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One of the weirder NFL years in recent memory, but I think there are a lot of games with value tomorrow. All lines accurate as of Saturday night.
Miami (+3.5) at DENVER
A feisty Dolphins club with an improved offense and solid defense. Ronnie Brown fantasy owners should expect big numbers down the stretch, as the Dolphins face some bad run defenses in the second half. Chad Pennington has quietly posted some very solid numbers at the QB position, with speedster Ted Ginn finally getting in the act last week with 7 catches for 175 yards. The Broncos will be without Boss Bailey on defense, which will hurt them much more than the return of Brandon Stokley or Ryan Torrain will help them.
Philly (-6.5) at Seattle
Moreso because the Seahawks are pretty terrible, especially without Hasselbeck. The Eagles have a tough run defense, which means the ball will be put in Seneca Wallace's hands. I expect DeSean Jackson to rip off a big play or two, which combined with a healthy Westbrook should allow the Eagles to cruise to a 2 TD victory. This would probably be the bet of the day, and the line will move to 7 before kick.
CINCY (+7.5) vs. Jacksonville
It's gotta happen sometime. Cincy will <strike>win a game</strike> cover a spread. Jacksonville isn't good enough of a team to be laying more than a touchdown on the road. The Bengals are bad, but I think Houshmandzadeh and company have a couple of competitive contests left in them. Maybe Ocho Cinco will even show up (fantasy bust of the year). Just too many points for a mediocre team to be laying on the road.
NYG (-8.5) vs. Dallas
The Giants feature one of the best defenses in football, especially up front. The Cowboys have struggled mightily with Brad Johnson behind the helm, and 40 year olds don't have a switch they can turn on or off (and Brooks Bollinger is not saving any franchises this lifetime). Barber is a beast, but we all know how hard it is to run the ball when teams are stacking the line. The loss of Witten takes away the Boys' best pass catcher and the best TE in the NFL. Unless Eli makes some stupid decisions, the Giants should handle Dallas.
Titans (-4) vs. GB
Green Bay is a decent team, they do a lot of things pretty well, but nothing outstanding. The Titans are fundamentally sound and physically dominating, which is not a good thing for the Packers. Vanden bosch returns, and along with Haynesworth forms the best D-line in football. Ryan Grant has struggled all season to get yardage, doesn't bode well for him tomorrow. Yes, it's a quick turnaround for the Titans, but both games are at home, don't see much lingering effects. The Packers secondary gets healthy tomorrow, and they may have a chance if they can totally take away the Titans passing game and make them one dimensional. But the Titans are a blackjack heater right now, you don't bet against them. -
how about the bears?
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wouldn't touch the bears tomorrow - i wouldn't doubt it the lions win straight up tbh.
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Baltimore @ Clev. -1.5
Cincy vs. Jax +7.5 -
this. they're really not tooooooooooooo terrible - yeah, they suck, but them getting two touchdowns is a little much. i like the lions a lot tomorrow.
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FYP
Originally Posted by shipitthisway
Miami (+3.5) at DENVER
A feisty Dolphins club with an improved offense and solid defense. Ronnie Brown fantasy owners should expect big numbers down the stretch, as the Dolphins face some bad run defenses in the second half. Chad Pennington has quietly posted some very solid numbers at the QB position, with speedster Ted Ginn finally getting in the act last week with 7 catches for 175 yards. The Broncos will be without Boss and infinitely more importantly, Champ Bailey on defense, which will hurt them much more than the return of Brandon Stokley or Ryan Torrain will help them. -
On the other side with Seattle and GB and one of my bigger plays is the Lions. But good luck man, your capping posts are definitely alot better than most of the ones in OT. Another play that I think has alot of value mis the Rams vs the Cards.
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LIONS +12.5 and LIONS ML +480
Any team getting more than +10.5 in NFL is a good bet. -
Good job bro 4 easy winners in there and one close loser. I should've told you to edit out Tenn. and you would've ended up perfect.
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