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Help with AKd deep in the 8.5k guarantee

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  1. andrew1263 andrew1263 is offline

    Bothell, WA
    United States

    Posts: 89
    Joined: Oct 07

    Jul 30th, 2009 (7/30/2009 2:21pm)

    Full Tilt Poker Game #13686720870: $8,500 Guarantee (100921745), Table 5 - 400/800 Ante 100 - No Limit Hold'em - 8:05:56 ET - 2009/07/29 Seat 1: DUCKY GOAT (16,715) Seat 2: Barnesy000 (15,563) Seat 3: Borntobe_KING (50,588) Seat 4: cobra2gata (19,356) Seat 5: Fudikratzer (16,349) Seat 6: Andrew1263 (25,200) Seat 7: PRO100FISH (30,585) Seat 8: MDMcGrey (23,434) Seat 9: The Twelve Step (34,060) DUCKY GOAT antes 100 Barnesy000 antes 100 Borntobe_KING antes 100 cobra2gata antes 100 Fudikratzer antes 100 Andrew1263 antes 100 PRO100FISH antes 100 MDMcGrey antes 100 The Twelve Step antes 100 Andrew1263 posts the small blind of 400 PRO100FISH posts the big blind of 800 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Andrew1263 [Ad Kd] MDMcGrey folds The Twelve Step folds DUCKY GOAT folds Barnesy000 folds Borntobe_KING folds cobra2gata has 15 seconds left to act cobra2gata raises to 2,099 Fudikratzer raises to 8,000 Andrew1263 has 15 seconds left to act Andrew1263 has requested TIME Andrew1263 ????????? I've been playing more mtts lately and ran into this spot. I didn't think that i was good here because even though the villian has been fairly aggressive he usually just shoves. Since he bet has his stack it seems more like he has a strong hand where he wants someone to come over the top. What would your play be here? edit: not sure if it's because i'm using a mac or if it's actually coming up like this but the HH is messed up and it doesn't seem to change..
  2. Rev.K Rev.K is offline

    Calgary
    Canada

    Posts: 865
    Joined: Nov 06

    Jul 30th, 2009 (7/30/2009 2:41pm) in reply to andrew1263

    What's your read on Cobra? If any.

    This is a very interesting spot. I think your suspicions about him raising half his stack and not just open shoving are well founded. So many times when its getting late in tourneys, you see guys change up their raises and when they go smaller, it almost always means they have a strong hand and are looking for action.

    There's absolutely no doubt that the rest of his stack is going in after the flop and if you flat and Cobra shoves, Fudikrazer is going as well and you're basically going to have to call, so this is without a doubt a push/fold situation.

    Like I said, this also depends on your read of Cobra. If he's super nitty then you definitely don't want to be involved in a 3-way race with him in it.
  3. andrew1263 andrew1263 is offline

    Bothell, WA
    United States

    Posts: 89
    Joined: Oct 07

    Jul 30th, 2009 (7/30/2009 2:54pm) in reply to Rev.K

    Cobra has been playing fairly tight/ABC poker and hasn't been playing back at people that much but when he does he has a monster
    Thread Starter
  4. Rev.K Rev.K is offline

    Calgary
    Canada

    Posts: 865
    Joined: Nov 06

    Jul 30th, 2009 (7/30/2009 3:06pm) in reply to andrew1263

    That doesn't make it any easier.

    I don't know, I guess I lean towards a shove. It's not a guarantee that Cobra is going to playback at you, especially with a re-raise and a shove in front of him and if he folds, you've got Cobra covered although you'll be short if you lose.

    It's a critical spot, but you have a big hand and a win here will set you up nicely to get even deeper.
  5. UtherSlywort UtherSlywort is offline

    Posts: 10
    Joined: Jul 09

    Jul 30th, 2009 (7/30/2009 6:46pm) in reply to andrew1263

    Take it as read I know nothing but what the hell...

    I'm folding here.

    You push you're almost certainly getting called for me and then...in the lap of those fickle poker gods. You've got 30+ BBs and you're deep. There will be better spots.

    If I'm completely wrong please explain why. I'd be grateful. New to the site and poker etc
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