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11 dolla double stack very soft tourney. Now it seems to me this is obv monster correct? I have been active but his range for doing this can only be a monster right? I should be laying this hand down against most players at this leval giving the check call flop check raise all in turn action here right?
pokerstars Game #20713549229: Tournament #109499733, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (25/50) - 2008/09/26 15:50:59 ET
Table '109499733 86' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: Blayhck (1740 in chips)
Seat 2: Kamikaze72 (4298 in chips)
Seat 3: VatoVandross (3170 in chips)
Seat 4: dhframe (4225 in chips)
Seat 5: Murphy Stout (2590 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 6: idlerz (3457 in chips)
Seat 7: iconiugi (2855 in chips)
Seat 8: urasausage (7575 in chips)
Seat 9: xANDROIDEx (6885 in chips)
Blayhck: posts small blind 25
Kamikaze72: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to urasausage [As Ac]
VatoVandross: calls 50
dhframe: folds
Murphy Stout: folds
idlerz: folds
iconiugi: folds
urasausage: raises 150 to 200
xANDROIDEx: folds
Blayhck: folds
Kamikaze72: folds
VatoVandross: calls 150
*** FLOP *** [Ts 8d 5s]
VatoVandross: checks
urasausage: bets 300
VatoVandross: calls 300
*** TURN *** [Ts 8d 5s] [4d]
VatoVandross: checks
urasausage: bets 600
VatoVandross: raises 2070 to 2670 and is all-in
urasausage: calls 2070
*** RIVER *** [Ts 8d 5s 4d] [7c]
*** SHOW DOWN *** -
could have 6 7 for open end draw on flop, or maybe a set. All depends on read, fortunately he had a smaller stack so if you call and wrong you still have some chips. I could see a call or fold depending on your read. Most people probably say fold here.
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FWIW - I'm calling here b/c this is such a cheap buy-in tourney and still early. In my experience at low stakes, too many players will make -EV shoves on scary boards. Given that there's already about 4300 in the pot and you have to call 2070, you only need to be ahead about 1/3 of the time to make it profitable and I think you probably are ahead about 40-45% of the time. That's just a gut number, not based on actual calculations as to what he might hold.
Agree with the prior advice that the read is really important here, as well. -
He definitely got a set on the flop... sorry.
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i think its an easy fold, limp utg and calling a 4x raise usually means weakish pp or suited connectors/1 gappers, 44,55,66,77,88,TT beat u, 22,33 i dont think are a question and 99 maybe would call flop and turn but i dont think would shove river,JJ,QQ,KK i dont think are in his range considering the preflop,flop,turn, and river play. 45,46,56,57,67,68,78,8T,J9 all are ahead here and i dont think any other connector or 1 gapper would play the hand this way, only possible hand i think he may have that you beat is a hand like JQss that missed all his outs and he used that scare card as a spot to bluff but even that i dont fell so confident he plays this line. im assuming that the fact that u did call and still posted this means he had u beat.
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what site did you post this on?
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I'd say this is 55/44 a large portion of the time.
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