Meh. Not sure about value. If Rampage had a decent camp, he may have a puncher's chance, but I'd take Machida. BJ has been weird/unmotivated lately so I'd stay away from him. If his head is on right, he beats Hughes. Really like the Sotiropoulos/Lauzon fight. George has been on a tear since the show, but Joe always puts on a good fight.

In other words, I don't have a bet I like on this card.

This card sucks. Paying 60 bucks to watch 2 fights that I could care about. Then both of them will be snoozefest decisions. There is your bets. Bet they both go to decision. Cannot wait til they get the lighter classes in the UFC. Aldo is ready to bring the pain.

Machida wins this fight 10x out of 10. His style is a perfect matchup for a short-mid range boxer like Rampage. He might win by decision, maybe by KO, but he's gonna win for sure, LOCK it up.

The only other bet I like here is maybe some value in Falcao as an underdog - he is an unknown striker, 25-3, with all but two wins coming by KO in the 1st round. The other 2 wins were 2nd round KO. So imo it's a pick'em between him and Harris, and the bookies are offering +225.

Also, this:

How can you see value in a Brazilian striker vs Harris? Harris is a fucking GNP beast and his opponent from what I can tell has never faced top tier competition.

-Machida is going to pick apart Rampage (especially after Jackson gases after Rd 1)

-I think BJ is going to get his first win of the year. BJ still seems hungry, and Matt is just trying "to bring another check home to my wife". BJ has better stand up these days and Matt won't be able to take him down to use his size over BJ.

In both fights I think it comes down to the guys that are fighting to get back into contention, against the guys that want to pick up one more big check before the call it quits...again.

The UFC is only $45 on comcast. Me and 4 friends get it and its like $10 a person for a good night of fights. Definently worth it for me.

 

Originally Posted by ShebDeeZ

If i recall correctly didnt penn get worked over hard in his last fight, while hughes absolutely destroyed his opponent in his last fight? so gg penn, and hopefully rampage gets worked over like all you are saying he will...also where does this fight cost $60....its only $44 here on time warner,, split that w/ a few friends and it becomes a cheap night of beer drinking and watching people pound eachothers faces in

I agree with you that Penn got handled in his list fight and Hughes did well in his. But you have to look at who they were fighting. Hughes beat Ricardo Almeida, who is an amazing grappler but not a quality MMA fighter. He has thrown 309 attempted strkes in his career, someone so one dimensional against a seasoned hall of famer like Hughes should get owned. Matt hasn't been in the ring with anyone close to their prime since fighting GSP in '07.

BJ fought the current Lightweight Champ who is much more a complete fighter and definitly in his prime. BJ has been in "real" fights much more recently than Hughes and I'm a firm believer that iron sharpens iron. If BJ's conditioning is where it should be than he should do well against Hughes.

But as we've seen time and time again anything can happen in the octagon.

Yeh I big part of this fight is gonna be about Penn's conditioning. I really believe he needs to leave Hawaii and go to new camp like ATT or Black House. I think that would help out his career alot.

 

Originally Posted by ShebDeeZ

If i recall correctly didnt penn get worked over hard in his last fight, while hughes absolutely destroyed his opponent in his last fight? so gg penn

rofl awesome logic, you must win heaps betting mma, tell us more

 

Originally Posted by toerazor

Yeh I big part of this fight is gonna be about Penn's conditioning. I really believe he needs to leave Hawaii and go to new camp like ATT or Black House. I think that would help out his career alot.

Penn + Black House is scary... they all love him there to I wish he'd pull his head out of his ass and join up.

 

Originally Posted by Geoff Moore

I've thought Penns camp has been his weakness for a long time too. He has so much natural talent that he's been able to get away with it for a long time, but it's catching up with him. If he would go to a different camp for even a month I think it would him a lot of good. But I don't see him leaving HI anytime soon, if he was going to I think he would have already done it.

Sidenote: If you haven't seen the youtube vids on GSP greasing during his fight with Penn check it out...

not sure why GSP is known as the golden child.......

Never heard him referred to as the golden child before but the name seems quite fitting actually.

Squeaky clean image + good, respectful attitude + 2nd to none work ethic + impressive results = golden child

I think im going to make a small wager on Falcao also. Gerald Harris is a quality opponent but with Falcao as big of an underdog as he his, he has a chance to KO Harris. I also think Dennis Hallman is worth a small play against Karo. Especially with the problems that Karo has been going through the past couple years with the anxiety and pain killer addiction. If he comes out looking like he did at the last Impact FC card Hallman will beat him. I just feel like Karo's head isn't in the fight game anymore and he is just doing for the paycheck.

ww goat? he is fighting gsp again?

and he's 5 lbs. lighter, he just said yesterday that he is at 165.

Fully hydrated no cut 165 is way more effective than a cut to 170 and then rehydrate to 180.

What i'm saying is they both usually have to cut. They want to have the 185 size and strength but fight at the lightest weight possible. BJ makes no illusion as to needing the bigger size to fight. He's a freak. That quote you just had me for is for BJ Penn specifically and isn't true for most people. If he got up to 180 just to cut I don't think he'd be better at all.