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  1. This is day 2 of the mini ftops, we are already ITM and there is 125 people left in the tourny.

    Villain was pretty active, he 3 bet quite a bit pre flop but didn't have many showdowns. So his range wasn't clear to me ATM. A couple hands ago I three bet an UTG raiser and Villain flat called. UTG ended up taking the hand without showdown, but the reason I mention this is because he was begining to play more pots with me. My image at the table was pretty tight. I wasn't playing many hands, I did 4 bet just once but it was folded preflop. Mind you he was not involved in the hand.

    Basically I would like to know what ranges are we assigning villain? And what would you do here?

    Let's keep in mind this is a good structure and we are fairly deep in stacks sizes here.

    Full Tilt Poker Game #29192835849: MiniFTOPS Event #40 (2-Day) (209629767), Table 196 - 1000/2000 Ante 250 - No Limit Hold'em - 14:48:04 ET - 2011/03/20
    Seat 1: Armando2833 (218,271)
    Seat 2: I The King I (VILLAIN) (309,052)
    Seat 3: donkeyslayer84 (478,088)
    Seat 4: pedobear91 (119,987)
    Seat 5: mzungu (104,539)
    Seat 6: JMaryN (115,875)
    Armando2833 antes 250
    I The King I antes 250
    donkeyslayer84 antes 250
    pedobear91 antes 250
    mzungu antes 250
    JMaryN antes 250
    mzungu posts the small blind of 1,000
    JMaryN posts the big blind of 2,000
    The button is in seat #4
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Armando2833 [Qs Qd]
    Armando2833 raises to 5,000
    I The King I has 15 seconds left to act
    I The King I raises to 12,000
    donkeyslayer84 folds
    pedobear91 folds
    mzungu has 15 seconds left to act
    mzungu folds
    JMaryN folds
    Armando2833 has 15 seconds left to act
    Armando2833 raises to 28,999
    I The King I has 15 seconds left to act
    I The King I has requested TIME
    I The King I raises to 66,666
    Armando2833 has 15 seconds left to act
    Armando2833 has requested TIME
    WWYD??????????
  2. You've just been raised twice; this is shove or fold. You are up against AA, KK, AK, maybe JJ. I don't think he is deep enough to make these bet sizes with anything less that top tier. His raise sizes screams action. So I'd fold to pick a better spot.

    With stacks this deep, you are better off smooth calling the first raise with this hand. Hate to get into a raising war, which you did.
  3. completely depends on the player. If his average buy in is low it's very unlikely that he would be risking his stack deep in a major tournament without a monster and he probly has KK or AA. On the other hand, if villain is accustomed to play mid and high stakes MTTs he could be making this play with hands as weak as AJs or 88 especially if he thinks you are weak/scared. of course the key word there is COULD, it is still more likely that he has a monster than a hand you have dominated.

    If we were to eliminate table image as a factor I would definitely fold and live to play another day, but you may have a harder time accumulating chips once the players at your table see that you are willing to make a significant 4bet and then fold. If they no longer respect your 4bets, they sure as shit dont respect your 3bets. Of course this could turn out huge for you if you pick up KK or AA a few minutes later.

    At the end of the day, I'd say fold. You'll still have 90 + BBs left and plenty of time to make a final table run

    of course id be pissed as shit and think that I probably just folded to AK or TT but thats better than being pissed because you shoved and got KOd by rockets
    Edited By: Stringer Hell Mar 22nd, 2011 at 09:13 PM
  4. My thoughts, in somewhat random order.

    1) I would 4-bet a bit smaller. Probably to 25k. A bit trivial, but a few thousand less changes the 5-bet sizing enough to make a difference

    2) The 5-bet sizing from the villain really bothers me. It's large enough that if you jam the villain is getting 1.9:1 odds to call you. Almost seems like he's trying to commit himself to the pot (or perhaps just have it appear that way).

    3) Villain has a very deep stack and is probably a competent player (based on ABI in OPR). Given that any call pretty much commits hero to this pot, I can imagine 5-betting light is profitable for villain since hero can only commit with very top of his range, JJ+, AK maybe only QQ+, AK. 5-betting light IP knowing hero will fold anything less is an option.

    4) If hero jams, villain's calling range is probably QQ+,AK. Hero has 40% equity against that range. From a cEV perspective, jamming is profitable.

    5) Risking everything this deep just because it's +cEV probably isn't +$EV. So I think this comes down to the percent of time villain is light and the percent of the time villain has the top of his range.

    Jam & villain folds: +99,915
    Jam & villain wins: -218,271 (EV if called: -130,963)
    Jam & villain loses: risk 151,605 for +440,972 (EV if called: +176,317)

    EV if called: +45,354
    EV if villain folds: +99,915
    %of time villain is light: ??
    Assuming 40%, EV of jamming is +67,178.

    Not really sure where to go from here to be honest. Jamming is +cEV. Risking 100+bbs doesn't make sense to me though. Math seems right, but I feel like something is wrong. Maybe the calling range assigned to the villain needs be more heavily weighted to KK/AA instead of AK.

    In any event, the villain could definitely be light here. I think the decision is read dependent and based on how often you think the villain could be light. Sorry for rambling and not providing any real guidance.

    Wow...stupid question and I think I screwed this up. Is the EV if called 440,972*.4 = 176,317 or (440,972-151,605 [amt to call])*.4 = 115,675?

    I think it's the latter which would explain why the math seemed wrong to me.
    Edited By: tyson219 Mar 22nd, 2011 at 10:41 PM
  5. either 4 bet to 6bet or flat the 3bet initially

    if your image is tight (as you said it was), it might be better to flat to keep in all his air cuz he's never gonna expect you to 6bet light and 4b/folding is just retarded
    1
  6.  
    Originally Posted by FenwayKing View Post

    either 4 bet to 6bet or flat the 3bet initially

    if your image is tight (as you said it was), it might be better to flat to keep in all his air cuz he's never gonna expect you to 6bet light and 4b/folding is just retarded

    this, as played i hate folding given table dynamics

    but i rather call pre
     1
  7. Yeah 4 bet folding definitely feels like the worst line to take here. Kind of a sick spot. Just to confirm is this a 6 max event? Would certainly change the perceived value of our queens. Considering how deep we are this is a spot where with no reads i definitely like flatting the 3 bet preflop. Certainly not looking to 4 bet/fold and turn QQ into a bluff. We can disguise the size of our hand in a big way as i don't think the villain is ever giving us credit for a hand as strong as QQ when we flat his 3 bet. Also enables us to keep the pot under control until we're comfortable getting it in. However its interesting to hear you saying about the earlier hand where he cold called your 3 bet of an UTG raiser? Details of this hand could be kinda important. If he is cold calling 3 bets behind and then folding to the UTG player it seems like he might be playing a bit spewy...i mean we could usually reasonably expect a cold call of your 3 bet to be a pretty strong hand? This might make me way more comfortable to 6 bet jam and get it in with QQ in a 6 handed game.......
     
  8.  
    Originally Posted by Picasso 2 View Post

    Yeah 4 bet folding definitely feels like the worst line to take here. Kind of a sick spot. Just to confirm is this a 6 max event? Would certainly change the perceived value of our queens. Considering how deep we are this is a spot where with no reads i definitely like flatting the 3 bet preflop. Certainly not looking to 4 bet/fold and turn QQ into a bluff. We can disguise the size of our hand in a big way as i don't think the villain is ever giving us credit for a hand as strong as QQ when we flat his 3 bet. Also enables us to keep the pot under control until we're comfortable getting it in. However its interesting to hear you saying about the earlier hand where he cold called your 3 bet of an UTG raiser? Details of this hand could be kinda important. If he is cold calling 3 bets behind and then folding to the UTG player it seems like he might be playing a bit spewy...i mean we could usually reasonably expect a cold call of your 3 bet to be a pretty strong hand? This might make me way more comfortable to 6 bet jam and get it in with QQ in a 6 handed game.......

    Yes this is a six handed event. As a matter of fact he called my 3 bet to and UTG raise. Then when board came A 3 A, UTG checked I led out, Villain flat called and UTG shoved. I ended up folding so did Villain. Like I said he was active, but hadn't show down.

    The reason I took this line is cause I thought he would three bet light and likely just call my 4 bet light (cause he was calling 3 bets pretty often) and try to out play me post. Therefore I was going to check raise most flops.
    Thread Starter
  9. 4 bet a little smaller. 25kish is probably best. As played I get in QQ+ AK since you said he'd been active. dont ever 4 bet fold here. 6 bet shove as played or flatting the initial 3 bet is fine too if you don't feel comfortable getting in queens this deep.
  10. TLR so you think the 4 bet was a good line given this situation? (besides the sizing)
    Edited By: Pops28 Mar 23rd, 2011 at 03:45 PM
    Thread Starter
  11. He´s not a random, Supernova Elite on stars and Plays EPTs etc.
    I like to get it in here since i think the opponent has some kind of air in his range too...
    If you 4 bet him you have to go with it since you would turn your queens into a bluff...
     
  12. villain is certainly not a random...he's extremely aggressive, and loves getting into 3 and 4b wars with people.

    i would ahve been a little happier if he just straight jammed, but i'm still pretty happy to shove here. i think he folds quite a bit of the time, and he actually prolly calls it off with worse some %, like JJ or w/e

    Gags30 is an instructor at PocketFives Training . To get more of his advice and to watch his training videos, click here.

  13. Thanks for the replies fellas.. Main reason I posted this hand is cause I thought of all the different way I could have played it. At the end of the day I went with my read and gut and below is the out come. I never planned on shutting down once I 4 bet in this spot fwiw. I knew this player was aggro and was very active. I know I got UL but I just wanted to hear some opinions.

    Full Tilt Poker Game #29192835849: MiniFTOPS Event #40 (2-Day) (209629767), Table 196 - 1000/2000 Ante 250 - No Limit Hold'em - 14:48:04 ET - 2011/03/20
    Seat 1: Armando2833 (218,271)
    Seat 2: I The King I (309,052)
    Seat 3: donkeyslayer84 (478,088)
    Seat 4: pedobear91 (119,987)
    Seat 5: mzungu (104,539)
    Seat 6: JMaryN (115,875)
    Armando2833 antes 250
    I The King I antes 250
    donkeyslayer84 antes 250
    pedobear91 antes 250
    mzungu antes 250
    JMaryN antes 250
    mzungu posts the small blind of 1,000
    JMaryN posts the big blind of 2,000
    The button is in seat #4
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Armando2833 [Qs Qd]
    Armando2833 raises to 5,000
    I The King I has 15 seconds left to act
    I The King I raises to 12,000
    donkeyslayer84 folds
    pedobear91 folds
    mzungu has 15 seconds left to act
    mzungu folds
    JMaryN folds
    Armando2833 has 15 seconds left to act
    Armando2833 raises to 28,999
    I The King I has 15 seconds left to act
    I The King I has requested TIME
    I The King I raises to 66,666
    Armando2833 has 15 seconds left to act
    Armando2833 has requested TIME
    Armando2833 raises to 218,021, and is all in
    I The King I calls 151,355
    Armando2833 shows [Qs Qd]
    I The King I shows [Ac Kd]
    *** FLOP *** [5s 4h Jc]
    *** TURN *** [5s 4h Jc] [2d]
    *** RIVER *** [5s 4h Jc 2d] [Kc]
    Armando2833 shows a pair of Queens
    I The King I shows a pair of Kings
    I The King I wins the pot (440,542) with a pair of Kings
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 440,542 | Rake 0
    Board: [5s 4h Jc 2d Kc]
    Seat 1: Armando2833 showed [Qs Qd] and lost with a pair of Queens
    Seat 2: I The King I showed [Ac Kd] and won (440,542) with a pair of Kings
    Seat 3: donkeyslayer84 folded before the Flop
    Seat 4: pedobear91 (button) folded before the Flop
    Seat 5: mzungu (small blind) folded before the Flop
    Seat 6: JMaryN (big blind) folded before the Flop

    Once again thanks for those who wrote on here and GL at the tables!
    Thread Starter
  14. Good players want to play hands vs the tight players especially in position. You said your image was tight. This guy could be squeezing you easily with a worse hand and a very wide range from how you described him. He has the chips to do it.

    I don't think you want to invest a third of your stack to just call him oop. You have QQ vs a very aggressive player, I think you jam and take it down. He may have it but you have to take a stand against these players or they will keep abusing you.
  15. vwp very gross river.
     
  16. Thanks Unta. Yeah that river hurt
    Thread Starter
  17. if ur 4betting it should be because ur inducing to get it in, like lagrat said id make it smaller to give him the illusion of folding equity to keep worse hands of his in. cant ever fathom folding qq pf in 6max no matter how deep, but depending on how comfortable you are with postflop play, and being 100+ bbs deep i dont see anything wrong with flatting the 3b for pot control. getting it in as u did is clearly not a leak, its just a high variance spot that u might not wanna take with such a deep structure and having already played 2 days to get here. ul tho gg
     
  18. great thread. super tough spot. but i think its been laid out pretty well that 6 bet shove is the right play here, vs such an aggro villain. if it had been against a random who didnt have much history, and the capability of 5 betting wider, i think i might fold this and find a better spot with the stack you have and the table you are at.
  19.  
    Originally Posted by GrimeRat420 View Post

    if ur 4betting it should be because ur inducing to get it in, like lagrat said id make it smaller to give him the illusion of folding equity to keep worse hands of his in. cant ever fathom folding qq pf in 6max no matter how deep, but depending on how comfortable you are with postflop play, and being 100+ bbs deep i dont see anything wrong with flatting the 3b for pot control. getting it in as u did is clearly not a leak, its just a high variance spot that u might not wanna take with such a deep structure and having already played 2 days to get here. ul tho gg

    really like this especially the bolded part, more iv thought about this hand more iv realise i am prob 4 betting to 6 bet cram everytym, but mayb flattin the 3 bet in certain spots like this (structure/event) cud b beneficial
     1
  20. GrimeRat420- Yes I agree it was a high variance spot. I'm glad you mentioned that it's not a leak. Thanks for the response.

    For those who say flat his 3 bet. How would you play this hand post flop against villain. Also, don't you think the stacks are going in regardless? Given his level of aggressiveness and knowing that i'm disciplined and capable of folding a big hand.

    Just thought I bring that up for discussion as well.

    Say I check raise flop. Don't we think Villain will repop me or even flat in position to steal put in me an odd spot in later streets?
    Thread Starter
  21.  
    Originally Posted by Pops28 View Post

    GrimeRat420- Yes I agree it was a high variance spot. I'm glad you mentioned that it's not a leak. Thanks for the response.

    For those who say flat his 3 bet. How would you play this hand post flop against villain. Also, don't you think the stacks are going in regardless? Given his level of aggressiveness and knowing that i'm disciplined and capable of folding a big hand.

    Just thought I bring that up for discussion as well.

    Say I check raise flop. Don't we think Villain will repop me or even flat in position to steal put in me an odd spot in later streets?

    I'm flatting the 3bet more often than im 4bet/6betting and if I'm going with the passive line I will keep it that way postflop and NOT c/r but just c/c, potcontrol + if he's aggro he will prolly not just cbet and then simply give up OTT
    Edited By: eDaN Mar 24th, 2011 at 03:06 PM
  22.  
    Originally Posted by Pops28 View Post

    GrimeRat420- Yes I agree it was a high variance spot. I'm glad you mentioned that it's not a leak. Thanks for the response.

    For those who say flat his 3 bet. How would you play this hand post flop against villain. Also, don't you think the stacks are going in regardless? Given his level of aggressiveness and knowing that i'm disciplined and capable of folding a big hand.

    Just thought I bring that up for discussion as well.

    Say I check raise flop. Don't we think Villain will repop me or even flat in position to steal put in me an odd spot in later streets?

    impossible to answer in a vacuum, so much depends on board texture/his sizing/timing so many other factors

    you can't plan this hand out preflop really, you guys are pretty deep
    1
  23. Edan, You think he folds turn when he picks up a gutshot with his two overs?

    Fenway, board texture is above. I posted results. That's why I ask. I know alot has to do with table dynamics and situation. But I'm referrering to this particualr situation.
    Thread Starter
  24. Really difficult to answer this in a vacuum. Given the flop texture and the aggro nature of the villain, I would expect him to double barrel. Given the flop, I'm pretty confident I'm ahead, so my plan would probably be c/c the flop and either c/c or c/r the turn, depending on the pot size.

    Edit: if the c/r the flop and lead the turn or c/r the turn and the pot size is somewhat controlled, I think the villain may fold. He realizes he has 10 outs at best which doesn't give the greatest odds of calling a huge turn bet.
    Edited By: tyson219 Mar 24th, 2011 at 03:30 PM
  25. wait i thought you said you 6bet? are you saying if you flatted and the board comes J54 rainbow? check/call is probably best, could c/r but kind of overreps your hand on a dry board like that---theres not a ton of draws you could be semibluffing with. villain is also aggressive and will barrel down

    or are you saying if the board comes A3A, I vaguely remember you talking about that but I didn't really understand. that's probably a c/c as well.

    also i think another important thing to point out with the preflop decision is that while villain has gotten into 3b/4b wars with other people, if OP is really tight, villain is somewhat less likely to spaz off like he might against other heroes. if we've already been battling preflop somewhat, this is a clear 4b/6b, but given OP's situation flatting the 3b could be slightly better although it's impossible to say that 6betting qq in a 6 max game against an aggressive villain could ever be bad
    Edited By: FenwayKing Mar 24th, 2011 at 03:42 PM
    1
  26. Thanks Fenway. No not the A 3 A hand, I only mentioned it because it was an interesting hand the Villain and myself players a couple of hands prior. It was just to point out that he was calling 3 bets and c bets a lot of the time.
    Thread Starter
  27. Thanks for the help/advice P5'ers.
    Thread Starter
  28. Still like calling PF; especially since we got a good flop. We bet and take down pot. Too much action PF for our girls.

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