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KQo SB facing 11bb CO shove deep in MTT

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  1. BscHons BscHons is offline

    Milton
    United Kingdom

    Posts: 228
    Joined: Mar 11

    Jul 10th, 2012 (7/10/2012 5:29pm)

    Around 70 remain.

    Andrew = 38/38 11hs. He had called an 11bb BTN shove with AJ and got it in vs. KQ, and lost.

    Assuming that the BB (16/16 32hs) folds, we need 42% here to call.

    I have narrowed his range slightly as we are so deep into the tournament:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 45.703% 43.89% 01.82% 3811349028 157871062.00 { KQs, KQo }
    Hand 1: 54.297% 52.48% 01.82% 4557714736 157871062.00 { 22+, A2s+, K8s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KJo+, QJo, J7o }

    I like to consider all options:

    FOLD: I don't think folding is terrible. It's close VS. his range. If he is on the BTN I'm not folding, but as the BB can wake up with a hand perhaps in the long run the value of calling is negated by this. Also, even if he is shoving the range determined by the equilibrium chart for 11bbs (which I think is rare), we only get 2.3% more equity VS. his range. I'm interested to know whether 2.3% equity in the long run is enough to warrant a call in this spot?

    CALL: I think my range is quite conservative - he could be a little pissed that he just lost half his stack, and could be shoving wider. If we win, we will have over 50bbs with 70 players remaining, putting us in good shape to continue putting pressure on people, and make a run for the FT (this in line with the 'home run' philosophy of tournament poker, where getting in the top 3 is our goal). If we lose, we still have a respectable stack and can still have the tools to pick up chips.


    pokerstars Hand #83035380781: Tournament #580639829, $2.00+$0.20 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXVIII (3500/7000) - 2012/07/08 19:47:57 WET [2012/07/08 14:47:57 ET]
    Table '580639829 5' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
    Seat 1: MilkFlip (65496 in chips)
    Seat 2: mareko22 (129953 in chips)
    Seat 3: lampros1947 (163521 in chips)
    Seat 4: ocke79 (188764 in chips)
    Seat 5: AndrewAndree (79891 in chips)
    Seat 6: t3hN1njALV (115817 in chips)
    Seat 7: Mércurial (278321 in chips)
    Seat 8: michal_cz_1 (133928 in chips)
    Seat 9: psyybaba (158046 in chips)
    MilkFlip: posts the ante 875
    mareko22: posts the ante 875
    lampros1947: posts the ante 875
    ocke79: posts the ante 875
    AndrewAndree: posts the ante 875
    t3hN1njALV: posts the ante 875
    Mércurial: posts the ante 875
    michal_cz_1: posts the ante 875
    psyybaba: posts the ante 875
    Mércurial: posts small blind 3500
    michal_cz_1: posts big blind 7000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Mércurial [Qd Kc]
    psyybaba: folds
    MilkFlip: folds
    mareko22: folds
    lampros1947: folds
    ocke79: folds
    AndrewAndree: raises 72016 to 79016 and is all-in
    t3hN1njALV: folds
    Mércurial...
  2. BenFaz BenFaz is offline

    United Kingdom

    Posts: 1,391
    Joined: Feb 10

    Jul 10th, 2012 (7/10/2012 5:38pm) in reply to BscHons

    I think his range can be a bit wider considering he just lost a bit of his stack i get it in here.
     
  3. bazingaking bazingaking is offline

    United Kingdom

    Posts: 351
    Joined: Apr 11

    Jul 10th, 2012 (7/10/2012 5:55pm) in reply to BenFaz

    Yeah, I'd be saying that his range is wider than you say because he is also very short stacked and in late position. I think KQ is good enough here, (though I was surprised to see that it was only 45% against that range) - but I do think the correct range should be wider.
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