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Who Do You Think Will Win the WSOP $1M Big One for One Drop?

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  1. Dan Dan is offline Administrator

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    Jun 8th, 2012 (6/8/2012 7:58pm)

    The WSOP's $1 million buy-in Big One for One Drop is nearly sold out, with 42 of the 48 spots officially taken. Who do you think will win? Check out our full preview. Here's the full list of entrants so far:

    Most Recent Players In:

    Anonymous (U.S. Hedge Fund Manager)
    John Morgan (CEO, Winmark Corporation)
    Eugene Katchalov
    Jens Kyllonen
    Jason treysfull21 Mercier
    David "Viffer" Peat
    Vivek Psyduck Rajkumar
    Andrew good2cu Robl
    Nick Schulman
    Noah fourUhaters Schwartz
    Roger Teska
    Sam Trickett

    Original Entrant List:

    Andy Beal
    Anonymous (U.S. Venture Capitalist)
    Anonymous (European Hedge Fund Manager)
    Anonymous (U.S. Hedge Fund Manager)
    Arnaud Mimran
    Bertrand ElkY Grospellier
    Bobby Baldwin
    Bob Bright
    Caesars Entertainment Seat
    Caesars Entertainment Seat via June 30 $25,300 Satellite at Rio
    Carlos Nahas (Loto Quebec/Casino Montreal Satellite Winner)
    Cary Katz
    Daniel Negreanu
    Dan Shak
    Erik Seidel
    Frederic Banjout
    Giovanni "Malibu" Guarascio
    Gus Hansen
    Guy Laliberté
    Johnny Chan
    Jonathan Duhamel
    Justin Boosted J Smith
    MGM Mirage Satellite Seat
    Patrik Antonius
    Paul Newey
    Paul Phua
    Phil Ruffin
    Richard Yong
    Tom Dwan
    Tony G
     
  2. UNeed2Learn UNeed2Learn is offline

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    Jun 8th, 2012 (6/8/2012 10:55pm) in reply to Dan

    no Phil Ivey?
  3. wackyJaxon wackyJaxon is offline Admin X

    Vilnius
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    Jun 8th, 2012 (6/8/2012 11:31pm) in reply to Dan

    Voting for Antonius getting his hardware.
      1 
  4. Bisull Bisull is online now

    Iceland

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    Jun 8th, 2012 (6/8/2012 11:37pm) in reply to wackyJaxon

    Tom Dwan, would be sick
     
  5. Dan Dan is offline Administrator

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 12:22am) in reply to UNeed2Learn

     
    Originally Posted by UNeed2Learn View Post

    no Phil Ivey?

    No Ivey yet.

    My pick is Dan Shak. Earlier this year, he finished in the LAPC High Roller and PCA Super High Roller for nearly $1 million combined. He won the Aussie Millions $100K Challenge for $1.1M in 2010 after taking fourth in the same event the year before. He's pretty good at High Roller events like the One Drop.
     
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  6. bwalz bwalz is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 12:53am) in reply to Dan

    Why'd they cap it? I'm thinkin Ivey, can't imagine him skipping it and it's enough $ and prestige to motivate him IMO.
  7. MattAKA MattAKA is offline

    Drysdale
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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 1:17am) in reply to bwalz

    whats the other ceasers entertainment seat that isnt a satelite?
  8. Cookymonster198 Cookymonster198 is offline Huge Field microDonk Specialist

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 2:00am) in reply to MattAKA

    What will the payouts be, like top 8? How much for 1st?
  9. GutShotBen GutShotBen is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 4:58am) in reply to Cookymonster198

    one time malibu
     
  10. iamthedeck ftw iamthedeck ftw is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 5:02am) in reply to GutShotBen

    Jason Mercier.... unless Ivey plays.
    127 
  11. Grammy Grammy is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 5:06am) in reply to iamthedeck ftw

    Sam Trickett would OWN these clowns, this guy can see the shit from the trees!!
  12. Dan Dan is offline Administrator

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 5:33am) in reply to Cookymonster198

     
    Originally Posted by Cookymonster198 View Post

    What will the payouts be, like top 8? How much for 1st?

    It's paying 20% of the field. I keep hearing $15 million for first.
     
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  13. pimpnuho pimpnuho is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 5:40am) in reply to bwalz

    I'm guessing they capped it at a number they knew/hoped they could get so people would pre register and be committed instead of waiting for people to walk up with a Million dollars the day of the tourney. Its gonna take the late register option out. so they get players to commit and give the players a sense of urgency. Without the cap. They would probably be sitting at 15 players pre registered right now hoping for a turnout. While players talked about weather or not the were gonna show. The cap locks it in. I think its brilliant.

    My Guess Boosted J or Andy Beal wins
    Edited By: pimpnuho Jun 9th, 2012 at 05:42 AM
     
  14. MattAKA MattAKA is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 5:57am) in reply to pimpnuho

    do you think they will increase the cap if they get the numbers and another table of players want to register?
  15. pimpnuho pimpnuho is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 6:16am) in reply to MattAKA

    I saw that they would not raise the cap, but that was said as they were trying to get people to pre register. With a tourney of this magnitude i doubt they will change anything with 40 million dollars already committed. Don't see how you can change it without giving players who registered under past pretenses a chance to pull out. So i doubt it
     
  16. TONYEVIL TONYEVIL is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 6:24am) in reply to Dan

    anyone know why he is not playing . really thought he will be the first to register
     
  17. chrisp200 chrisp200 is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 7:00am) in reply to TONYEVIL

    busto obv
     
  18. blufhard blufhard is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 7:03am) in reply to chrisp200

    Pretty sure I read that some participants have chose to remain anonymous until Day 1 of the tourny. From what I have seen, Phil is not a big fan of his celebrity status anyway and would rather not deal with all the questions. Not to say I know whether he is playing or not because I have no idea, but I wouldn't rule it out until the tourny starts. Just my 2 cents.
  19. P0LarAcE P0LarAcE is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 7:07am) in reply to pimpnuho

    Mercier/Antonius
     
  20. dslugger dslugger is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 7:36am) in reply to pimpnuho

     
    Originally Posted by pimpnuho View Post

    I saw that they would not raise the cap, but that was said as they were trying to get people to pre register. With a tourney of this magnitude i doubt they will change anything with 40 million dollars already committed. Don't see how you can change it without giving players who registered under past pretenses a chance to pull out. So i doubt it

    Do you think they would be willing to turn away players, the tournament is for charity. Each player turned away is $111,111 less that the one drop foundation receives.

    Oh and Trickett all day.
    Edited By: dslugger Jun 9th, 2012 at 07:38 AM
    Reason: Forgot pick
  21. matze_widi matze_widi is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 8:51am) in reply to blufhard

    he rather grinds all the 1,5k´s obv
     990 
  22. RhoNin RhoNin is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 10:24am) in reply to matze_widi

    all the crap shooting finally got to him
     
  23. donkiman donkiman is online now

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 11:07am) in reply to dslugger

    Erik Seidel
     
  24. alun alun is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 12:53pm) in reply to donkiman

     
    Originally Posted by donkiman View Post

    Erik Seidel

    elky and seidel hu with seidel tid
  25. undaDISGUISE undaDISGUISE is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 4:19pm) in reply to RhoNin

    he's definitely playing and is "Anonymous"
     
  26. R_Webb18 R_Webb18 is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 4:34pm) in reply to undaDISGUISE

    idk y he would be anonymous? its not like any1 would be shocked if he played
     
  27. MikeClarke MikeClarke is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 6:17pm) in reply to R_Webb18

    Negreanu, he'll destroy the non pro's at the tables and that'll put him in an amazing position to take it all.
  28. BigKahunaGio BigKahunaGio is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 6:33pm) in reply to MikeClarke

    Marchese
  29. tenaciousb tenaciousb is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 6:56pm) in reply to donkiman

    seidel wins all high roller tourneys last year i like his chances
  30. Chipcollecta21 Chipcollecta21 is offline

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    Jun 9th, 2012 (6/9/2012 8:02pm) in reply to tenaciousb

    I would have to go with Mercier but I hope John Morgan wins. He's a good guy and I've played with him a lot locally. Canterbury Park in the twin cities is having a 100k guarantee tourney in October and the buy in is only $130 and they are capping it at 750 people, so there is a 25k overlay no matter what. John said if he cashes in the One Drop tourney he is donating 10% of his cash to the prize pool of this tourney, potentially making it a $1.6 million prize pool in a $130 tourney. Even if he min cashes for 2 mil it would be a 300k prize pool.

    Go John Morgan!!
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