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Ok, I have been aggressive with my stack but havent shown down anything out of the ordinary for this blind level. I know KK is almost a never fold spot, but with this action the ranges are so narrowed by the 3rd shove. Does anyone find a fold here or is it cooler central??
Full Tilt Poker Game #10573760381: $40,000 Guarantee (Rebuy) (77734256), Table 12 - 120/240 Ante 25 - No Limit Hold'em - 18:18:40 ET - 2009/02/11
Seat 1: ryanwelch (24,440)
Seat 2: HB_HITMAN (4,995)
Seat 3: Vortex2099 (12,340)
Seat 4: Anabooola (3,970)
Seat 5: JohnnyBelow (19,042)
Seat 7: TheStein (2,700)
Seat 8: AnalFetto (16,485)
Seat 9: Paulharvey03 (5,144)
ryanwelch antes 25
HB_HITMAN antes 25
Vortex2099 antes 25
Anabooola antes 25
JohnnyBelow antes 25
TheStein antes 25
AnalFetto antes 25
Paulharvey03 antes 25
AnalFetto posts the small blind of 120
Paulharvey03 posts the big blind of 240
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ryanwelch [Kd Ks]
ryanwelch has 15 seconds left to act
ryanwelch raises to 720
HB_HITMAN raises to 4,970, and is all in
Vortex2099 folds
Anabooola calls 3,945, and is all in
JohnnyBelow has 15 seconds left to act
JohnnyBelow has requested TIME
JohnnyBelow raises to 19,017, and is all in
TheStein folds
AnalFetto folds
Paulharvey03 folds
ryanwelch has 15 seconds left to act
????????
I was auto calling after the first two shoves, however Johnnybelows shove should never be less than QQ+ right?? MAYYYYbe AK to gamble it out with the two smaller stacks. What do you guys think??
EDIT: Thanks for the responses, judging by stack sizes and the time bank shove of Johnnybelow it made it a pretty easy call here because of really only worrying about beating Johnny for a massive side pot. The first shover had TT, the second had JJ and Johnny had QQ. Somehow i hold and win a massive pot. -
I call... But I'm a donk.
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About the most sick spot I seen with KK. I think Johnny has to have QQ+ and AK only in his range here cause you are Ryan Welch after all ( a smart thinking player capable of Opening a wide range here that cannot call this much action) Given everything I still think this is a fold. Shit I don't know I might of talked myself into this given the fact he knows who you are.
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Let's just say I'm glad I wasn't in your shoes. What did everyone have?
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IMO...bet timing has a lot to do with this hand. If im johnny in this spot I am no longer trying to slowplay AA. THere are 2 hands all in and a healthy pot. Therefore with him timebanking, I was much more convinced he had QQ or ak. And even if the other stacks has AA there is a very healthy side pot to be won. This is one of the leading factors in my decision making. I will post hand results after discussion ends.
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it doesnt really matter if he has aa or ak.. the A will flop reguardless tahts just online poker....
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I think this is a call actually if u think about the stack sizes involved in the hand and the action. Many people will say that this is a very very sick spot because there are two 20 BB stack shoves after your initial raise, and that therefore Belows range must be like AK, KK and AA, just mayyyybee QQ.
However this is just simply short sighted. I think belows range is a bit wider but enough to make this call profitably. Id say his range is AK, JJ+ and if he is feeling confident maybe AQs and TT. Reason for this range being that he will never give u credit for a big hand after two players shove 20BB after your raise, and with him being a good player it would make more sense if he flatted to give u a chance to shove if he indeed had AA, cuz he knows ur a good player and knows ur not flatting 20BB with a marginal hand to try to hit a big flop. That being said, Id be more worried about one of the first 2 shovers having AA, which still makes the call profitable cuz you would be crushing Belows range with the chance of scooping a huge side pot, to chip up to about 35k. All in all, this looks more like an isolating shove wwith a good hand, rather than a AA shove trying to look weak with the shove to make u call, cuz with the action that took place that would almost never work to make u call.
IDK, if for example the second shovers stack was lets say 8k instead of 4kish its is almost certainly a fold. but stack sizes here and action makes it so much different and make a call a much easier decision than people think, just my opinion. If he has AA u run well enough to hit a K lolz, so just put it in. -
Appreciate the input marrocca however i think your range is far too wide for Johnny here. I dont think TT or AQ is ever a profitable call here. Nor is JJ IMO. I am raising utg here as well and the initial 20bb shover still comes over the top. Maybe im wrong but dont think Aq JJ or TT is ever in johnny's range.
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If im totally honest i was thinking the same thing, but didnt wanna say it incase i got flamed for it..
I really think QQ, but like i said AK is def in his range here. -
Easiest call ever, basically the main pot is basically secondary, If JBelow folds there and u had a pair of 88+ you would have likely clld with the odds you were getting after the PF raise and the size of your stack, so with him shoving he could have had a similar range and the shove was to iso and eliminate similar hands to his range. Shove and grin when he shows his PP of 9s or 10s... One thing to consider though, is that maybe with the way online or poker in general is played nowadays, does anyone really respect the UTG raise anymore? Maybe against the very nitty type players, but overall I think not...
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I disagree. IMO the game has really tightened up in the last few months. Also I dont think anyone is shoving my utg raise from utg +1 with that wide of a range. And the secondary shover has to know that. It would be great to get Johnnybelow to add input here but i would highly doubt he gets any hand in here less than AK or QQ.
Originally Posted by Aggie_E
Easiest call ever, basically the main pot is basically secondary, If JBelow folds there and u had a pair of 88+ you would have likely clld with the odds you were getting after the PF raise and the size of your stack, so with him shoving he could have had a similar range and the shove was to iso and eliminate similar hands to his range. Shove and grin when he shows his PP of 9s or 10s... One thing to consider though, is that maybe with the way online or poker in general is played nowadays, does anyone really respect the UTG raise anymore? Maybe against the very nitty type players, but overall I think not...
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gutsht, I agree That TT and AQ are almost never in his range, was just saying that it just might be if he is feeling like gambling/being spewy, but ok lets say we can take that out of his range, cuz its indeed spewy and he is good player. I think JJ is definitely in his range though. Stack sizes are vey important here, and hadnt noticed second shover has even less than 20BB, about 16 or so. This counts towards making it easier for below to call JJ. Counting JJ in his range makes it an 8 second think call, if we leave the range to just QQ, AK and AA, it still makes it a slightly marginal, but profitable, time banking call just to save face in case he has AA lol.
Originally Posted by gutshtallin
Appreciate the input marrocca however i think your range is far too wide for Johnny here. I dont think TT or AQ is ever a profitable call here. Nor is JJ IMO. I am raising utg here as well and the initial 20bb shover still comes over the top. Maybe im wrong but dont think Aq JJ or TT is ever in johnny's range.
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as tough of a spot as this is i think you still have to go with it... even with the action behind you, we have to think that some if not a lot of the time both reshovers hands are comprised of Ax type hands which makes having AA here even less likely. also as long as qq and ak are in johnnybelows range i dont see how a call isnt very profitable here
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Cant fold. Cant see him folding qq, so even if ak isnt in his range and its just qq+ u have to go w/ it.
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I think this is a pretty easy call actually. I think JohnnyBelow realizes that QQ and AK are ahead of your opening range here so I doubt he is ever folding those hands. The reason I think he shoves AK here (despite 3 raises) is that two of the people are already all in so he gets 5 cards while only risking 25% of his stack in a sizeable pot.
If only qq+ is in his range then this is still a call. You are 50/50 against johnny with about 10k of dead money in the side pot. If both hands are in his range, then this is a trivially easy call. To fold this hand, you have be sure that he is only raising KK+ here. I'd imagine your history with JohhnyBelow is far more extensive than mine so you could answer that better than me. -
this.
Originally Posted by qjuice14
I think this is a pretty easy call actually. I think JohnnyBelow realizes that QQ and AK are ahead of your opening range here so I doubt he is ever folding those hands. The reason I think he shoves AK here (despite 3 raises) is that two of the people are already all in so he gets 5 cards while only risking 25% of his stack in a sizeable pot.
If only qq+ is in his range then this is still a call. You are 50/50 against johnny with about 10k of dead money in the side pot. If both hands are in his range, then this is a trivially easy call. To fold this hand, you have be sure that he is only raising KK+ here. I'd imagine your history with JohhnyBelow is far more extensive than mine so you could answer that better than me. -
hes scandi right, i think regardless of if he had aa or not, and i think hed time bank with AA to make you think he has a decision in case you had something. on top of that, i have seen him do so much crazy spewy shit that if he does have AA so be it. hes made plays with some hands that he shouldnt before in strange spots. my note on him is he massively overvalues everything.
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I'm calling... I think Johnny is flatting with AA here, maybe shoving some of the time, but his time bank shove convinces me you're good. His range is likely QQ+, AK, AKs as you said, which makes it even better for you. If you disregard is hand as a hand you're likely beating, then running into an AA out of one of the two short stacks is still +EV.
Definitely a snap call unless the second big stack to you is a total nit. And JohnnyBelow is not. -
Sorry I didn`t see this before, just looking through some posts now.
Originally Posted by gutshtallin
I disagree. IMO the game has really tightened up in the last few months. Also I dont think anyone is shoving my utg raise from utg +1 with that wide of a range. And the secondary shover has to know that. It would be great to get Johnnybelow to add input here but i would highly doubt he gets any hand in here less than AK or QQ.Originally Posted by Aggie_E
Easiest call ever, basically the main pot is basically secondary, If JBelow folds there and u had a pair of 88+ you would have likely clld with the odds you were getting after the PF raise and the size of your stack, so with him shoving he could have had a similar range and the shove was to iso and eliminate similar hands to his range. Shove and grin when he shows his PP of 9s or 10s... One thing to consider though, is that maybe with the way online or poker in general is played nowadays, does anyone really respect the UTG raise anymore? Maybe against the very nitty type players, but overall I think not...
Tbh, I think I muck AK here pretty easily and if the 1st or the 2nd shover had a bigger stack I would seriously concider laying down Qs as well. I thought I was ahead of them in this spot though and then decided to shove to isolate. I don`t really know what I would have done with AA, but I think I would have shoved them as well as there is already a lot of chips in the pot and don`t really want another player in there.
But I would have timebanked aces too fwiw, just to think it through. -
why did you only raise 3 blinds?, just prefrence or what not? I like to make 4.5 or so with KK there.
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