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Call or Fold @ 50r FT?

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  1. Moosedebator Moosedebator is offline

    San Francisco, CA
    United States

    Posts: 235
    Joined: Nov 06

    Oct 13th, 2009 (10/13/2009 9:00pm)

    <pre>So the original raiser is an absolute maniac,
    I've had him to my left for the past few hours of this tournament.
    His play is absolutely random, for the most part.
    Thus I'm giving his open NO respect.
    The guy who reships, however, has been pretty tight.
    With only about an hour with him at my table,
    and NO real knowledge of him otherwise,
    I find this spot to be a bit more difficult than it may seem at first glance.
    Assuming he's not a regular, does AQs play well enough vs. his shoving range
    to merit a call (taking in account of course, all the dead money, etc...)?

    If you assign him a relatively tight re-shoving range of 55+, ATs+, KQs,AJo+;
    AQs has around 48% equity not taking into account all the dead money...Also,
    his re-shove range could very well be tighter than this...

    I will post the results in a few hours...

    pokerstars Game #34005098800: Tournament #203040592, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XX (3500/7000) - 2009/10/13 20:41:06 ET
    Table '203040592 31' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
    Seat 1: donvito1st (246937 in chips)
    Seat 2: lll_HWDP_lll (122170 in chips)
    Seat 3: brianhan1 (608811 in chips)
    Seat 4: philbort (358380 in chips)
    Seat 5: hitthehole (121088 in chips)
    Seat 6: matori0406 (324474 in chips)
    Seat 7: Moosedebator (134562 in chips)
    Seat 8: thegwtg (136022 in chips)
    Seat 9: DCJ311 (169056 in chips)
    donvito1st: posts the ante 700
    lll_HWDP_lll: posts the ante 700
    brianhan1: posts the ante 700
    philbort: posts the ante 700
    hitthehole: posts the ante 700
    matori0406: posts the ante 700
    Moosedebator: posts the ante 700
    thegwtg: posts the ante 700
    DCJ311: posts the ante 700
    matori0406: posts small blind 3500
    Moosedebator: posts big blind 7000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Moosedebator [Ad Qd]
    thegwtg: folds
    DCJ311: folds
    donvito1st: raises 8585 to 15585
    lll_HWDP_lll: raises 105885 to 121470 and is all-in
    brianhan1: folds
    philbort: folds
    hitthehole: folds
    matori0406: folds
    Moosedebator:

    </pre>
     21
  2. Deoxyribo Deoxyribo is offline

    Costa Mesa, CA
    United States

    Posts: 5,045
    Joined: Jun 08

    Oct 13th, 2009 (10/13/2009 9:02pm) in reply to Moosedebator

    with 2 BBs i just call and pray for a triple up. if u win the hand u are back in the game, and u dont have many other chances left for that to happen with ur stack size

    edit: oops, HH changed. much tougher spot. this is pretty much trying to figure out if the reshipper has the same read as u on the opener. if you think so then id say call. if not and the guy is a nit like u said then id fold.

    completely readless idk... i might nit it up... thats what i prolly do for the most part, so my vote is for fold.
     
  3. Crazyhorse76 Crazyhorse76 is offline

    Posts: 2,377
    Joined: Nov 05

    Oct 13th, 2009 (10/13/2009 9:05pm) in reply to Deoxyribo

    I think you posted the wrong hand
     2
  4. Moosedebator Moosedebator is offline

    San Francisco, CA
    United States

    Posts: 235
    Joined: Nov 06

    Oct 13th, 2009 (10/13/2009 9:06pm) in reply to Crazyhorse76

    Def did, should be fixed now. MyB.
     21
    Thread Starter
  5. GolferKris GolferKris is offline

    Savannah, GA
    United States

    Posts: 22
    Joined: Aug 09

    Oct 13th, 2009 (10/13/2009 9:20pm) in reply to Moosedebator

    Based on your read, and assuming he's not a regular...I lean toward fold. How often is he shoving worse than A10s, AJo, 55, maybe KQ? Edit...I didn't see your range in the op originally.
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