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table is playing pretty tight/passive
Full Tilt Poker Game #22524534163: The Fifty-Fifty (168819147), Table 15 - 500/1000 Ante 125 - No Limit Hold'em - 01:15:06 ET - 2010/07/23
Seat 1: ToNiSiNz (10,395)
Seat 2: AceFetish (15,368)
Seat 3: rafaello 123 (33,465)
Seat 4: 8balldeluxe (12,463)
Seat 5: Limo Wreck (14,320)
Seat 6: jakob1337 (36,814)
Seat 7: agmich08 (30,547)
Seat 8: pugilist68 (25,385)
Seat 9: Jake Schindler (13,409)
ToNiSiNz antes 125
AceFetish antes 125
rafaello 123 antes 125
8balldeluxe antes 125
Limo Wreck antes 125
jakob1337 antes 125
agmich08 antes 125
pugilist68 antes 125
Jake Schindler antes 125
rafaello 123 posts the small blind of 500
8balldeluxe posts the big blind of 1,000
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Limo Wreck [9s 9h]
AceFetish: lol donked
Limo Wreck has 15 seconds left to act
Limo Wreck raises to 2,500
So is it better to just open shove here, or fold? and why?
Please, short answers aren't very helpful, I'm looking for a real thought process. -
Really quickly... Anyone competent at that table is not going to put you on AA or KK because shoving isn't the most +ev way to play those. Therefore They'll call a bit lighter than you think, meaning certainly AQ and probably lighter than that. 99 is fine vs that calling range and i'm sure most calculations for ranges with those hands in them make this a +ev shove.
I shove this no matter if the table is loose or tight generally... -
@mdshack
My plan was to call a shove. I think I'm a coinflip to a shoving range and my thought at the time was to double up or go home.
@zander, makes sense, thx. -
@ fly, thx.
I've been debating w/ a friend which is better, open shove or raise/call. He says open shove 100%, I like a raise/call because I think it gives people an illusion of fold equity and they might shove lighter than what they call an open shove with.
He says it's a mistake to induce action because you want to avoid a coinflip here as much as possible and just pick up the blinds. -
i like shove at most tables too stay out of a situation where someone especially from the blinds flats you and puts you in an uncomfortable spot post. at a tight table that probably wont happen. you cant really go wrong either way/
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I personally shove for the most part, depending on if you've been raise/folding w <20bbs. if i've been working on short stacks for a while and open shoved a few hands before i just jam.
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raise calling 99 vs certain players MIGHT be slightly better when only looking at this specific hand since a player might think they have FE and shove over the top a little wider. but i think most players in a $55 tourny know that u arent raise/folding 14bbs from utg and they will likely treat it as a shove, or may even tighten their get it in range since it looks rly strong.
but i would just shove my whole range here since im gona be looking to shove hands like KTs QJs and it rly hurts our equity on those hands if we are r/c 99+ since when we shove QJs ppl could safely take 99+/AQ+ out of our range and we will lose alot of fold equity. i think balancing our shove range here with 14 bbs is more important than the slight POSSIBLE gain in equity we gain by raise calling 99+ -
the problem with 2.5x'ing in this spot is that your going to get hood-flatted by rando's all day and going to have almost 2x PSB when it gets to the flop assuming just 1 player flats you, if you get flatted in two spots, its even worse... likely being oop for the rest of the hand, if you jam most flops, our opponents are going to fold when they miss and call when they hit, so you lose the pre flop value of your hand. At this point of the tourney, with 15BB, can't really afford to play a pot that we're not going to be playing for stacks.
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wins the thread
Originally Posted by ManchVegasPwn
the problem with 2.5x'ing in this spot is that your going to get hood-flatted by rando's all day and going to have almost 2x PSB when it gets to the flop assuming just 1 player flats you, if you get flatted in two spots, its even worse... likely being oop for the rest of the hand, if you jam most flops, our opponents are going to fold when they miss and call when they hit, so you lose the pre flop value of your hand. At this point of the tourney, with 15BB, can't really afford to play a pot that we're not going to be playing for stacks.
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pretty much the reason why a shove is better imo then r/c
Originally Posted by ManchVegasPwn
the problem with 2.5x'ing in this spot is that your going to get hood-flatted by rando's all day and going to have almost 2x PSB when it gets to the flop assuming just 1 player flats you, if you get flatted in two spots, its even worse... likely being oop for the rest of the hand, if you jam most flops, our opponents are going to fold when they miss and call when they hit, so you lose the pre flop value of your hand. At this point of the tourney, with 15BB, can't really afford to play a pot that we're not going to be playing for stacks.
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Awesome! Thanks for the thoughtful replies everyone. Turns out I just took down the blinds on this hand and ended busting w/ KK<66 AIPF a couple hands later.
Yeah I think I'll just shove from now on. -
Post more
Originally Posted by ManchVegasPwn
the problem with 2.5x'ing in this spot is that your going to get hood-flatted by rando's all day and going to have almost 2x PSB when it gets to the flop assuming just 1 player flats you, if you get flatted in two spots, its even worse... likely being oop for the rest of the hand, if you jam most flops, our opponents are going to fold when they miss and call when they hit, so you lose the pre flop value of your hand. At this point of the tourney, with 15BB, can't really afford to play a pot that we're not going to be playing for stacks.
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This man knows what he speaks! I used to 2.5x here as well, but now this is a shove for me almost 100% of the time. You really can't afford to get flatted by randoms with hands like QJ and whatnot...
Originally Posted by ManchVegasPwn
the problem with 2.5x'ing in this spot is that your going to get hood-flatted by rando's all day and going to have almost 2x PSB when it gets to the flop assuming just 1 player flats you, if you get flatted in two spots, its even worse... likely being oop for the rest of the hand, if you jam most flops, our opponents are going to fold when they miss and call when they hit, so you lose the pre flop value of your hand. At this point of the tourney, with 15BB, can't really afford to play a pot that we're not going to be playing for stacks.
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raise half your stack and still get the hood flats like 88 or make it an amt you are never folding to on the flop like a pot size bet
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