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Only been here for about 10 mins. No read on villain.
pokerstars Game #64983080183: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50 USD) - 2011/07/23 23:09:44 ET
Table 'Camilla' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: ToRn0 ($122.45 in chips)
Seat 2: j_farah ($129.15 in chips)
Seat 4: Eran4444 ($166.05 in chips)
Seat 5: JareBehr ($131 in chips)
Seat 6: Weemie2 ($56.95 in chips)
Eran4444: posts small blind $0.25
JareBehr: posts big blind $0.50
ToRn0: posts the ante $0.10
j_farah: posts the ante $0.10
Eran4444: posts the ante $0.10
JareBehr: posts the ante $0.10
Weemie2: posts the ante $0.10
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to j_farah [Qd Jd]
Weemie2: folds
ToRn0: raises $1.50 to $2
j_farah: calls $2
Eran4444: folds
JareBehr: calls $1.50
*** FLOP *** [2d 5d Jc]
JareBehr: checks
ToRn0: bets $3.50
j_farah: raises $8.50 to $12
Bidicha joins the table at seat #3
JareBehr: raises $12 to $24
ToRn0: folds
j_farah: ???
At this point I figure I'm basically flipping with any other big draw (A4dd, 34dd, etc.). I'm behind 22 and 55, but I have some outs against those. Either way, I don't think the villain's folding very often. -
At the very least I am flatting getting over 3:1 and if you put him on AA-QQ then you are flipping and getting better than the correct odds. Peeling off a card is what I would do, although I know plenty of people just want to get it in.
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With no reads, A4dd, AKdd, 34dd etc all seem plausible. Overpairs, especially AdAx are also likely. AdJx is possible as are sets, etc. Against this range, I think you may be slightly behind. I guess you could probably include a couple odd ball hands as well and have about 50% equity.
My thoughts:
-Folding seems bad.
-If you flat and hit your draw, and he doesn't have a better draw, he'll most likely fold, so you dont get any value
-If you get it in on the flop, if you hit you'll get value from your draw unless he has a bigger draw.
Flatting and folding the turn is bad. Flatting, hitting the turn and getting no value sucks though. So i guess 4bet>flat>fold. I don't love getting it in for 250bbs, but seems better than the other options.
Eh, idk this could be really bad advice. Tough spot... -
Im not a cash game guru, but this seems like the exact flop youre looking for when calling with QJdd. Tough spot being so deep, but id put in another raise with the intentions of calling a shove. Maybe its because I have some gamble when I flop a big hand like this. There are too many hands you dont mind seeing that he plays this way. Good luck all in!
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*meant to quote rivver
Edited By: iamthedeck ftw Jul 29th, 2011 at 10:39 PM
exactly this. I used to find myself in spots like this as a tournament player not being used to such deep stacks... you are raising your hand just because it smashed the flop so hard with no real plan... clearly. With the 3way pot you will run into really tough spots (ie cold 3bet above). Is villain really capable of holding an overpair here? He flatted a sexual squeeze spot pre. I'm pretty sure he has either bottom or middle set which you do pretty poorly against... he could also have 34dd or a3/4dd which you do ok against. I've come to the realization that raising these spots (referring to the 2bet on the flop) are just not very profitable unless its the nut flush draw and most preferably a gutter instead of top pair which does better against a cold 3bet on the flop range. -
Good point by a couple of people here about my raising the flop. I wanted to start building the pot in case I hit the turn or river since most cards that improve my hand would also freeze the action. I guess I didn't really have a big plan in case I got repopped, and I ended up in a spot where it's a bloated pot and I have a hand that is strong, but doesn't play that well against the villain's range.
FWIW, if we were at a standard table (100 BB) I'd shove with no second thought, but being this deep gave me pause. -
8,910 games 0.005 secs 1,782,000 games/sec
Edited By: hitthenuts Jul 30th, 2011 at 11:19 PM
Board: 2d 5d Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.990% 38.99% 00.00% 3474 0.00 { QdJd }
Hand 1: 61.010% 61.01% 00.00% 5436 0.00 { 55, 22, AdKd, AdQd, AdTd, Ad7d }
I only put just a couple of the nut diamond draws in the range here because i think he has a set FAR more often.
So do you think you would continue to get action if you called $12 into ~$30 to try and bink a diamond off on the turn? I dont think calling 12 into 30 to win the 105 more behind that the villain has is too bad of an option here... If he is really that tight that you are just SURE he has a set, I think you have to flat the flop and try and hit a diamond, and fold if you miss and he prices you out.
In any case, I think reraising here is the correct play if you think he is the type of player who is EVER doing this as a bluff, or with 'light' hands, like QQ, Jx, lower Flush draws etc... If that is the case - SHOVEL THE MONEY IN
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