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Week 5 Lines - 2012 Football Handy Challenge - Pix Due 820pm ET Thurs

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  1. Mr323 Mr323 is offline

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    Sep 28th, 2012 (9/28/2012 9:29am) in reply to Poker&Golf

    I wish you 6-0 as well, I couldn't manage that evar.
  2. Niceguy Niceguy is offline I will find you.

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    Sep 28th, 2012 (9/28/2012 11:11am) in reply to Mr323

    Sooners proving a random walk is the way to go.
  3. MeJahAndOmaha MeJahAndOmaha is online now doesn't talk to roommates

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    Sep 28th, 2012 (9/28/2012 5:21pm) in reply to Mr323

     
    Originally Posted by Mr323 View Post

    If anyone wants to make any monies, just bet the opposite of these gems:

    Patriots -4
    Seahawks -3
    Cardinals -6
    Bears -4
    Giants +2
    Clemson -9

    Well, giving away 8 points isn't helping you...
  4. Tread Tread is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 1:09am) in reply to MeJahAndOmaha

    Guys, if you hear from Sweetness tell him not to give up! MilBests and his Sowers are due by noon.

    GOW this week is the Pats -4 with 12 selections

    Also qualifying as best bets are 49ers -4 and Bengals -3 at 10 selections each

    college betting was extremely spread out.

    BOL to all and enjoy the games!

    Interesting stat I read on another board last night, have no way of verifying. Teams off a conference game win where they were a home dog in their last game (Stanford beat USC as a dog at home last week) where they go on the road the next week and are favored to beat a team by 17 or less in another conference game (Stanford -7 over Wash) and they have also beaten that team the last 2 years (Stanford had beaten Wash last 2 years) were 1-37 ATS going into last night, and Stanford failed to cover so its now 1-38. I, of course, read this after pix were due.
    Edited By: Tread Sep 29th, 2012 at 01:11 AM
    Thread Starter
  5. kellykip kellykip is online now The Chosen One

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 11:05am) in reply to Tread

    I think it is a highly suspicious claim for a few reasons, among them:

    1) It is pretty hard for someone to verify

    2) Why would anyone who would have spent the time to research and discover results this historically dramatic then turn around and disclose these findings?
  6. Xmas32 Xmas32 is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 11:19am) in reply to kellykip

    I'm not sure if you spend much time on websites that focus strictly on gambling (therx/covers/etc) but there are some handicappers out there who only use trends as their tools for decision making. As for your 2nd point, people just can't help themselves, it's a constant game of one upsmanship for better or worse.
  7. kellykip kellykip is online now The Chosen One

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 11:40am) in reply to Xmas32

    . dbl post
    Edited By: kellykip Sep 29th, 2012 at 11:57 AM
  8. kellykip kellykip is online now The Chosen One

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 11:55am) in reply to Xmas32

    I was a thoroughbred handicapper for a number of years, and would spend about 4-5 hours per night on non-race days just digging through trainer statistics to suss out any obscure angle, in addition to adjusting performances for track bias, etc. So I do understand that these angles are researched. If you read what I wrote again, I was just saying it is difficult to verify this. How much time would it take to independently prove that their research didn't leave out x amount of instances where these conditions were met with opposite results? How do you know somebody on a site that claims he verified it really did?

    As to your second explanation, I think it is a reach to buy that someone with this verifyable information would kill a golden goose simply for one-upsmanship. There are certainly stupid people that might, but stupid people who might after either making the considerable effort it would take to discover themselves, or making the considerable effort verify this claim, would be infinitely rarer.

    To believe that this research is 100% accurate, AND that the person who knows with certainty that it is would spill the info - all in order to buy a claim of 1-38 ATS, is more than I'm personally willing to swallow.

    If you are right and I'm wrong then it's my loss.
  9. TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline haters gonna hate

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 2:59pm) in reply to kellykip

    lol trends.
     1
  10. Tread Tread is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 3:17pm) in reply to TheWacoKidd

    Just in case anyone was interested, the most played college game today was

    Wisconsin +13
    Thread Starter
  11. TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline haters gonna hate

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 3:18pm) in reply to Tread

    it's not often that the best bet is a sharp play
     1
  12. Hank H1LL Hank H1LL is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 3:50pm) in reply to TheWacoKidd

    I just think nebraska with burkhead back is a different team than the one seen early in the season.

    That said, there's zero chance I'd bet -13 with real money and I'd probably take wisconsin
  13. TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline haters gonna hate

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 3:55pm) in reply to Hank H1LL

    it's been 11.5 for like 3 days. most of the action is on Nebraska. it's getting closer to a 50-50 ish game tho, was more lopsided earlier in week
     1
  14. MilBestDrnkr MilBestDrnkr is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 4:34pm) in reply to Omoneyman0

    Lions
    Texans
    Bucs
    Packers over
    Georgia
    Northwestern
  15. Niceguy Niceguy is offline I will find you.

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 4:59pm) in reply to MilBestDrnkr

    talk about cutting it close.
  16. MilBestDrnkr MilBestDrnkr is offline

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    Sep 29th, 2012 (9/29/2012 6:33pm) in reply to Niceguy

     
    Originally Posted by Niceguy View Post

    talk about cutting it close.

    Fucking cyber attacks caused me to have to work .. Almost forgot tbh .. Apologies for no spreads listed they were done by phone
  17. Tread Tread is offline

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    Sep 30th, 2012 (9/30/2012 4:12pm) in reply to MilBestDrnkr

    No worries MilBest, glad you got em in.

    Unofficially 98-86 yesterday, a definite improvement.
    Thread Starter
  18. Niceguy Niceguy is offline I will find you.

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    Sep 30th, 2012 (9/30/2012 6:02pm) in reply to Tread

    Decent 5-1 week for me, should have stuck with toledo instead of taking the over but whatev. We are back on track people, let's aim for second together.
  19. Jaybone2315 Jaybone2315 is online now J.B. Grindier

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    Sep 30th, 2012 (9/30/2012 6:06pm) in reply to Niceguy

    Sigh... 1-2 so far. I suck at college I need to stay in the NFL. Need a 3-0 day to recover. SSSGOOOOO
  20. djg23 djg23 is offline

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    Oct 1st, 2012 (10/1/2012 12:34am) in reply to Jaybone2315

    4-2 this week. not bad
  21. cmval cmval is offline

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    Oct 1st, 2012 (10/1/2012 3:29am) in reply to djg23

    5-1 this week for me as well
    I guess there is still time to turn it around
  22. Mr323 Mr323 is offline

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    Oct 1st, 2012 (10/1/2012 2:23pm) in reply to MeJahAndOmaha

     
    Originally Posted by MeJahAndOmaha View Post

    Well, giving away 8 points isn't helping you...


    Just realized this error. Off to work and won't be home till midnight, I assume if I write Bear-4 instead of +4 it's a mistake, and it stands as the original listed lines you posted Tread?

    Basically, I wanted Bears and I hope it get what the line really is, +4
  23. Niceguy Niceguy is offline I will find you.

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    Oct 1st, 2012 (10/1/2012 3:36pm) in reply to Mr323

    Sorry you got bears -4.. GL.
  24. Mr323 Mr323 is offline

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    Oct 2nd, 2012 (10/2/2012 3:59am) in reply to Niceguy

    Cool, so I can just post any line I want in my picks :)
  25. dolphin13 dolphin13 is offline OT Vice MVP

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 7:27pm) in reply to Mr323

    Cardinals -1.5
    Steelers -3
    Broncos +6.5
    Jets +7.5
    Chargers +3.5
    Dolphins +4
  26. TheWacoKidd TheWacoKidd is offline haters gonna hate

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 8:00pm) in reply to dolphin13

     
    Originally Posted by dolphin13 View Post

    Cardinals -1.5
    Steelers -3
    Broncos +6.5
    Jets +7.5
    Chargers +3.5
    Dolphins +4

     1
  27. quietwinner quietwinner is offline

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 8:02pm) in reply to TheWacoKidd

    lol. dumbass
     
  28. Mr323 Mr323 is offline

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 8:13pm) in reply to quietwinner

    moran!
  29. MeJahAndOmaha MeJahAndOmaha is online now doesn't talk to roommates

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 8:54pm) in reply to Mr323

    dolphin13: actively inventing new ways to fail since 2007.
  30. LakersnYanks LakersnYanks is offline

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    Oct 4th, 2012 (10/4/2012 9:24pm) in reply to Omoneyman0

    Cardinals - 1.5
    Redskins +3
    Steelers -3
    Giants -8.5
    Bengals -4
    Texans - 7.5
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