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Only about the third level in, original caller was a NYer who was LAG and trying to run the table, old man next to call was a station (I'm thinking he was a stud or LHE player) the two of them had around 22-28k I was sitting with 16k.
Blinds: 100/200 A-25
NYer limps from UTG+1
Old man limps
I have AJcc and decide to limp
Middle aged guy behind me makes it 600
SB calls, NY calls, Old man calls, I call
FLOP:Qc9c5d
NY checks
Old man bets 700
I call
Original raiser folds,
NY raises to 3k
Old man calls
I call
Turn: Kh
NY bets 4k
Old man calls 4k
My question here is what to do. I've picked up a gutterball with my flush draw and am getting ridiculous odds. Problem being that if I call the 4k it leaves me with round 8k.
Any thoughts? -
Fold flop after c/r<input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">
<input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden"> -
Ok....so there's 2700 in the middle pre-flop. (That's a lot of chips pre at 100/200)....plus 700+700 = 4100+3000=7100....
Originally Posted by cheifnakid
Only about the third level in, original caller was a NYer who was LAG and trying to run the table, old man next to call was a station (I'm thinking he was a stud or LHE player) the two of them had around 22-28k I was sitting with 16k.
Blinds: 100/200 A-25
NYer limps from UTG+1
Old man limps
I have AJcc and decide to limp
Middle aged guy behind me makes it 600
SB calls, NY calls, Old man calls, I call
FLOP:Qc9c5d
NY checks
Old man bets 700
I call
Original raiser folds,
NY raises to 3k
Old man calls
I call
Turn: Kh
NY bets 4k
Old man calls 4k
My question here is what to do. I've picked up a gutterball with my flush draw and am getting ridiculous odds. Problem being that if I call the 4k it leaves me with round 8k.
Any thoughts?
So before we look at your action on the flop you have 15K behind. Looks like you has 2 options on the flop: Shove or Fold. So it was misplayed there, but u still have 12K. At 100/200, you're still in great shape with 12K.
Turn: You now know NY guy is not folding and Old Man is not folding. Unfortunately on the turn you pick up monster outs. But your A is probably dead right now. So you have 15 outs on the river. I would say fold since you don't have a made hand, but this is a HUGE pot to try and pick up.
Stuff and don't look at the river card. -
Getting 4(ish)-1 on the nut flush draw on the flop...how do I justify folding here? I'm not saying your wrong, what I'm looking for is a reason....do I not hit on the turn enough knowing there's a good chunk of money going in afterward?
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play it even more passive than you did.
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I think I would have shoved all in on the flop after the raise to 3K.
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First, your analysis going to the river cannot account for whether you should have folded pre or on the flop. Because you didn't.
Assuming the A is dead, you have to hit the club or the 10 to win the hand. Cannot discount that one of the others is made with 10-Q and has forgotten to bet out or extract value from the flush draw. And can't discount that you might be chopping with a non-c 10, but that's really a bonus here and not worth including in calculation. Seems unlikely someone has a set so not worried about random pairing for the boat. Two pair is a possibility, though if they are bad enough not to shove and take it down with that now and still catch as you make your hand, well, that blows.
Likely alternative universes:
1) Pot is roughly 23k with action to you, so its 4k into a pot of 23k, or better than 5 to 1 to call. If its really a nonthreatening club, like the 2 or 3, maybe you even extract some implied odds, too. You hit a non-board pairing club and take down the whole thing or a 10 and take it all or possibly chop, and you are roughly 25 percent to get there, maybe a little less dodging a paired board. Throwing in 4k here is probably getting you way better than 3 to 1.
2) You miss. You have 8k, or 40 times the BB and a fighting chance.
No point in shoving because they will call for sure and so there's no value to pressuring them now, you can probably extract some more on the river if you catch, and with the stack you'd have left if you miss and a loose table to help you work your way back into it might as well hang onto it. But I can't see folding for 4k.
Then again, I suck at poker. -
Get it in on the flop. You get the old man to fold the best hand and vs a sick NY lag hes gonna have enough worse draws, bluffs, and other dumb shit to justify getting it in here. Can you comment on his open limping vs open raising frequencies? Because I saw he's raising a lot so he shouldn't have many nut hands here besides 55
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I was thinking of shoving the flop, however, after I called the old man's minibet on a draw heavy board I thought that it would REALLY look like a draw such as the J,10 or clubs, etc. The NYer was defending his limps nearly 100% of the time and seemed to be pretty adept at post flop play.
I hated the turn since I thought that the NYer might have been on a semibluff with the J,10 sensing weakness on the flop with the semibluff and now possibly made his nuts. I guess when he bets 4k on the turn, I'm assuming it's a value bet of some sort since he's not trying to induce folds, and he is also probably not folding himself.
Results coming... -
raise preflop and avoid all this nonsense
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Pretty gin flop once its raised pre, there's also a ton in there after the check-raise on the flop. Im probably jamming at this point.
As played, you need to be getting just over 4 to 1 on the call on the turn. So you're definitely priced into calling here. At this point, if the river blanks you've donked half your stack off chasing a draw, so ship it on the flop next time. -
800 Pre.
As played. Raise the old mans bet to 3K. Call any shove. Shove over any raise
as played shoving after the CR and call is pretty transparent, but probably the best option.
As played. call and fold to any non Club, 10, or ace. -
I would reship over the 3k raise
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this
Originally Posted by The Spewtard
Pretty gin flop once its raised pre, there's also a ton in there after the check-raise on the flop. Im probably jamming at this point.
As played, you need to be getting just over 4 to 1 on the call on the turn. So you're definitely priced into calling here. At this point, if the river blanks you've donked half your stack off chasing a draw, so ship it on the flop next time.
you need to chip up early cause blinds jump so high fast that you really are no that stacked for that long a period at foxwoods. Hit a big pot and you can push over the table when blinds jump as others complain about getting no hands and you raising and them folding. -
I think pushing after the 3k raise on the flop is probably the best line. Pushing in there looks incredibly strong and will get folds from a wider range of hands than you might think, even against a LAG player. If it does not get folds, you have outs to the nuts. In my opinion shove>fold>flat on that flop.
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F foxwoods megastack imo.
At 200/400 with a 50 ante (6th or 7th level)...
dude minraises to 1025 UTG+1 with 45dd and snapflats OOP when I make it 3800 with TT.
I had 16.5k to start the hand and he had 17k. He was known as the table spewbot having just snapcalled a 5x raise pre with T9o a few orbits ago.
So yeah, he minraise/snapflats 25% of his stack with 5 high, flop comes 678 and he c/raises me all in. Turn is an 8 giving me a 9 out redraw...
GG asshat.
Like how I snuck my BB post into a PD thread? I'm good like that. -
Nice hijack tho
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This is a pretty good tourney. Lotsa play. I was calling all manner of raises with suited connectors and stuff. One time I flopped a straight and some donk stacked off with an overpair (10s I believe)
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Anyway, since I played it as bad as possible, I might as well say that I lost the pot anyway. I called on the turn since I couldn't fold(spew), the river blanked and the LAG from NY put it all in, the old man announced fold and when I said fold showed a pair of kings with the flush draw. The NY didn't show...
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lol
After you flatted my 4x raise OOP with 5 high for 25% of your stack... and the pot was 8,600 and you checked a flopped straight... I bet 6,400 and clearly wasn't going anywhere with an overpair, a gutshot, 6k left behind, and the knowledge that A4o is in your limp/call range.
If you'd be so kind as to continue playing the role, I'd love to E-punch you in the face, rayspizza. -
fold
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From someone who plays at foxwoods alot, I LOL'd. Some knucklehead wouldn't make a 4 way deal at the final table last week for 3,500$ each for a $230 buy in. 10-20k blinds when he was the short stack. Then he calls my allin with 65dd and i have 55. Obv he flops a fkn 6 and im crippled into 4th place monies. Basically the guy risks a gtd 2k more on short stack w/less than 8 bb's and he risks it on 65 soooooooooted for an extra $500 or so. I lose they make the deal. Fkn asshole
Originally Posted by MeJahAndOmaha
lol
After you flatted my 4x raise OOP with 5 high for 25% of your stack... and the pot was 8,600 and you checked a flopped straight... I bet 6,400 and clearly wasn't going anywhere with an overpair, a gutshot, 6k left behind, and the knowledge that A4o is in your limp/call range.
If you'd be so kind as to continue playing the role, I'd love to E-punch you in the face, rayspizza. -
now that last call is where u screw up... after the NY guy check raises on flop to 3k u need to jammmmm or follddddddd .... preferably JAMMMMMMMMMMM!!!! unless u really think NY has 55... but since u did say he was playing super LAG... u mustttt close ur legs and Jam THAT SHIZZZ
Originally Posted by cheifnakid
I was sitting with 16k.
Blinds: 100/200 A-25
NYer limps from UTG+1
Old man limps
I have AJcc and decide to limp
Middle aged guy behind me makes it 600
SB calls, NY calls, Old man calls, I call
FLOP:Qc9c5d
NY checks
Old man bets 700
I call
Original raiser folds,
NY raises to 3k
Old man calls
I call -
Should have shoved over the Old man's bet of 700 on the flop or folded the c/r.
As played to this point you have to call the 4k. You are getting the right price to draw and have zero FE for a raise. If you hit the river you may or may not get more value but thats no biggie either way as you are getting the price to call now.
my 2 cents
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