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payerikplz is a 21vpip 27PFR and 50steal. Does he have fold equity, and do I have ICM to fold? Bad Good is this a spot to reshove?
Full Tilt Poker Game #28273932176: The Fifty-Fifty (217167086), Table 73 - 6000/12000 Ante 1500 - No Limit Hold'em - 03:45:57 ET - 2011/02/17
Seat 1: payerikplz (571,556)
Seat 2: JSTLRNED (251,497)
Seat 3: Stylez01 (150,267)
Seat 4: xBlackout (261,284)
Seat 5: BigJesus2 (317,883)
Seat 6: YuOnlyBeatMeBad (606,576)
Seat 7: Cwolf913 (339,760)
Seat 8: loose_cannon_jj (476,990)
Seat 9: LebanonJon (360,187)
payerikplz antes 1,500
JSTLRNED antes 1,500
Stylez01 antes 1,500
xBlackout antes 1,500
BigJesus2 antes 1,500
YuOnlyBeatMeBad antes 1,500
Cwolf913 antes 1,500
loose_cannon_jj antes 1,500
LebanonJon antes 1,500
xBlackout posts the small blind of 6,000
BigJesus2 posts the big blind of 12,000
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to JSTLRNED [Tc As]
YuOnlyBeatMeBad folds
Cwolf913 folds
loose_cannon_jj folds
LebanonJon folds
payerikplz raises to 27,000
JSTLRNED has 15 seconds left to act
JSTLRNED raises to 249,997, and is all in
Stylez01 has 15 seconds left to act
Stylez01 has requested TIME
Cwolf913 has been disconnected
Cwolf913 has reconnected
Stylez01 folds
xBlackout folds
BigJesus2 folds
payerikplz calls 222,997
JSTLRNED shows [Tc As]
payerikplz shows [Qd Qh]
*** FLOP *** [6d 6s 4c]
*** TURN *** [6d 6s 4c] [Qc]
*** RIVER *** [6d 6s 4c Qc] [Kd]
JSTLRNED shows a pair of Sixes
payerikplz shows a full house, Queens full of Sixes
payerikplz wins the pot (531,494) with a full house, Queens full of Sixes
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 531,494 | Rake 0
Board: [6d 6s 4c Qc Kd] -
No offense, but do you even know what you're talking about? The person that shoves has the fold equity -- not the caller. ICM has nothing to do with this, unless it's at the final table.
Originally Posted by JSTLRNED
payerikplz is a 21vpip 27PFR and 50steal. Does he have fold equity, and do I have ICM to fold? Bad Good is this a spot to reshove?
In terms of the reshove, it's fine. With 21bbs, it's not the best situation to 3bet/fold, although it is a possibility. I don't mind the shove given the villains image. Unlucky you ran into a monster. -
Fair point.
Originally Posted by Pghfan987
In his defense, stack sizes make it look like this is a FT. That was my assumption.
VPIP - Voluntarily Putting money In to the PotOriginally Posted by Pghfan987
someone please tell me what those hud stats means and i will render a verdict
PFR - Preflop raise
Steal - Attempt to steal -- raise in late position (I think CO or later)
I think the VPIP and PFR stats are reserved in his post. Basically, raise 21% and attempt to steal 50%. -
I'm guessing OP meant does he (OP) have fold equity? Answer is definitely yes, you're forcing this dude to call off half his stack. Given how active he's been, this looks like a perfect reshove spot to me and you just got unlucky to hit the top of his range. Next time bink an A and ship. wp op
Originally Posted by tyson219
No offense, but do you even know what you're talking about? The person that shoves has the fold equity -- not the caller. ICM has nothing to do with this, unless it's at the final table.
In terms of the reshove, it's fine. With 21bbs, it's not the best situation to 3bet/fold, although it is a possibility. I don't mind the shove given the villains image. Unlucky you ran into a monster. -
lol at 3 bet folding with 20 bbs but yeah i would shove this even more likely to shove on a final table
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Sorry sir but yes it was FT, and yes I am wonderind if payperkl has fold equit. Thanks for your input.
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Edited By: cocoa_butter111 Feb 17th, 2011 at 11:11 PM
^^^ i was like wtf you're VPIP CANT'T be less then ur PFR% he must have meant 17% pfr... otherwise your dealing with an indestructible player who RAISES MORE POTs THEN HE ACTUALLY PLAYS.... definite Multi-accounter issues here.... hahaha....
But to get to OP... if u have a solid read that the guy is opening light from MP alot then shove is fine.... NEVER 3 bet here... esp w any intention of folding...but 3betting less then 20bbs is spewy...esp if u muck to his 4bet jam... although i can see myself just clicking fold in this spot a decent amount of the time w 3 players to act behind...altho shoving always seems to be more fun....but ya SHOVE/FOLD.... never 3bet... -
Nice Run Dave, unlucky to run into QQ. Im 3bet shoving or folding, and you definitely have fold equity. If i am in your spot, im more likely folding and waiting for a better spot to get it in, but im a NIT.....ICM is definitely a HUGE factor since its at the FT of the 5050 with payouts increasing exponentially each time someone gets felted (10k to first and like 500 to 9th). But without table flow knowledge and previous hands the villain has played, its tough to make an informed decision here.
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HUD numbers here are probably a terrible indication. There's a good chance most of the hands you have on this guy came from shorthanded play on the FT bubble (with him as a cl) or some other irrelevant situation. Shove here can't be terrible mathematically, but when the chipleader only has 50bb, there are going to be heaps better ways to spend 21bb.
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