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Much has been written about a single player competing in the same online tournament under multiple accounts, and this post is intended to approach the topic from a somewhat different perspective without repeating the same tired arguments.<SPAN> </SPAN>Suppose we start with the question what prevents a player from doing this?<SPAN> </SPAN>Ill imperfectly summarize three common responses below:
- <LI class=MsoNormal>A persons ethical compass or notions of fairness, independent of any stated rules; <LI class=MsoNormal>The tournament administrators stated rules, and a persons willingness to follow them and/or the administrators willingness to enforce them; and <LI class=MsoNormal>A persons finite financial resources.</LI>
The Problem of Multiple Ganks
The Problem of Multiple Ganks is a problem of unintended consequences, probably best understood with an example.<SPAN> </SPAN>For the sake of discussion, let's assume that Player A is an above-average, profitable tournament player.<SPAN> </SPAN>I, however, am an untalented mope that aspires to succeed at tournaments.<SPAN> </SPAN>I sleep peacefully with the knowledge that tomorrow just might be my day, provided that the stars are properly aligned, and my bankroll is not depleted.<SPAN> </SPAN>
To the extent I believe that Player A is playing one account only, I continue to believe (foolishly?) that I have a chance to win.<SPAN> </SPAN>But if I know that Player A is playing multiple accounts, I am forced to make a decision: either I should abstain or increase the number of accounts that I will play under to keep pace with Player A.<SPAN> </SPAN>Of course, maintaining the status quo of one account per tournament is suboptimal for me if I know that Player A is playing multiple accounts.<SPAN> </SPAN><SPAN> </SPAN>
We could say that Player A is merely acting in his own economic self-interest here without making any other judgments about it.<SPAN> </SPAN>However, my knowledge of Player As actions will either drive me away from competition or compel me to enter into a Cold War-style arms race so that I can keep up with, or even surpass, Player A.<SPAN> </SPAN>We can deduce that Player A encourages a form of adverse selection: potentially smaller fields due to the abstentions, with each remaining competitor trying to estimate how many additional entries are required to provide a reasonable chance of winning under the new dynamics.
Lets now add one more fact to the example: although I am an untalented mope, Ive got money to burn.<SPAN> </SPAN>Increasing the number of accounts I play under, and therefore the amount in entry fees Im willing to pay, is of no consequence to me.<SPAN> </SPAN>I maintained financial parity by playing one account for as long as I believe Player A only competes with one account.<SPAN> </SPAN>When I learn that Player A is competing with multiple accounts in the same tournament, I realize that Player A is seeking an additional advantage over me that can only persist as long as I allow it.<SPAN> </SPAN>That particular advantage is nullified if I increase my entry rate lock step with his.<SPAN> </SPAN>In fact, I might come to believe that tournament poker is actually a contest of financial resources, and it would be prudent of me to surpass the number of Player As entries so that my lack of talent is more than compensated by my extra chances to win.
In turn, Player A would only want to compete under multiple accounts if he was confident that he could match my deep financial commitment or, alternatively, if he could determine the exact number of additional entries (combined with his superior skill) necessary to prevail over a field including me and other players similarly situated.<SPAN> </SPAN>Any imprecision in these calculations could be financially disastrous for Player A over time.<SPAN> </SPAN>
While Player A must be careful not to engage in a dramatically lopsided war pitting his financial resources against mine plus the rest of the like-minded competitors in the field,<SPAN> </SPAN>thats exactly the problem he is inviting by merely acting in his self-interest and competing with multiple accounts in the same event.
But waitif Im a rich fish, doesnt that simply mean there is more dead money in the prize pool?<SPAN> </SPAN>Maybe, but the more important question to ask is whether the aggregate additional entries is increasing the volatility of Player As results.<SPAN> </SPAN>In other words, is Player A reducing his variance by using multiple accounts in the same event, or is he actually increasing his variance when other competitors are compelled to meet the threat with their own extra opportunities?
In short, Player A thinks that what he is doing is advantageous to his economic self-interest (and it might be for a brief period), but it is easy to see how multiple accounts lead to an financial death-spiral when other players must choose a response to Player As actions.<SPAN> </SPAN>The unintended consequences of Player As actions diminish his perceived benefit, and ultimately, leads to negative expectation wagering.<SPAN> </SPAN>So when Gank rhetorically asks who wants to compete against him multiple times in the same tournament, many people would properly avoid this disadvantageous scenario by not playing at all or by boosting the number of their own entries in an attempt to eliminate this particular advantage.<SPAN> The latter option could be selected by players with significant skills, wealth, or both. </SPAN>Thus a Problem of Multiple Ganks: there is no long-term advantage to playing multiple accounts in the same tournamentonly the parity of one account per tournament preserves Player As edge.<SPAN> </SPAN>
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Not that my opinion counts being new here and all, but I thought this was an extremely well thought out post. Thanks for it.
J.C. -
ugh yea, Gank owns
Gank Gank Gank OWNS OWNS OWNS -
I find this post to be very insightful, but going a step beyond it... what about the players who aren't rich fish or have severely finite financial resources?? These players will likely at some point realize that they cannot compete in this battle of resources unless of course one happens to win a big tourney and then has the ability to join in the mayhem. You mentioned that players are forced to make a decision when they learn of the habits of Player A, but many don't even have the opportunity to chose to multi-account if they wanted to. These players simply leave the game over time... The next ripple effect is new or potential players considering entering the game learning about the ruthless acts of Player A's everywhere. Why would any new player jump into a pool full of sharks, if they don't have the financial resources to compete w/ them in this war? The result is many who would otherwise be new players entering the game, passing it by and realizing that the playing field is not level enough for it to be worth their while. If it is generally accepted that the online game is corrupt, I can guarantee you that many people turning 18 will NOT participate.
I think the results that would come from casual players who don't have the financial resources to compete leaving the game, in addition to scaring new players away from the game, would have a much more profound impact on online poker than people think. If poker evolves back into a shark vs. shark era, how would the prize pools even allow for a battle of financial resources w/o the casual players??? At this point these multi-accounters are hardly even playing poker anymore, they are just playing some sick financial game against each other...they might as well just meet up somewhere and flip coins for 10k a pop.
I think it's pretty obvious that the last thing people who use multiple accounts thought of was the future or long-term, and the first thing they thought about was themselves. That much is clear. The question is, do they have enough integrity left to realize that what they have done is a mistake not only for them but also for the future of online poker... so that they should re-consider if their short-term greed and lowering their variance is really worth bringing down the whole system for everyone. -
Wareagle: thank you
MKGB: that's sort of what I meant by adverse selection; among the only people who remain to compete are those with sufficient financial resources to adapt to the new environment.
Fishlanier:Gank owns asking the right question, even if rhetorically. -
Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too many big words for how drunk I am still. That being said, from what I could semi-gather, extremely well thought out post.
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Nice essay.
B+ -
B+? I'm glad I never took your class. I wonder what an A paper would look like if that is a B+!
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