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How many hands before you trust your BB/100?

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  1. JD Roark JD Roark is offline

    Nantes
    France

    Posts: 477
    Joined: Feb 05

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 5:49am)

    At the level I am playing at (mostly .25/.50 NL) I am making 7.32 BB/100 over 16K hands. I feel like overall I have been running pretty well but taken some beats as well.

    Should I feel that this is fairly accurate or is the sample size still too small?

    If too small, how many hands do you feel are needed to trust your BB/100 in PT?
  2. darkcheck_ darkcheck_ is offline

    Costa Rica

    Posts: 5,007
    Joined: Jan 06

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 5:52am) in reply to JD Roark

    60/70k , 7.3s is above avg so far
     
  3. JD Roark JD Roark is offline

    Nantes
    France

    Posts: 477
    Joined: Feb 05

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 8:27am) in reply to JD Roark

    There must be some statistical analysis that should give the precision of the BB/100 number based on the number of hands. Standard Deviation? It's been a long time since my statistics class in college.

    i.e.

    @60K hands BB/100 accurate +/- 0.5
    @40K hands BB/100 accurate +/- 1.0
    etc
    etc

    Any math geniuses out there?
    Thread Starter
  4. Aces_Up Aces_Up is offline

    Mount Pearl
    Canada

    Posts: 272
    Joined: May 06

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 9:15am) in reply to JD Roark

    I'm pretty sure PokerTracker gives you your Standard Deviation.
  5. 1.21Gigawatts 1.21Gigawatts is offline

    NY
    United States

    Posts: 12,935
    Joined: Oct 05

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 10:50am) in reply to darkcheck_

    Really? That many? I had heard it was somewhere around the 25k mark.
  6. junsie junsie is offline

    Naperville, IL
    United States

    Posts: 7,696
    Joined: Oct 05

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 11:08am) in reply to Aces_Up

    is that 7.32 BB/100 or 7.32 PT BB/100? If it's pokertracker you can multiply by 2 to get your real BB/100. You're doing really well but 16k hands is pretty small. Most will say 100k hands is a true indicator.
  7. threeven threeven is offline

    Tucson, AZ
    United States

    Posts: 18,612
    Joined: Feb 06

    Oct 4th, 2007 (10/4/2007 11:10am) in reply to 1.21Gigawatts

    25k tells you whether or not you are a winning player or a losing player. I would need 100k+ before I trust it at all
    2
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