Check out our brand new Local Poker Communities! Get updates and interact with poker players in your area.
Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local
  1. USC will be playing more than a mile above sea level in 40 degree, cold, thin air. I am going to go out on a limb and guess that the vast majority of the team has never played in those conditions. For the kids from SoCal, it's going to hurt to breathe and probably be a physically uncomfortable game. I think they still win against a dreadful CU team, but I like CU at +21.5. Also keep in mind that USC is coming off a tough loss and is suspect against weak opponents (beat Minnesota by two earlier this season).
    Edited By: El Burro Nov 4th, 2011 at 02:41 PM
    Reason: Incorrect on ATS stat.
  2. is Richardson playing? I saw he was at practice this week but didnt see anythig about his playing time.
  3. Odd, you're not mattg.
  4. They will struggle in the 1st half but I think they get it going in the 2nd. CU is a woeful team. I might look CU's way if the line gets near 23 but at 21, its either USC or no play for me. I think the under might be worth a look as well. 41-13
  5.  
    Originally Posted by Quartersack View Post

    They will struggle in the 1st half but I think they get it going in the 2nd. CU is a woeful team. I might look CU's way if the line gets near 23 but at 21, its either USC or no play for me. I think the under might be worth a look as well. 41-13

    Yeah, I also took CU +13 1H and under 58.5 for game. The half-point over 3 TDs isn't much, but I won't be surprised if it makes the difference.
    Thread Starter
  6. I'll be there. Should be a beautiful night in the 40's.

    I doubt USC will struggle.

  7.  
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    Odd, you're not mattg.


    oops, forgot to make a thread. Just wanna enjoy the game saturday rather than spend a day the day sweating bets so dont think Im betting anything but LSU. I do like colorado in this game.
    Edited By: mattg1983 Nov 4th, 2011 at 03:51 PM
  8.  
    Originally Posted by mattg1983 View Post

    oops, forgot to make a thread. Just wanna enjoy the game saturday rather than spend a day the day sweating bets so dont think Im betting anything but LSU. I do like colorado in this game.

    this game is tonight - BET AWAY
  9.  
    Originally Posted by DAWS View Post

    this game is tonight - BET AWAY


    I want to jerk off to game trailers and mathieu pics all day. Need to have my mind free of bets.
  10. I'm surprised colorado even has enough players to suit up a defensive back field. I like the theory but i won't be going contrary on this game. Laying off.
  11.  
    Originally Posted by Quartersack View Post

    They will struggle in the 1st half but I think they get it going in the 2nd. CU is a woeful team. I might look CU's way if the line gets near 23 but at 21, its either Colorado or no play for me. I think the under might be worth a look as well. 41-13

    FYP
  12. I agree on the under sentiment.
  13. Gunna hold out for 21.5. If it doesnt come then just gunna lay off
  14. DO NOT TAKE CU!!

    even if P Rich and and Rodney Stewart play tonight it will still not be close. We are going to lose by 35. It will be cold and it is at altitude but don't count too much on those variables. I was shocked when i saw the spread wasn't at least 28. Pre gaming is starting up right now.

    With that said...GO BUFFS

    EDIT- Richardson and Stewart are both playing tonight
    Edited By: Southpaw16 Nov 4th, 2011 at 06:49 PM
  15.  
    Originally Posted by mattg1983 View Post

    Gunna hold out for 21.5. If it doesnt come then just gunna lay off

    I got it at +21.5 last night on blowdog. Now it's +21 (-120) there. My local has it down to 20 and o/u 57. Might try to middle this bish.

    Edit: Bought the hook for USC -19.5 with my local. Come on 20 or 21!
    Edited By: El Burro Nov 4th, 2011 at 06:49 PM
    Thread Starter
  16. colorado is beyond awful ... i wouldnt even take them to cover if this game was being played at the top of mount everest
  17. Anyone saying take USC in this game doesn't bet sports profitably over a long run. Sure USC could cover this game but it's such an awful spot for them. And to the guy who said it should be 28, why do you think Vegas opened it at 21 and now it's 20 at most spots? Vegas loves people like you
  18. I've got USC down to 21 and the under at 57

    Im thinking somewhere around 45-10

     
    Originally Posted by crtierney View Post

    Anyone saying take USC in this game doesn't bet sports profitably over a long run. Sure USC could cover this game but it's such an awful spot for them. And to the guy who said it should be 28, why do you think Vegas opened it at 21 and now it's 20 at most spots? Vegas loves people like you

    considering USC is due for an emotional let down, i think you have a great point.
    However I'm an idiot and my bet if final.
  19. Wait, we are talking about University of Southern California vs. Colorado right? The same Colorado that lost by 34 to ASU, 43 to Oregon, 28 to UW, and 41 to Stanford.

    I doubt USC will win by less than 28. I will jack off a mile above sea level in 30 degree weather wearing a buffalo mask if they do.
  20.  
    Originally Posted by crtierney View Post

    Anyone saying take USC in this game doesn't bet sports profitably over a long run. Sure USC could cover this game but it's such an awful spot for them. And to the guy who said it should be 28, why do you think Vegas opened it at 21 and now it's 20 at most spots? Vegas loves people like you

    I agree with most of this. However, from what I've read out of LA, the team and especially Barkley, is in good spirits. I think popular opinion is Barkley is probably leaving USC after this season, which means he only has a couple games left to really showcase himself (due to no postseason play). The spotlight will be on him tonight and I expect he plays pretty well. You're point about the letdown spot is an accurate one and I initially leaned CU earlier this week. Then I went back and watched CU a couple more times, they are staggeringly bad. It's not just a lack of talent, Embree is just clueless as a HC, CU went on the cheap for a HC and they got what they paid for. ASU, UO, UW have all hanged 40+ by the 3Q.
  21.  
    Originally Posted by Edub View Post

    Wait, we are talking about University of Southern California vs. Colorado right? The same Colorado that lost by 34 to ASU, 43 to Oregon, 28 to UW, and 41 to Stanford.

    I doubt USC will win by less than 28. I will jack off a mile above sea level in 30 degree weather wearing a buffalo mask if they do.

    if sportsbetting were as easy as picking the good teams to cover vs the bad teams, we'd all be rich.

    actually we wouldn't, there would be no bookies.

     
    Originally Posted by crtierney View Post

    Anyone saying take USC in this game doesn't bet sports profitably over a long run. Sure USC could cover this game but it's such an awful spot for them. And to the guy who said it should be 28, why do you think Vegas opened it at 21 and now it's 20 at most spots? Vegas loves people like you

    this dude knows of what he speaks.
    Edited By: TheWacoKidd Nov 4th, 2011 at 08:35 PM
     1
  22. Made the idiotic bet of taking USC -21. Colorado is just SO bad and I'm hoping Lane will try to run it up.
     
  23. Were in trouble, I like CU also and got it @ +22. People are right, CU isn't very good, but neither is USC tbh. and oh yeah, Ctrl Mich ftmfw
     
  24. Shoot really? I took Kent St at home -1.5
     
  25. CU can cover this, but they are bad, really bad. You could argue that USC had a short week, let down loss, and the altitude, but CU is terrible. When everything is so against 1 team, statistically cu is terrible, by the eye test they are terrible, by the injury report they are terrible, from the HC position they are terrible, it's probably the spot to pick them and I do usually, I just don't see it tonight but GL to you guys.
  26.  
    Originally Posted by Danezone View Post

    Shoot really? I took Kent St at home -1.5

    Unless Antonio Gates reenrolled, (He didn't, I checked) Kent should get rolled. They play decent defense but can't score and CMU will score. I hate using commen opponents b/c that isn't a good way to quantify teams but I'll do it just for a point of reference. No Ill 40 Kent St 10 CMU 48 NO Ill 41. Scoring 38 more points on a team (forget the win part) is pretty huge. Anyway, with all of this u can make sure that Kent State will likely kick the shit outta CMU :)
     
  27. haha dammit I should consult you before I make these bets. I just hate betting one game, if there are 2 games that night I'd rather get action on both of them. Like my fellow Minneapolis citizen crtierney says I do NOT bet sports profitably!
     
  28.  
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    CU can cover this, but they are bad, really bad. You could argue that USC had a short week, let down loss, and the altitude, but CU is terrible. When everything is so against 1 team, statistically cu is terrible, by the eye test they are terrible, by the injury report they are terrible, from the HC position they are terrible, it's probably the spot to pick them and I do usually, I just don't see it tonight but GL to you guys.

    not taking CU, they are HORRIBAD. USC is a square play tho
     1
  29.  
    Originally Posted by TheWacoKidd View Post

    not taking CU, they are HORRIBAD. USC is a square play tho

    I agree with this. That said, I made a small bet on USC just so I have a better reason to drink tonight.
  30. thinking Under in the SC game
     

Similar Threads