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Bad Player or Bad Streak?

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  1. HatesLosing HatesLosing is offline

    Stratford, CT
    United States

    Posts: 99
    Joined: Sep 07

    Sep 24th, 2007 (9/24/2007 11:40am)

    This is mainly for new MTT players that feel they’re playing well and putting the required effort into their game but just haven’t had a lot of success yet.

    Here is a conversation that *could* have taken place recently between three MTT players…

    Player A: I’m getting frustrated. I recently went 1 for 23 ITM on my Full Tilt account and lost $2,623 of my bankroll in the process.

    Player B: You think that’s bad? I recently went 1 for 32 ITM on stars and lost $4,939 over that streak!

    Player C: Quit your whining you two! In mid September I had a streak on Stars where I went 1 for 51 ITM, losing $21,452, so spare me your tears!

    They sound like a bunch of losing players, eh? Actually, Player A is SCTrojans08, B is lilholdem954, and C is zangbezan24. The moral of the story? Well, there’s two morals here:
    1. <LI class=MsoNormal>You’re going to have bad streaks like this no matter how good you are, so don’t get too discouraged when they happen (especially early in your career). <LI class=MsoNormal>If someone sitting at your table has a 4% ITM over his first 25 MTTs and an ROI of negative 83%, his sample size is too small to immediately conclude he is complete donkey. Watch him closely and make your own conclusions!</LI>
  2. JessDSL JessDSL is offline

    New York City, NY
    United States

    Posts: 349
    Joined: Feb 07

    Sep 24th, 2007 (9/24/2007 11:51am) in reply to HatesLosing

    wtf is this ?
  3. deadeyed deadeyed is offline

    United Kingdom

    Posts: 458
    Joined: Jul 06

    Sep 24th, 2007 (9/24/2007 11:55am) in reply to JessDSL

    What he is trying to say is if you are on a bad run it doesn't mean you are a bad player. Also, dont judge other players based on small sample sizes. Which is all true.
  4. F0rEW0rN F0rEW0rN is offline

    Fall River, MA
    United States

    Posts: 167
    Joined: Sep 06

    Sep 24th, 2007 (9/24/2007 12:01pm) in reply to deadeyed

    It's also probably easier for experianced players to know when they are running bad vs playing bad. I've been on a "bad run" lately but I don't know how much of it is variance and how much of it is me making mistakes and playing badly.
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