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Had 67 hands on villian and he was running a 21/6 with a 33% call out of the bb (6 hands). Flop obv smacks his calling range and turn potentially gives him two pair, a pair and straight draw, heart flush draw or made straight. Do we just bet the turn and try to get it in due to stack sizes or do we pot control the turn and reevaluate the river?
Edited By: adog26 Nov 12th, 2011 at 06:57 PM
No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 750/1500 Blinds (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop
SB (t94657)
BB (t43608)
UTG (t4201)
UTG+1 (t20225)
MP1 (t51169)
Hero (MP2) (t74288)
MP3 (t27244)
CO (t20523)
Hero's M: 33.02
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A
, A
3 folds, Hero bets t3000, 3 folds, BB calls t1500
Flop: (t6750) 10
, K
, 3
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t5300, BB calls t5300
Turn: (t17350) 9
(2 players)
BB checks
Hero ?
Total pot: t17350 -
i dont give him here K9, so the only 2 hands that just drew out on us are QJ and T9. I also dont expect him to check strong made hands like sets or top2 here again. If he has something KQ, KJ, QT, JT he just got a backdoor straight draw to his pair as well. It definitly sucks to get checkraised here but i think we should bet anyways, i would choose around 10 to 11k.
if we check behind we let him draw for free if he was drawing, and we wont get any more value from weaker made hands when the river is another scarecard. so i think betting here should gain us more in the long run. -
I think bet/get it in > bet/fold > check
I really don't like giving a free card on a board this wet. -
i'd make it 7-8k and not put anymore in there. But since he does seem fishy i can see getting it in with him. If you bet like 10k+ you're pretty much committed considering you'll be leaving him with around a 1/2 pot sized bet
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vs such a passive player (prolly vs almost every player) i bet the turn, if he c/r it's an easy fold, if the river is a blank i bet for value and fold to a c/r.
Edited By: RedIceRap Nov 19th, 2011 at 05:58 AM
edit: didn't rly pay attention to the stacks... have to add i bet like 1/3 on the turn here since he pretty much never gonna c/r here with a draw and i can get away from that fkn hand cheaply. dont know if I value bet the river with these stack sizes here, rly dont know, making my decisions much better while playing than reading a HH.
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