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  1. Jennifear's advice pertaining to low pocket pairs is, frankly, off base imho. One definately needs more than 25x the bb to be limping early with the small pairs. Look at it like this:

    The chances of a limped pot with any kind of substantial blinds (and especially when antes come into play) is low. I think that early position limps generally increase other players tendency to raise behind as well. That being said, lets say the average raise is 3-4x the bb. Pretty standard there. We all know the chances of hitting a set are approximately 1 in 8, or abot 12.5%. this means that to justify putting in 3 to 4x the blind, you need to win about 30 to 40 bb EVERY time you hit a set in order to make up for the chips you put in when you don't hit a set. (I like to use approximately a 1:10 ratio because sometimes you will get your chips in against a higher set and more often against a flush or straight draw that makes it. 1:10 is generous when these variables are considered).

    Can we expect to get in 30-40 bb every time we hit a set? NO!!! With the lag style that is prevalent these days, alot of players are playing preflop and post flop loose and turn and river significantly tighter. Additionally, you can't win 30-40 bb hu anyway, so now we are hoping for a multiway pot. Additionally, hands like 1010, jj, qq, kk and ak that can be expected to stack off are going to become marginalized a large percentage of the time. Ak only makes a pair one in three times, and the chances of an overcard falling with the aforementioned pairs are about 60%, 45%, 30% and 15% respectively. Even AA is not immune to flops so scary that it can be laid down by a player with a pulse.

    Granted I haven't played tournaments for some time, as I am now exclusively a cash game players, however I really think one needs to consider that the idea that every time you limp early position, one can suceed in getting correct pot odds to setmine AND get all your chips in (implied odds) against a big pair is too much to except. Like the citation from Negraneau and others in the article, small pocket pairs in early position will not make you money at the end of the year.

    So what would it take for me to limp with a small pair early? Without any attention to table conditions I would say 50:1 would be the point at which I would consider actually playing the little pairs instead of just throwing that garbage out!

    Good luck players.
  2. I have to disagree with this... First the article was written towards low limit mtt and sngs... in these leveles people will stack off with j10 on a board of j 7 5... The implied odds are always huge in the low limits because so many people are willing to put thier stack on TPTK or worse, even a draw at times... True you wont stack someone everytime you hit a set but in the low stakes the odds of stacking someone with a set is huge...

    I definetly see your point of 25xbb maybe not being enough... but I think the line had to be drawn somewhere, and I think 25xbb is probably as close to the marginal spot as it can get, where its basically a breakeven/profitable play... Ideally you would like to be sitting with 30-50bb, but 25 is the lowest that you would want to consider making this move..
  3. Well said mindtrip954. I agree.
  4. Some of the things that happen in low-limit games allow the 25x line to be profitable.

    It's important to remember that this is low-limit advice, where things like the following events happen more than "on occasion".

    - People often still raise only 3x the BB behind your limp, not taking into consideration the size of the pot or the number of limpers in the hand. Therefore, some of the pots you are in are multiway, allowing for a greater chance of doubling and a shot at a triple-up.

    - People often minraise behind your limp with a big pair.

    - People often fail to c-bet when they miss, allowing you to win without a set.

    - A ton of people limp often behind you, allowing you to get great implied odds in an unraised pot.

    In bigger games, I'm not sure where I would draw that line, and there may not be a line at all, but if I had to guess, I'd go with the OP's 50:1.
  5. I kinda would like to know jennifear, where you draw the line of low limit and high limit games.

    I have played both limits in sngsl and MTTs as my bankroll has grown from 9 months ago, and I have to disagree with both ur numbers, the 5bb and 25 bb rule, basically because they are cookie cutter advice that really doesnt make us better situational pokerplayers. In fact ur article is trying to say the same thing as what HArrington says in his book Harrington on Holdem Volume II, agreat tourney book BTW but it ius much more vague and really not useful except for people that are extreme noobs to NLHE.

    As far as the 25bb rule, this may have been the case a while ago, but even at the low limits, players are much more aggressive now and thus cutt your implied odds with these hands significantly. I mean even in the 3 and 5 rebuys on stars, and the ten dollar freezeouts on stars and FT, it would be extremely unprofitablw to open limp these pairs with only 25 bb, it simply is not enough, and is mathematically incorrect
     
  6. Ok, I hear that and I don't really have enough low limit experience to refute with any kind of authority. I think making a distinction between low and upper limit mtt and especially sng's is probably a valid one. I would still feel a little hesitant about trying to make up for neutral or -ev by outplaying with low pocket pairs out of position. Essentially, what you're suggesting I assume is to check the missed board and then lead out on the turn. This just sounds dangerous to me, given that now you have to put at least 4 or 5 more bb's in the pot, and I think the play is a little transparent. But maybe it is, indeed, a winning strategy with the low limit games. Hoever, this play is definately not so profitable that one cannot afford to reserve it for highly specialized cases and forget about it altogether otherwise.

    Personally, my strategy would be to reserve play of low pocket pairs mainly when in position, when you have a good idea of the pot odds you will be getting and when most of the players have alraedy spoken. Thanks for the response Jfear.
    Thread Starter
  7. No matter which person you agree with (and it probably does depend quite a bit on the limits you play) both Jennifear's article and CrabClaws rebuttal are well thought out, well written pieces and excellent contributions to the site.
  8. Whats a small pp?
  9. This is a small PP

    pokerstars Game #10307365240: Tournament #51837846, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2007/06/06 - 20:26:21 (ET)
    Table '51837846 36' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
    Seat 1: Chazmental (5590 in chips)
    Seat 2: unta (3585 in chips)
    Seat 3: cbacker48 (2945 in chips)
    Seat 4: CS Canuck (5810 in chips)
    Seat 5: RingoStar5 (10420 in chips)
    Seat 6: icurcard5 (3860 in chips)
    Seat 7: IRISHNIGHTS (8015 in chips)
    Seat 8: FullDraw33 (5260 in chips)
    Seat 9: fatburner65 (10425 in chips)
    icurcard5: posts small blind 100
    IRISHNIGHTS: posts big blind 200
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Chazmental [2c 2s]
    FullDraw33: folds
    fatburner65: calls 200
    Chazmental: folds
    unta: calls 200
    cbacker48: calls 200
    CS Canuck: calls 200
    RingoStar5: folds
    icurcard5: calls 100
    IRISHNIGHTS: checks
    *** FLOP *** [2d Kh 2h]
    icurcard5: checks
    IRISHNIGHTS: checks
    fatburner65: bets 400
    unta: folds
    cbacker48: folds
    CS Canuck: folds
    icurcard5: folds
    IRISHNIGHTS: folds
    fatburner65 collected 1200 from pot
    fatburner65: doesn't show hand

    The EP limper was repoping raises from there alot. I didnt even think 2wice about playing this hand.
  10. wein has a small peepee.
    edit:oops, saw chaz and forgot we were in pd. it's still true tho.
  11. Come on Chaz..I'm definitely calling
    You have plenty of chips and if it gets raised huge and you gotta fold, you lose 200...big deal.  Im sure youre not the only one who noticed what the limper was doing, which decreases the likelihood of a raise.
     
  12. Sharp I understand what you are saying but look at the buy in. Do you belive that many people are paying attention? Not saying that some are not. This was a case where I seen him do it almost every orbit. I felt that 22-44 maybe even 55-88 is not worth the risk at this time. He would move in alot. Obv I feel I can pick a better hand to take him on.
  13. I limp all day 22 there. whatever happened to 7.5x1
     
  14. I understand what you guys are saying but here is his typical M.O.

    Dealt to Chazmental [Th 8s]
    fatburner65: calls 600
    Chazmental: folds
    unta: folds
    cbacker48: folds
    CS Canuck: raises 3422 to 4022 and is all-in
    groth911t: folds
    icurcard5: folds
    IRISHNIGHTS: folds
    FullDraw33: folds
    fatburner65: calls 3422
    *** FLOP *** [Ks Ah Jc]
    *** TURN *** [Ks Ah Jc] [Qc]
    *** RIVER *** [Ks Ah Jc Qc] [6d]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    fatburner65: shows [Ac Tc] (a straight, Ten to Ace)
    CS Canuck: shows [3c 3h] (a pair of Threes)
    fatburner65 collected 9394 from pot
  15. Yes but risking like 1/27th your stack to see a flop is well worth it...youre not losing any fold equity by losing 200

    What you described as his tendenacy to reraise a later raiser is not exhibited in the hand you posted...if anything it just shows he's an awful player who will give you all his chips when he flops a mediocre hand and you hit a set.

     
     
  16. Though it's about 7.5-1 against hitting a set, there are other factors, like hitting and losing or hitting and not getting paid. Therefore I suggest about 11-1 implied odds to call a raise with a small PP.
  17. Don't forget that you can't rechip like you can in a cash game.
    Thread Starter
  18. So if ur 11-1 is right, ( I actually think it is higher if you are out of position), then lets say you limp in ep with 33 with 25 bb. You get raise behind you to 3.5bb and call.

    Well you just put in 1/7th of your stack preflop with a low pocket pair

    So how does your 25bb rule work again???
     
  19. You don't get raised every time, and sometimes you get raised and have a caller in between.
  20. but you dont get paid off every time either, both in the times you get raised and the times that others limp/fold. Plus you are playing out of position the whole hand

    edit:
    when i play, one of my favorite things to do is isolate a early/middle position limper that I am fairly sure has a pocket pair/suited connector, when I am in late pos. I will do this with any decent hand like any broadway hand, any pocket pair, any suited connectors 67 and above, and even some hands like k8 sooted or j8 sooted or other hands with good flop potential.

    The power of postion is so great in no limit that open limping has become much much less profitabl than it was when say Doyle wrote supersystem.

    A much better way to play pocketpairs and suited connectors is to either muck them or raise them occasionally as a way to balance your game and deceive opponents into making incorrect decisions against you in the future. This is assuming relatively shallow stacks of say 40bb or less. When it gets deep it gets more complicated
     
  21. Remebmer Jenn did say low limits. Your dealing with players who mostly have no concept of posistion or pot odds or implied odds.
  22. it doesnt matter what they understand, because they still are going to have position on you, and they still arent going to pay you off enough to make open limping profitable.

    Also i disagree to some extent that some of these low limit players, are getting more knowledgable, and do understand the importance of position and implied odds.

    When you have 25 bb you dont have room to play speculative hands as the caller. It is much better to be the raiser because you add foldequity to your hand
     
  23. Ive never limped in a hand in my life. Which is probably why im so horrible. Im a raiser or folder.

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