's utility as a delicious treat.
    Edited By: Niceguy Aug 17th, 2012 at 04:51 PM
  4.  
    Originally Posted by saxman View Post

    no idea if this is correct or not, but i would try and break it down into a smaller / more measurable amount - how much popcorn would fit into a bag - how many bags into a large box - how many boxes would it take to fill the room - something along those lines

    better yet - estimate the square footage of the room - how much popcorn would fit in a square foot

    Yeah that's pretty much what I did. Estimated how many can fit in a larger container (the garbage pail), then estimated the dimensions of the room in terms of the garbage pail, and finally multiplied the dimensions by the conversion back to popcorn. I had seen questions like this on Glassdoor before, but never saw anyone try to answer it.
    1
  5. So guys,

    When is the jig up? 2008 was just a preview right? We went to the edge and somehow didn't fall off. But we're gonna go leaping off at some point, right? when?
    Thread Starter
  6. if you believe in the historical charts, typical election year says that sept/oct are going to be rough months followed by a recovery in Nov/Dec.

    I think 2013 could be a rough year based on historical P/E of the S&P500 - going to be looking to get defensive in January/February.
  7.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    So guys,

    When is the jig up? 2008 was just a preview right? We went to the edge and somehow didn't fall off. But we're gonna go leaping off at some point, right? when?


    See in 2008, once the world found out the who MBS/CDO mess, coupled with the extremely high oil prices, the markets went on a downspiral.

    These days, the markets are all waiting...waiting for the actions of politicians in Europe, followed by the actions of US congress about the debt ceiling, which economists are predicting to come up february/march.

    Its a tough time to work in the business of investment management...yields are low and markets are volatile. That being said earning have reached historical records and valuations are still somewhat low (you have to find them)

    Having USD cash right meow is a good thing imo.
  8.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    So guys,

    When is the jig up? 2008 was just a preview right? We went to the edge and somehow didn't fall off. But we're gonna go leaping off at some point, right? when?


    I highly recommend the book Currency Wars for a great answer to this question.

    Also, Empire of Debt by Bill Bonner and his website dailyreckoning.com is fantastic.

    Edit: Also Aftershock: Protect yourself and profit in the next global financial meltdown
    Edited By: USCphildo Aug 19th, 2012 at 06:47 PM
  9.  
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    So guys,

    When is the jig up? 2008 was just a preview right? We went to the edge and somehow didn't fall off. But we're gonna go leaping off at some point, right? when?


  10.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    I highly recommend the book Currency Wars for a great answer to this question.

    Also, Empire of Debt by Bill Bonner and his website dailyreckoning.com is fantastic.

    Edit: Also Aftershock: Protect yourself and profit in the next global financial meltdown

    Agree, Currency Wars is must read
     
  11. congrats to all the AAPL longs - unreal the run this thing has had

    FB had a nice pop today. Read that one of their execs sold 20MM shares on the release date. Thats a ton of money but 50% less than it was worth at IPO.

    Looks like gold and silver miners are starting to move higher. I'm still long MUX and been buying on dips.
  12.  
    Originally Posted by saxman View Post

    congrats to dolphin on your new yacht - unreal the run apple has had

    FB had a nice pop today. Read that one of their execs sold 20MM shares on the release date. Thats a ton of money but 50% less than it was worth at IPO.

    Looks like gold and silver miners are starting to move higher. I'm still long MUX and been buying on dips.

    thank you thank you. If you're nice maybe Ill let you on board for a ride

    :)

    best part of getting laid off years ago. The money just was sitting in some crappy mutual fund but when i got laid off I just sunk it all into apple stock in the 120s.

    and I kept buying on the way up despite the peeps like niceguy saying the run was done. Stock could lose half its value tomorrow and I'd still have a massive profit. weeeee
    Edited By: dolphin13 Aug 21st, 2012 at 04:36 AM
    Thread Starter
  13. lol - do you keep holding here or are you reducing a bit? i don't know what i would do tbh
  14. Not sure to be perfectly honest but apparently two days after I made that comment about having a box in your house that can do it all, there was some news story about apple trying to get cable and satellite companies to buy just such a box for them and then distribute it. gotta do more research.

    Whats always made apple more profitable than google in regard to phones and tablets is they handle almost every fucking aspect of their products. So if they could all of a sudden flip a switch and made netflix and redbox irrelevant then there's a lot of room for ridiculous growth.

    and generally I try to not worry about share price and guide my decision by P/E ratio and apple just isnt an expensive stock, especially for a tech company with their type of growth. I'd much rather take a 10 percent hit than miss out on a 30 percent increasse in stock price, which I still think is realistic
    Edited By: dolphin13 Aug 21st, 2012 at 04:55 AM
    Thread Starter
  15. I would hold. Apple is coming out with the iPhone5 and analysis have said Apple could sell up to 250 million of them which would boost Apple's stock price up $50 (I personally think the iPhone 5 sales is starting to get factored in with this fast rise).

    Apple will be coming out with a mini iPad which Jobs refused to come out with. Now that Jobs is gone, Cook has the green light to come out with them. I refuse to pay at least $500 for an iPad, so for someone like me, the mini iPad (price dependent) could be something I would be very interested in.

    Then there is Apple tv. IMO, Apple is easily a $700 stock and I think it hits that mark by end of the year.

    So with these products coming out down the road, you could sell some to take some profits but I would still be holding.

    I do think however with this fast rise (up almost $100 since the dip from earnings of around $571) Apple needs a pull back before the next leg up. Will it happen soon? Who knows.
  16. i've always thought the one thing apple has going for it is the continuous revenue stream from the apple store / downloads - maybe its just not a major part of their revenue idk - getting on top and staying on top of the technology world (relying on hardware alone) has got to be tough but they seem to know what they're doing.
  17. Should probably buy a few puts, maybe on half your shares, for some protection dolphin
     
  18. Nah. Fuck that
    Thread Starter
  19. If I would have been buying calls on apple and gold in the past I'd never have to work again :(
    Thread Starter
  20. sell half your apple stock here and keep $ for pullback in apple. Then reinvest in same. Ride up, sell, then wait, then reinvest. Rinse repeat
  21. is the normal Sept/Oct sell off going to negated by stimulus hopes in Asia and Europe.

    gold is up $24 on overseas. market is looking a bit frothy but i don't want to bail too early.
  22.  
    Originally Posted by katdragon View Post

    sell half your apple stock here and keep $ for pullback in apple. Then reinvest in same. Ride up, sell, then wait, then reinvest. Rinse repeat

    people say this all the time like it's so easy. but there have been plenty of times where you have no idea where the pullback is coming. could have very easily did this around 400 and missed a 100 point upswing. I rather just buy and hold til I dont believe in the growth story anymore
    Thread Starter
  23. Bailing too early has been my fear too. But the last couple weeks I've been slowly locking in 32 - 46% gains on FAS and RDN, winding down their positions a bit. Still have them, but only about 40% of what I bought a few months ago.
  24. EUR is 1.25, how? There's no fundamentals supporting this is there? 1.15 I could see, but they're riding on 4 flats trying to stay in the fast lane. Platinum had a nice run this week, but doubt Dolphin listened to my post.
  25. EUR yesterday was helped out by the Fed minutes but its recent run up has been aided by the comments from Draghi that he will do whatever is necessary. Also hopes that the ECB will do something to cap the interest rates on euro sovereign debt. Plus it's the summer, not a lot of trading and shorter term shorts are getting squeezed.
     
  26.  
    Originally Posted by USCphildo View Post

    I'm currently holding a lot of SSRI

    very nice run - MUX has also been on a tear for the last couple weeks but looks like profit taking has stalled it out for now
  27.  
    Originally Posted by cizastro View Post

    Jumped into NUGT @ 9.90/sh

    Wish me luck...

    NUGT & PPP have been single-handedly carrying my portfolio for the last few weeks. Both have been crazy good!

    Of course I have regrets of not backing up the truck when PPP was at 2.60-2.80, but I didn't have spare cash at that time.

    Goooooooooooolllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll lllllllldddddddddddddddddd.
  28. Just bought some WMT and BRK B. Need to start putting more money into the market after I get my savings to where I want it.
  29. I'm investing heavily in Hecla Mining Co. (HL) They are making substantial upgrades to their flagship mine, the Lucky Friday. It's just over the hill from my property. When it reopens, the stock price will double.
  30.  
    Originally Posted by Leet8s View Post

    EUR yesterday was helped out by the Fed minutes but its recent run up has been aided by the comments from Draghi that he will do whatever is necessary. Also hopes that the ECB will do something to cap the interest rates on euro sovereign debt. Plus it's the summer, not a lot of trading and shorter term shorts are getting squeezed.

    Think of it like energy vs potential energy. There is still lots of potential energy to pull from to kick this can down the road.

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