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Deep in the 22$ Saturday 6max, call or fold to reshove with 99 for 37BBs?

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  1. Flowkid1 Flowkid1 is offline

    Lüneburg
    Germany

    Posts: 16
    Joined: Nov 11

    Jan 30th, 2012 (1/30/2012 2:43pm)

    I´m pretty sure I know what to do here..... 29 players left 1,25 million is about FT avg.

    I was fairly active at the table, so was Dart Serg, he did reshove for his entire stack early but didn´t get called, i got the impression that he is not very comfortable playing postflop.
    So it looks like such a sweet spot for him to squeeze and since he is shoving effectively around 37BBs i thought i can count out big pairs like AA,KK and QQ, also small and mid pairs like 22-77 and I was pretty sure he wouldnt do it with something less than Ajs.

    I but him on a range like, 88-JJ, AQo+, maybe AJs+ but more likely AQs+



    His stats over 61 hands:

    vpip 32.7; pfr 19.6; 3bet% 11.75



    pokerstars Hand #74629395121: Tournament #503385277, $20+$2 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXI (2500/5000) - 2012/01/28 18:47:18 CET [2012/01/28 12:47:18 ET]
    Table '503385277 87' 6-max Seat #3 is the button
    Seat 1: Flowkid1 (187133 in chips)
    Seat 2: razvanik008 (61125 in chips)
    Seat 3: PISTOLET24 (171172 in chips)
    Seat 4: Dart Serg (271910 in chips)
    Seat 5: tsaros77 (186064 in chips)
    Seat 6: aquifexer (119565 in chips)
    Flowkid1: posts the ante 500
    razvanik008: posts the ante 500
    PISTOLET24: posts the ante 500
    Dart Serg: posts the ante 500
    tsaros77: posts the ante 500
    aquifexer: posts the ante 500
    Dart Serg: posts small blind 2500
    tsaros77: posts big blind 5000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Flowkid1 [9c 9h]
    aquifexer: folds
    Flowkid1: raises 5500 to 10500
    razvanik008: folds
    PISTOLET24: calls 10500
    Dart Serg: raises 260910 to 271410 and is all-in
    tsaros77: folds
    Flowkid1: calls 176133 and is all-in
    PISTOLET24: folds
     
  2. dalix88 dalix88 is offline

    Leeds
    United Kingdom

    Posts: 339
    Joined: Apr 08

    Jan 30th, 2012 (1/30/2012 3:15pm) in reply to Flowkid1

    Considering your reads, I think a call is correct here. He probably has AQ-AK alot, and the range of pairs you gave him seems about right (although there is always a random donk who shows up with AA-KK or something). Versus a range of 88-QQ, AJs, AQ-AK you have 46.44% which is a clear call with all of the dead money in the pot (assuming that pistolet guy is never trapping). And if he shoves wider, then that's more equity for you.
    Edited By: dalix88 Jan 30th, 2012 at 03:18 PM
    935 
  3. slidethebutton slidethebutton is offline

    Cleveland, TN
    United States

    Posts: 112
    Joined: Aug 11

    Jan 30th, 2012 (1/30/2012 3:40pm) in reply to dalix88

    I agree with the read AQs or AK..but you're against 10/10 or J/J there alot too, so best case you're flipping for your whole stack and a decent stack at that..praying that you're a coin flip, and not crushed by 10/10 or J/J..IMO an argument could be made for either play, and neither would be "wrong"..but personally I'm waiting for a better spot where I'm ahead more often..and not here where your opponents range is so broad..all of this being said..I play so bad, I'd prolly call anyway..lol
  4. P33J P33J is offline

    Bloomington, IN
    United States

    Posts: 1,144
    Joined: Dec 07

    Jan 30th, 2012 (1/30/2012 11:47pm) in reply to dalix88

     
    Originally Posted by dalix88 View Post

    Considering your reads, I think a call is correct here. He probably has AQ-AK alot, and the range of pairs you gave him seems about right (although there is always a random donk who shows up with AA-KK or something). Versus a range of 88-QQ, AJs, AQ-AK you have 46.44% which is a clear call with all of the dead money in the pot (assuming that pistolet guy is never trapping). And if he shoves wider, then that's more equity for you.

    I think I am folding, we are getting about 1.25:1 on a call which means we would need ~45% equity to call here. I'm just not comfortable operating that close to the margin for such a huge pot, I think that range you have assigned him if anything is a little bit generous AJs seems like a stretch but of course I could be wrong.
    Edited By: P33J Jan 30th, 2012 at 11:47 PM
     
  5. Ptrou Ptrou is offline

    United Kingdom

    Posts: 634
    Joined: Jan 09

    Feb 1st, 2012 (2/1/2012 10:07pm) in reply to Flowkid1

    Well it depends on your reads we cant realy help you. If you have set him a range (which we cant) then we just need to work out how we play verse that range and were 49%

    I dont think a call is that clever if thats the case unless you think the whole table have a skill advantage over yourself then go for it flip..
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