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bad beat jackpot odds on UB

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  1. welshFARg0 welshFARg0 is offline

    Rock Hill, SC
    United States

    Posts: 326
    Joined: Dec 07

    Dec 10th, 2008 (12/10/2008 8:05am)

    Does anyone know where to find a comprehensive /chronological list of bad beat jackpots awarded on UB and or AP since the inception? I have access to a spreadsheet that gives the true probabilities and the EV impact on winrates from 50nl to 10k NL and 50/1.00 to 10/20 Limit and would like to compare the odds to the actual results.
  2. StoneColdNz StoneColdNz is offline

    Wooster, OH
    United States

    Posts: 429
    Joined: Dec 07

    Dec 10th, 2008 (12/10/2008 11:11am) in reply to welshFARg0

    Chances are around 1 in 2 million hands per a thread on 2 + 2. They have it mathmaticly proven with a few viariables in the equation.

    You lose more money on UB/AP jackpot because of the additional rake taken out of pots for the jackpot.

    If .25 rake is reach they take out another .50 for the jackpot!!!!

    If the pot reaches 5.00 they take .75 cents out of the pot!!!!!

    15% Rake ~ Ouch
  3. welshFARg0 welshFARg0 is offline

    Rock Hill, SC
    United States

    Posts: 326
    Joined: Dec 07

    Dec 10th, 2008 (12/10/2008 11:55am) in reply to StoneColdNz

    The mathematical odds if every single hand was just dealt out and then the board was dealt (ensuring that every single hand dealt where two hands at the table could possibly trigger the jackpot gets to showdown) are 1 in 3,287,527 actually. (at a 6 handed table)
    Thread Starter
  4. StoneColdNz StoneColdNz is offline

    Wooster, OH
    United States

    Posts: 429
    Joined: Dec 07

    Dec 10th, 2008 (12/10/2008 2:21pm) in reply to welshFARg0

     
    Originally Posted by welshFARg0 View Post

    The mathematical odds if every single hand was just dealt out and then the board was dealt (ensuring that every single hand dealt where two hands at the table could possibly trigger the jackpot gets to showdown) are 1 in 3,287,527 actually. (at a 6 handed table)

    So it was 1 in about 2,000,000 hands on a 10 player table!!!! Now they are 9 player tables due to the Cereus joke at UB. You do the math, but i'm guessing 1 in 2,322,151 hands.
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