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Cash game grinders/players question please

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  1. AAeveryhand AAeveryhand is offline

    Fort Lauderdale, FL
    United States

    Posts: 223
    Joined: May 08

    Jul 22nd, 2008 (7/22/2008 5:08pm)

    Hey guys I started playing 1/2 NL cash games consistently as of lately instead of grinding my normal SNG's. I use Poker Tracker and was going over some of my stats and wanted to know if im doing really good or just average and what a good long run sample of hands would be. I dont mutli table crazy, if i do multi table i usually do only 2 tables.

    So here are the questions:

    1. Ive made about $2800 after 6,000 hands is that good or avg?

    2. Whats a good sample size of hands to have a good long run prediction of what ill make

    3. What is the average money I should make per hands.

    Thanks,
    -Josh
     
  2. 3kingme3 3kingme3 is offline

    NY
    United States

    Posts: 3,848
    Joined: Sep 07

    Jul 22nd, 2008 (7/22/2008 5:27pm) in reply to AAeveryhand

    your making 23.3 BB/100, which means your running like god...MAX you will be able to do over time is about 6-8 BB/100 and thats a stretch...As far as number of hands I would say 100k is probably about right to ease out most variance, but you can start to get a semi solid idea around 30k-50k hands unless you go on a huge swing up or down through that time
  3. Dexa Dexa is offline

    Louisville, KY
    United States

    Posts: 161
    Joined: Aug 07

    Jul 22nd, 2008 (7/22/2008 5:52pm) in reply to 3kingme3

    Here comes the downswing. Feel lucky if you break even over the next 6k hands.
  4. dandickau dandickau is online now

    Gilbert, AZ
    United States

    Posts: 6,079
    Joined: Feb 05

    Jul 22nd, 2008 (7/22/2008 5:56pm) in reply to Dexa

    Even 30k-50k hands is nothing as far as statistics go. I've had breakeven stretches of that many hands and I've had even longer stretches where I've had unrealistically high winrates. Also, saying 6BB-8BB/100 is the MAX you can achieve at 1-2 NL is just not true. 8BB/100 is 4ptBB/100 which isn't that great of a winrate even if you're multi-tabling. If you're playing 1-2 tables and game selecting well, you should easily be able to average more than that.
  5. zachary21 zachary21 is offline

    Canton, OH
    United States

    Posts: 253
    Joined: Dec 06

    Jul 22nd, 2008 (7/22/2008 8:07pm) in reply to AAeveryhand

    If anyone knows vinny_vt, he told me once that 100k hands is a fairly decent sample size. Also, if you are over 5BB/100 then you are killing it, and are ready to move up. Realistically, if you can hang around the 5BB/100 region then you are doing pretty well. But beware of the variance. Play quite a few more hands before attempting a jump. Just the same, it sounds like you have had an awesome start. Keep it up!
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