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Do you value bet the river?

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  1. DEEZZZ_NUTS DEEZZZ_NUTS is offline

    Minneapolis, MN
    United States

    Posts: 723
    Joined: Mar 06

    Aug 5th, 2007 (8/5/2007 1:11pm)

    pokerstars Game #11322916320: Tournament #56611051, $200+$15 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (25/50) - 2007/08/05 - 12:58:11 (ET)

    Table '56611051 178' 9-max Seat #9 is the button

    Seat 1: DonLinnet (12400 in chips)

    Seat 2: DEEZZZ_NUTS (9900 in chips)

    Seat 3: Falke (10250 in chips)

    Seat 4: 4ofaKindBud (9625 in chips)

    Seat 5: IMAFishh (10050 in chips)

    Seat 6: Taknapotin (9800 in chips)

    Seat 7: AZUncle (9675 in chips)

    Seat 8: RunThisTable (8650 in chips)

    Seat 9: tuffball (9725 in chips)

    DonLinnet: posts small blind 25

    DEEZZZ_NUTS: posts big blind 50

    Dealt to DEEZZZ_NUTS [Jd Qd]

    Falke: folds

    4ofaKindBud: folds

    IMAFishh: folds

    Taknapotin is disconnected

    Taknapotin is connected

    Taknapotin: folds

    AZUncle: folds

    RunThisTable: folds

    tuffball: folds

    DonLinnet: calls 25

    DEEZZZ_NUTS: raises 150 to 200

    DonLinnet: calls 150

    *** FLOP *** [6h 3d Js]

    DonLinnet: checks

    DEEZZZ_NUTS: bets 200

    DonLinnet: calls 200

    *** TURN *** [6h 3d Js] [4c]

    DonLinnet: bets 400

    DEEZZZ_NUTS: calls 400

    *** RIVER *** [6h 3d Js 4c] [Ah]

    DonLinnet: checks

    DEEZZZ_NUTS: ??????

    Question: since the A was unlikely to hit his hand, would make a 1/3 pot sized value bet on the river to induce a weak J to call? I think a weak J was his most likely holding, so in theory, he should call down a 500ish sized bet on the river..thoughts?
     
  2. CR34M CR34M is offline

    Posts: 12
    Joined: Jul 07

    Aug 5th, 2007 (8/5/2007 1:25pm) in reply to DEEZZZ_NUTS

    I think both checking or betting might be ok. I check because I don't know how often a weaker j will call after you've bet it the whole way and it isn't the easiest call ever if he raises, but the way he played it it's pretty safe to say you have the best hand unless he's tricky.
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