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FT Bubble Whats your decision?

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  1. CoinFlipper CoinFlipper is offline

    Posts: 237
    Joined: Sep 06

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:22am)

    Villain and i had been tangling nonstop since getting down to 3 tables. Im still very up in the air as to is this the call that gets me first place or do i fold. I could not even assign a range to him on this hand.

    Full Tilt Poker Game #6071831514: $5,500 Guarantee (1r+1a) (45515109), Table 14 - 2500/5000 Ante 600 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:40:22 ET - 2008/04/17
    Seat 1: matthew66 (45,847)
    Seat 4: greenlime22 (37,176)
    Seat 5: Syvsoversen (152,952)
    Seat 6: park0602 (67,073)
    Seat 7: DefyOddz (45,246)
    matthew66 antes 600
    greenlime22 antes 600
    Syvsoversen antes 600
    park0602 antes 600
    DefyOddz antes 600
    park0602 posts the small blind of 2,500
    DefyOddz posts the big blind of 5,000
    The button is in seat #5
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to DefyOddz [Td Ah]
    matthew66 raises to 45,247, and is all in
    greenlime22 folds
    Syvsoversen folds
    park0602 folds
    DefyOddz has 15 seconds left to act
    DefyOddz has requested TIME
  2. CoinFlipper CoinFlipper is offline

    Posts: 237
    Joined: Sep 06

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:41am) in reply to CoinFlipper

    anybody? this seems to be a pretty huge tournament decision
    Thread Starter
  3. RankMeNOW RankMeNOW is offline

    Horsham, PA
    United States

    Posts: 1,166
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    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:44am) in reply to CoinFlipper

    you are the CoinFlipper, you decide

    just kidding umm this tournament structure really sucks, are all the stacks this shallow? i probably call if hes a laggish player and take the flip, we arent playing just to make the final table are we?
     
  4. dwbrown7680 dwbrown7680 is offline

    Sanford, NC
    United States

    Posts: 116
    Joined: Sep 07

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:47am) in reply to CoinFlipper

    Honestly I think you should call here....you're M is a little over 4, you're 5 handed and ideally at worst you're probably 30/70 here. I can see villain shoving small to mid pairs or a lower ace in this spot; not to mention he could be trying to steal with worse from UTG. With the way the stack sizes are and the importance of building the stack for the FT, I think you should call and hope for the best.
  5. Anonymous Anonymous is offline

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    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:47am) in reply to CoinFlipper

    Easy Call...you can fold and maybe go to FT with less than 10 bbs and push then...or

    you can call..get eliminated or goto FT with more than 20 bbs and a chance to make an impact.

    I would be should w/ k10-kq..suited connectors, small pairs...a rag......anyhoo...

    call, if you are playing to win....fold if you are playing for a FT.
  6. CoinFlipper CoinFlipper is offline

    Posts: 237
    Joined: Sep 06

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:57am) in reply to Anonymous

    i regret not making this call because 1 hand later someone goes out and we hit the FT. Im at 39k chips and i get moved right into the BB at the FT which had gone up to 6k, i couldnt make anything happen after that and went out in 9th. I know if i call him there i go to the FT with 100k+ chips and about 20bbs giving me a shot at first.
    Thread Starter
  7. andressoprano andressoprano is offline whaddya think of my game?

    Anchorage, AK
    United States

    Posts: 5,224
    Joined: Jan 07

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 11:59am) in reply to CoinFlipper

    I think he has your AT crushed, he's range doe not start on Ax. Only hand you can be ahead of is QKs. It's a very very close one, and like a friend of mine says : Fuck close ones.

    Myself, I fold here.
     1
  8. HiFi HiFi is offline

    Alexandria, VA
    United States

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    Joined: Dec 07

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 12:15pm) in reply to CoinFlipper

    snap call, cry when he flips over JJ, jump for joy when the flop comes KQJ, jump out window when board pairs obv...

    but it is a really tricky spot. I think I'd have to call since the blinds are eating me alive at that point, and I'm probably 60/40ish against his range. Well worth it to chip up there heading into the FT, and if i get knocked out then that's just how it is.
  9. dwbrown7680 dwbrown7680 is offline

    Sanford, NC
    United States

    Posts: 116
    Joined: Sep 07

    Apr 18th, 2008 (4/18/2008 12:19pm) in reply to andressoprano

    huh? I think his range here is alot bigger than you're giving credit for. They're playing 5 handed and the ratio of blinds to stack sizes is pretty substantial, loosening up shoves a good bit. OP has a M of 4, and there's no telling when the FT bubble breaks and lets him breathe a little easier....I say this is a really easy spot with him being ahead of most of the villain's range....so snap call high five monitor when ahead and win and TID one time.
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