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Is this an easy call given his range here?
pokerstars Game #9524691226: Tournament #47726298, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (1500/3000) - 2007/04/20 - 20:40:08 (ET)
Table '47726298 12' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: etushekki (82618 in chips)
Seat 2: John deVries (111212 in chips)
Seat 4: Veg 101 (8882 in chips)
Seat 5: wubwubwub (73454 in chips)
Seat 6: dmmikkel (49059 in chips)
Seat 7: Ceye22 (41336 in chips)
Seat 8: George2Loose (52950 in chips)
Seat 9: 507Kowboy (77440 in chips)
etushekki: posts the ante 150
John deVries: posts the ante 150
Veg 101: posts the ante 150
wubwubwub: posts the ante 150
dmmikkel: posts the ante 150
Ceye22: posts the ante 150
George2Loose: posts the ante 150
507Kowboy: posts the ante 150
Ceye22: posts small blind 1500
George2Loose: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to George2Loose [As Js]
Ceye22 said, "lol yes"
507Kowboy: folds
etushekki: folds
John deVries: folds
Veg 101: raises 5732 to 8732 and is all-in
wubwubwub: folds
dmmikkel: raises 40177 to 48909 and is all-in
Ceye22: folds
George2Loose: ???? -
EZ fold
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calling off your whole stack w/ AJ would be bad. I say fold, but i'm not a superstar
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pokerstars Game #9524691226: Tournament #47726298, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (1500/3000) - 2007/04/20 - 20:40:08 (ET)
Table '47726298 12' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: etushekki (82618 in chips)
Seat 2: John deVries (111212 in chips)
Seat 4: Veg 101 (8882 in chips)
Seat 5: wubwubwub (73454 in chips)
Seat 6: dmmikkel (49059 in chips)
Seat 7: Ceye22 (41336 in chips)
Seat 8: George2Loose (52950 in chips)
Seat 9: 507Kowboy (77440 in chips)
etushekki: posts the ante 150
John deVries: posts the ante 150
Veg 101: posts the ante 150
wubwubwub: posts the ante 150
dmmikkel: posts the ante 150
Ceye22: posts the ante 150
George2Loose: posts the ante 150
507Kowboy: posts the ante 150
Ceye22: posts small blind 1500
George2Loose: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to George2Loose [As Js]
Ceye22 said, "lol yes"
507Kowboy: folds
etushekki: folds
John deVries: folds
Veg 101: raises 5732 to 8732 and is all-in
wubwubwub: folds
dmmikkel: raises 40177 to 48909 and is all-in
Ceye22: folds
George2Loose: folds
*** FLOP *** [Jc 4c Ac]
*** TURN *** [Jc 4c Ac] [5h]
*** RIVER *** [Jc 4c Ac 5h] [6h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Veg 101: shows [9d Th] (high card Ace)
dmmikkel: shows [Ts Ah] (a pair of Aces)
dmmikkel collected 23164 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 23164 | Rake 0
Board [Jc 4c Ac 5h 6h]
Seat 1: etushekki folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: John deVries folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: Veg 101 showed [9d Th] and lost with high card Ace
Seat 5: wubwubwub folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: dmmikkel (button) showed [Ts Ah] and won (23164) with a pair of Aces
Seat 7: Ceye22 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 8: George2Loose (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: 507Kowboy folded before Flop (didn't bet) -
i think the opponent in question is very capable of shoving wide here, but the equity of AJ here against his range is like 50% at best not including the dead money in the pot. Way too thin an edge when there are other donks to pounce on.
If you had a monster stack though.... oooo its tempting -
what if we disregard results and add a twist, do you call this if you absolutely put him on an underpair? or does the chance he has a raggidy ace affect this at all?
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i am considered retardly aggresive and loose at some points, but i really cannot see how u can make this call, unless u have a veeeeeeery strong reason and seen dmmikel do it a few times in the last hour with Ace rage. Dmmikel is a very solid player who rarely gets out of line, but his widest range possible here would be A8+ , KQ+ , 22+, u re AJ has 47% .
And in my opinion dmmikel'raise is not as wide. Also... there is another guy who pushed in early position and like it or not he will win the sidepot a significant amount of the time.
I cannot see it from any angle and think that is even a marginal play.
The situation changes very much if u have a maniac doing that... but thats not the case -
I have no previous read on dmmikkel but obv. know his reputation.
I just felt when he shoved his range was quite wide.... but chose to fold because I could be easily dominated and didn't want to take a race at that point. Obv. trying not to be results orientated about the hand.
Did a 4 way deal in the end so all's well that ends well -
ya i'm real real on the fence here. I mean it's a big big risk but i think dmik has a pretty large range here, and it's def. a tourney momentum changing pot if you manage to scooooop it.
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While I do think this is a hand that warrants consideration, I believe this is a fold. I did a quick pokerstove calculation just to see what kind of equity AJs has against what I guessed was Dmmikkel's range. I think he isolates here with any pair 55-QQ, A9o+, A7s+ (I didn't include AA or KK because I think Dmmikkel would flat call with those hands and try to induce a re-shove, but you can include them if you like). Obviously that may not be exactly his range but it's probably not far off, maybe he can come on here and tell us what he needed to push here. Anyways, with that range AJs has about 49% equity, which is not great to be calling an all-in with especially considering he has another player to beat if he wants the main pot. There are some other things going on here too. Dmmikkel's chip stack, while certainly not large by any stretch, doesn't really put him in desperation. He has 16 bb's, and he may not even be in push/fold mode. In fact, with Dmmikkel's stack size, he's comfortorably in re-steal mode, and losing this pot slightly hurts his re-raise fold equity. I'm sure he would rather re-raise all in in a pot where he thinks his opponent would usually fold and pick up chips w/o a showdown than call an all-in, even if it is from a short stack. The point is, his range may even be tighter here, making this a fold.
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I think its a v tough spot. not an easy call or fold
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