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Villain is aggressive, deff capable.. we hadn't really tangled too much.
pokerstars Game #50086872856: Tournament #2010090053, $500+$30 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXXVI (25000/50000) - 2010/09/24 3:50:19 ET
Table '2010090053 30' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: TMoney0209 (1830081 in chips)
Seat 2: KingKaizers (5461309 in chips)
Seat 5: DDBeast (3076003 in chips)
Seat 6: KevBoyStar (1081802 in chips)
Seat 7: rickwaa (587966 in chips)
Seat 8: justdec (2130339 in chips)
TMoney0209: posts the ante 6250
KingKaizers: posts the ante 6250
DDBeast: posts the ante 6250
KevBoyStar: posts the ante 6250
rickwaa: posts the ante 6250
justdec: posts the ante 6250
TMoney0209: posts small blind 25000
KingKaizers: posts big blind 50000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to TMoney0209 [Tc Kd]
DDBeast: folds
KevBoyStar: folds
rickwaa: folds
justdec: folds
TMoney0209: raises 72209 to 122209
KingKaizers: calls 72209
*** FLOP *** [Jh Qc 6h]
TMoney0209: bets 134209
KingKaizers: calls 134209
*** TURN *** [Jh Qc 6h] [Kh]
TMoney0209: checks
KingKaizers: bets 325000
TMoney0209: calls 325000
*** RIVER *** [Jh Qc 6h Kh] [8c]
TMoney0209: checks
KingKaizers: bets 600000
TMoney0209: ?????
I have 1.3 million beind on the river. Thoughts? -
Edited By: jsagan77 Sep 24th, 2010 at 10:27 AMI don't know, the Kh is probably the worst card in the deck because it gives our hand some strength but it completes almost all the draws out there and hits a bunch of two pairs that are in his range. I think I nit it up on the turn and fold pretty happily knowing I'd be put in a tough spot on the river with a pretty weak holding considering the texture of the board.Originally Posted by em_ERIC_
if ur not betting this turn then don't raise it pre
as played
call turn call river imo
sucks 2 be oop
As played though, don't see how you can call the turn and not call the river... -
This is indeed a nasty spot.
It's uncharacteristic for an aggressive opponent to flat bvb, and this appears to polarise his range to weak aces, small pairs or suited connectors, at a guess. The bigger hands likely three-bet, not trap, and are willing to play for stacks, given your ~36 BBs.
When he floats the flop, this gives me the feeling that you may well be facing Ax of hearts; if he'd made his hand, he might have jammed here.
It may be nitty, but the turn has got to be one of the worst cards you could see, and c/f is probably the best line, to avoid exactly the spot you faced on the river. Too many hands your opponent has in his probable range have just got there, and if you call, you're playing a bloated pot with nothing more than tp, fair kicker, and don't really know what you're trying to make. A strong, aggressive player will push you off many pots in these situations. -
feel like u played it well, without knowing much history but knowing hes pretty aggro, id be tempted to c/shove the turn, just a really awkward spot....as played, bc its BvB i would not be folding but at the same time i'd clearly be not happy about it....feel like at this stage at the final table I would make my decision on how hes been playing, my bad if what I said was awful/ made no sense, but just a really withered spot that you being a really good player, just going with your reads and what you think, I'd be happy about with whatever decision you decided to make.
if you did fold tho, at least you get to see the replay, so run hotter in that aspect....grats on the FT tho, you been raping, keep it up and gl bros. -
Way out of my league.
Edited By: rayfox111 Sep 24th, 2010 at 01:27 PM
But my thoughts fwtw!
Its a soaking wet board, that probably hits villians range pretty hard.
He 3/4 pots the turn & 1/2 pots the river, which suggests to me that he thinks your beat, at least by the river.
You have 35% of your stack invested, so obviously a really tough decision.
But going off his bet sizing, my gut feeling is your probably beat with only tp.
So I would reluctantly fold. -
But after calling on the turn what makes you fold river? I'm assuming you'd fold the turn?
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bvb I would sigh and make the call, esp after calling the turn. If u feel the villain is capable of making a move in this spot then a call would be profitable considering u only have to be right around 30% of the time, shitty spot tho imo
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In game I probably call but I don't really like a call thinking about it now. Here's why...
I just can't imagine him going for thin value on the river. I think any single pairs/hands with showdown value are checking behind. That leaves total air and hands we lose to. What kind of total air hands can he have here? Random Ax hands with a heart?
Just seems like there are way more value hands than air hands in his range with that wet board. Maybe I'm being naive and he would bet a pair of queens or jacks? -
he could still be floating complete air on the flop with the intention to take it away from u.feel like j10 is a possibility to, picks up a str8 draw on turn, mb figures he can take it there, and when he doesnt, obv he has to barrel the river to win it.
however obviously alot of stuff out there that beats u, i spose it comes down to how tricky u think hes capable of being, i dont think theres a large range of hands that hit the flop that he barrels with that u can beat, except a drawing hand such as j10 by turn, so with any other type of hand that has showdown value such as q10 or such theres no need to bet the river.
which narrows it down to a hand like j10, otherwise all u beat is him floating on the flop to set up a steal IMO, so if u think hes capable of doing that, i call, and if u think its slim chance, i fold.
just to add, k9 might be in his range but i just dont think hes betting k9 on the river. -
I think a hand like QJ makes a lot of sense here after thinking about it.
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Hey guys really appreciate everyone coming in and sharing there input, and thanks bboy, much respect.. please keep it coming if anyone else is interested in sharing there thoughts.
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Close eyes, call, walk away and squint peak at ur stack from a distance.
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Well, I think its a difficult board where he can represent a lot of hands, but I think its better that you bet the turn as you can get some value of pairs with a draw and cand fold safely to a raise.
By checking the turn and the river, he knows you never have a flush and can move you off your hand. -
seems really dumb to post a hand like this where you only beat a bluff, considering no one else here has any clue of the dynamic between the two of you, or the dynamic at the table.
i think it's reallyy just impossible for anyone to give you good advice on this hand
Gags30 is an instructor at PocketFives Training . To get more of his advice and to watch his training videos, click here.
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maybe then, kevboystar, ericb, or allinstevie can come in since they would understand the dynamic of the FT or Final 2 tables
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Originally Posted by Gags30
seems really dumb to post a hand like this where you only beat a bluff, considering no one else here has any clue of the dynamic between the two of you, or the dynamic at the table.
i think it's reallyy just impossible for anyone to give you good advice on this hand
I doubt that it's "really dumb" to post any hand from a wcoop ft that involves some thought. It's always good to share different perspectives and thoughts on hands. Its rare that the other guy has anything but air or nuts, but some players are capable of value betting thin enough where KT is best. And there are the stacks of others to consider and what he'd be left with etc. whatever, regardless...
Quit putting people down. Its rude. Say instead " you only beat a bluff... I don't know dynamic, so can't help much". Then leave it at that. What a prick comment. -
i saw this hand go down and was watching for a little while...as for the table dynamic, kingkaizers was opening a pretty high frequency and i think he had actually lost a few small pots leading up to this hand and it might have seemed like he was tilting a bit. i would factor that information into my decision but to me i think that KKaizers would be aware that it might look like he was tilting so he would never bluff in this spot. given his image, and the fact that you can almost never have a flush here after betting flop then checking turn and river, i would assume that KK can easily be value betting 2-pair hands and his range probably isn't as polarized as it might appear in the hand history. i would definitely fold.
obv i wasn't at the table and may be way off with the dynamic but this is what it looked like to me as an observer -
Gags is pretty much spot on. FWIW though, I don't think call turn, fold river is a bad line at all. On that sizing I think you are behind a ton - it's a tough spot, but I like a river fold.
C/R turn would be a pretty sick line given hand strength etc. I think it would really mess with a lot of his value range. -
Edited By: ACgaming Sep 25th, 2010 at 08:54 AMYa you are way off there's no way whatsoever he has KK.Originally Posted by frosty012
i saw this hand go down and was watching for a little while...as for the table dynamic, kingkaizers was opening a pretty high frequency and i think he had actually lost a few small pots leading up to this hand and it might have seemed like he was tilting a bit. i would factor that information into my decision but to me i think that KKaizers would be aware that it might look like he was tilting so he would never bluff in this spot. given his image, and the fact that you can almost never have a flush here after betting flop then checking turn and river, i would assume that KK can easily be value betting 2-pair hands and his range probably isn't as polarized as it might appear in the hand history. i would definitely fold.
obv i wasn't at the table and may be way off with the dynamic but this is what it looked like to me as an observer
And I would say he's most likely checking small pairs and maybe even Ah high..
I also think his bet looks stronger than shoving.
But I can't really talk because I don't know the history between you two.
Looks like indeed a spot where he has air or you lose..
So it's hard to comment when I don't know the dynamic and haven't been in such a critical situation myself.
I think it's really just a hero call you would be making and that is 100% situational between you and the villian.
Just watch the replay and hope u don't see Ah6x.
Reason: re read hand -
Raise bigger PF, flop played fine, I'd bet turn as well to continue representing strength. Your c/c on turn shows some vulnerability and allows him to make credible bets with either air or a made hand (made hand being a much more likely scenerio). That of course is my opinion with no knowledge of either player...
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Edited By: frosty012 Sep 24th, 2010 at 10:24 PMI didn't mean to be confusing...but when I wrote "KK" I was referring to the player "KingKaizers" and not the hand pocket kings lol. also, JQ has us beat...Originally Posted by ACgaming
Ya you are way off there's no way whatsoever he has KK.
And I would say he's most likely checking small pairs and maybe even Ah high..
I also think his bet looks stronger than shoving.
But I can't really talk because I don't know the history between you two.
Looks like indeed a spot where he has air or you lose..
So it's hard to comment when I don't know the dynamic and haven't been in such a critical situation myself.
I think it's really just a hero call you would be making and that is 100% situational between you and the villian.
Just watch the replay and hope u don't see JQ or Ah6x. -
lol
Originally Posted by Flopnuts1
Raise bigger PF, flop played fine, I'd bet turn as well to continue representing strength. Your c/c on turn shows some vulnerability and allows him to make credible bets with either air or a made hand (made hand being a much more likely scenerio). That of course is my opinion with no knowledge of either player...
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was there any thought to continuing to lead on the turn? would that not give you a chance to win the pot there, and if raised/flatted, make the decisions easier?
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