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10k main - 20k starting stacks. playing 8 handed with 2 ppl who haven't arrived yet, including the sb in following hand. Reads on the table include:
cutoff is young Australian player who is wearing a anzpt pokerstars hat, chatting it up. he sounds competent.
button is another kid with fohawk and cooler looking black glasses. may or may not be australian
sb is not there
bb is 30-40 yr old quiet australian
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I open AKo in hijack to 275, cutoff flats, button makes it 850. folds to me. I call, cutoff folds.
Flop comes k7d8d. I check, villian bets 1650. I call (no diamond in hand).
Turn is 3o. I check, villian bets 3650. I call.
River is Jo. I check, villian bets almost 11k. What next?
fwiw, he didn't take very long in making any of his bets. physically, i read him for strength, if anything. -
ur obv. better player but imo id try to get more info on turn....if ur more inclined to check turn (and induce a river bet) then i say u have to call that river
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I wouldn't get crazy with one pair in a deep stack. Probably repop the flop and fold to a shove. As played he shows you AA when you call.
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Why not reraise the flop to see where you are at..instead of leaking chips and having no clue? Easy fold if he reraises you on the flop...IMO.
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Reraising flop for info is not good. What if he proceeds to shove a flush draw or a straight draw (or the same hand, for that matter)? Incomplete information in holdem' makes raising for info an awful decision because he could proceed with worse (for a number of crazy reasons). I wrote about this in an earlier post I made - see my older posts for further explanation.
Also, do you think he goes pot pot pot with AA, especially on river? Does he valuebet pot for 11k of his 13k on river with just top pair when board comes second broadway?
I tried to get more info on turn, but he wasn't giving anything off. Plus, I like to balance my reactions when I'm playing live. In other words, if I chose to talk during this hand and end up showing my hand, then I'm going to want to talk in most pots I'm involved in later so as to not give up anything unintentionally (if that makes sense). Because I don't usually talk in a hand, I didn't say anything in this pot until the player bet the river and I was only left with the decision to call or fold... -
Doubt he shoves a flush draw this early in a major tourney unless hes loco. I think you are looking at AA or AK. You have really underreped your hand all the way through imo. Idk would he 3bet with 88 here? Doubtful. Ugh Im lost basically
Originally Posted by Squintngo
Reraising flop for info is not good. What if he proceeds to shove a flush draw or a straight draw (or the same hand, for that matter)? Incomplete information in holdem' makes raising for info an awful decision because he could proceed with worse (for a number of crazy reasons). I wrote about this in an earlier post I made - see my older posts for further explanation.
Also, do you think he goes pot pot pot with AA, especially on river? Does he valuebet pot for 11k of his 13k on river with just top pair when board comes second broadway?
I tried to get more info on turn, but he wasn't giving anything off. Plus, I like to balance my reactions when I'm playing live. In other words, if I chose to talk during this hand and end up showing my hand, then I'm going to want to talk in most pots I'm involved in later so as to not give up anything unintentionally (if that makes sense). Because I don't usually talk in a hand, I didn't say anything in this pot until the player bet the river and I was only left with the decision to call or fold... -
fold

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Villian seems unconcerned about what ever you are holding so you have to fold. I have him on AA, KK, AK. When you flat the flop he has to put you on the possibility of AK at the very least. He's not worried about you hitting on the turn because Villian has exactly AK, AA, KK. There is no bad turn card left since it's unlikely you have less than top-top with the flop call and he has the cards that can beat him in his own hand.
When the J hits the river he knows you wouldn't CC two streets with the K on the flop holding JJ. -
I also wondered whether he'd realistically try for 3 streets with AA here, but when u check to him on the river, it kinda turns ur hand face up, so it is possible.
also 9Tdd, KK possible, and missed flush draw, AQdd type hands.
think i fold. -
he had 109
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seems like you shouldnt be in a 10k
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as played your hand is COMPLETELY face up.
pre - this deep, im prob not just flatting AK oop first level to a squeeze, and would strongly consider just folding until i had some reads ...but prob ok
flop cc seems ok
if u call such a blank on the turn, id be prepared to call river
river, pretty easy fold...
back to the first sentence...he knows your hand if he is competent. Now you are playing a guessing game if he is v betting or capable of bluffing you off the hand. -
very interesting hand with so few reads/such little info.
basically we are only beating a bluff here, i can never see him having KQ here either plus we have no idea what his pot pot pot strategy means at this point.
fold -
I think this hand is played fine. The strong river bet is either a very ballsy air or KK or (and I think this is more likely) JJ. I'd fold river.
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what did you end up saying to the guy and how did he take it?
Originally Posted by Squintngo
Because I don't usually talk in a hand, I didn't say anything in this pot until the player bet the river and I was only left with the decision to call or fold...
stone wall?
stiff?
was he shaking?
i would take this line with AA but i tend to overplay/thin vb hands when deemed necessary.
edit - hows wendy peffercorn? -
He didn't move. I started talking about his bet sizing to see if he might look up, but I got nothing.
Originally Posted by tdk
what did you end up saying to the guy and how did he take it?
stone wall?
stiff?
was he shaking?
i would take this line with AA but i tend to overplay/thin vb hands when deemed necessary.
edit - hows wendy peffercorn?
Wendy is good. Working at the pharmacy as we speak.
I will post results later. Not sure if they matter, though... -
"River is Jo. I check, villian bets almost 11k. What next?"
Answering OP's question. Is this against forum rules now?
Edit: If you literally meant me, no I didn't play the ME :(
PS: I also don't pot bet esp three times in the same hand -
i was simply asking if it was you in the hand against him
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no worries mate
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Josh,
As played, fold river for a couple reasons. 1) the % of times you can expect a random guy to bluff in this spot is not nearly high enough to be giving you the proper pot odds to call and you are calling in the hopes of chopping. 2) after c/c two streets your hand is face up as being a king a large % of the time and, because you are a random to him, he can't be sure that you will fold a king even to a bet on the third street because live players suck and he has no clue who you are. 3) There is plenty of dead money in events like this and you can pick wayyyy better spots.
I think more interesting is why you decide to flat the 3b oop pre. As you know, you are missing the flop most of the time. If you are planning on check/folding flops when you miss, this is definitely not profitable. Furthermore, if his value range includes 99+ and AK then you are missing value even if flop contains an A or K because he is checking behind most turns and either just calling a small riv bet or folding. Finally, as this hand perfectly illustrates, even when you hit a "good" flop you have no clue where you are and you aer going to be put to a really hard decision. I know it sounds gay but I honestly like 4bet/folding pre here bc a random will rarely 5bet air in the first orbit and it allows you to take control of the hand so that you can cbet flops like 772 and be the one forcing him to make a hard decision. Post results please or email me.
gl
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