I think his turn range consists mostly of combo draws and throw in some Ax hands and KT. I think he's showing up with hands like QdTd (although Qd hits the river, but we don't know that yet), JdTd, KJ, Qd9d, KQ, Jd9d, etc.

Really unsure what to do on this ugly river, as played I think I just fold. I don't mind bluffing though.

I think I would raise/fold the turn and check most rivers. Calling seems to set you up for a tough river as most rivers suck in this spot.

You're ahead of a lot of combo draws on the turn and you should charge them to draw. If you get raised its an easy fold, and when you get called your in a better spot on the river as he'll likely check anything but a made straight or flush.

Raising the turn is getting your value bet in early and letting you check the river on a scary board even though you're likely ahead.

At these stakes I think it's more likely a player will check/fold missed draws. So you're gonna get more value by charging weak players to draw, as opposed to inducing them to bluff. I also think hands like A4, A5, A7, A8, AJ, KQ, KJ is in his range as well. I think you are ahead of enough where say a 2.5x turn raise will show a profit.

Edit: I guess there is a chance he has 66 here but hard to see him playing the flop so weak with an aggro image

the river bluff is bad. hes calling with better only obv, and you have a TON of chips, no need to bluff it all off when he could easily have a jack here

i play the same pre/flop/turn, but just fold river. you dont beat much and ur basically praying he doesnt have a jack.

if the river was a blank i probably fold to a nice sized river bet too.

checking back the flop is the best play here imo, if he has a FD on the flop or some sort of combo draw your hand is too vulnerable to play a big pot, on the turn if he fires which seems like he will it will be a lot smaller of a pot and you induce more bluffs this way, on the river if he fires again i would consider it a feel play, i feel that if the hand is played this way you have way too much showdown value to shove as a bluff. so i think sometimes i fold and sometimes i call. an option discussed was raising the turn, and i think that in some situations this is necessary however you arent getting value from him on the river cause i think by raise/block to control the turn you have to check back the river. so with that said i say kep the pot small with your desguised decent ace.

 

Originally Posted by asujake

checking back the flop is the best play here imo, if he has a FD on the flop or some sort of combo draw your hand is too vulnerable to play a big pot, on the turn if he fires which seems like he will it will be a lot smaller of a pot and you induce more bluffs this way, on the river if he fires again i would consider it a feel play, i feel that if the hand is played this way you have way too much showdown value to shove as a bluff. so i think sometimes i fold and sometimes i call. an option discussed was raising the turn, and i think that in some situations this is necessary however you arent getting value from him on the river cause i think by raise/block to control the turn you have to check back the river. so with that said i say kep the pot small with your desguised decent ace.

I agree w/ checking the flop and I've started doing this a lot more is spots like these. I don't really like raising the turn cause I feel like I'm gonna have to fold a lot of rivers if he stop n go's.

I obviously was not planning on turning such a strong hand into a bluff but like I said above I felt like he wasn't playing diamonds that way so on the river I thought I could fold out hands he was betting thin by shoving.